Horse Racing Preview – Ayr, Ffos Las & Exeter – 9th May 2017
Today’s horse racing preview comes from Ayr in Scotland to Ffos Las in Wales ending up all the way down in the West Country at Exeter.
A welcoming winner in Silken Dancer at Windsor last night with the odds doubling from the original tissue price to give us an 8/1 BOG winner.
14.30 Ayr – Weddings At Western House Hotel Maiden Stakes
A tough maiden with Alan Swinbanks gelding at the head of the market with Sketch Book Venue. Ran well when runner up at Redcar on debut beaten just one and a quarter lengths, the winner has run well again despite being beaten over a longer trip, any strong support in the market has to be noted.
Archibelle ran well on his turf debut when second to The Last Debutante at Doncaster. The front pair were five lengths clear of the third who has run well again finishing runner up in a 0-70 handicap. The drop back in trip might not suit him as he looked comfortable over the 12f, but as a stayer, dropping back in trip could play hugely in his favour as will get a good toe into the race off Johnson’s Fiendish.
Fiendish has not run too badly, typical Johnson handicapper that will prefer the step back up in trip after a good third over the index at Chelmsford last month, but this looks weaker than what he took on at Bath just over two weeks ago.
Fiendish : 1.5pt win @ 9/2 (BOG)
14.50 Ffos Las – Lonetree Ltd Maiden Hurdle (20f)
Listed flat winner Minotaur represents Jonjo O’Neil who looked a nice recruit when finishing second at Aintree on debut for the yard, the horse beaten back in third Banditry ran reasonably well last weekend at Newmarket behind Frontiersman.
The fourth has won a 0-110 hurdle this year, even the fifth was just denied in a 0-120 hurdle last month, good solid form brought to the table, but the alarm bells were on last time out at Cheltenham when failing to show any of the prospect when beaten easily over today’s index in a Listed hurdle. This is obviously a lot easier and a massive drop in class, will have to prove he stays.
As does A Bold Move who has also been beaten which came over course and distance back in November. Trainer dropped him into Novice company over 16f here at Ffos Las and ran a lot better finishing second to the smart Jenkins.
Questions regarding him around maiden company and looks more of a Novice rank., This does look competitive and it looks like Dan Skelton has picked up a nice looking type here in Coroberee.
His sole run came on the flat when a maiden winner for John Gosden. It was quiet a strong maiden, which has seen two of the runners behind him win twice with the most highly profile winner being Scottish Hurdle winner Forth Bridge who beat a horse I like today at Ayr in Warp Factor.
Coroberee : 1.5pt win @ 5/1 (BOG)
15.00 Ayr – Spring Promotion At Western House Hotel Handicap (0-85)
Irish raider Warp Factor gets the services of Danny Tudhope this afternoon. Ran well around this time last year when second at Hamilton when behind 104 rated Tawdeea.
It took him a few months to get off the mark when eased back into maiden company when winning over 9.6f at Ripon. Two exceptional efforts behind top quality hurdlers at Musselburgh which included Scottish Champion Hurdle winner Forth Bridge.
Has had two runs back this year on the level and looks to be coming to hand slowly again after a good fifth at Limerick last month. 10f is probably stretching his stamina on the flat to the max, but even though Ayr might be tight enough, his best runs have come at Hamilton, however does not look that overly exposed on the flat.
Philip Kirby’s Pullman Brown looks a big danger if building on his fifth at Redcar last month. That was in this company and only went behind by two and a half lengths.
The ex David Marnane trained five-year-old was competing in good handicaps before his move to the new yard, which included a 16K race at Gowran Park where he was given a rating of 93. It’s been twelve starts since his last win eighteen months ago, but it’s only his third run for the Kirby yard and still could be very well handicapped off 75.
Pullman Brown : 1pt each way @ 6/1 (BOG)
19.15 Exeter – Hevitree Brewery Handicap Chase (0-130)
The NAP of the day goes to Philip Hobbs trained Ink Master who was impressive when landing a 15K handicap chase at Chepstow last month. They seem to think he will be better the further he goes and has been stepped up to 19.2f this evening.
He has run the index before over hurdles when rated 113, the third season chaser seems to thrive in the spring as he showed last year when landing a 0-140 chase at Ludlow, he looks a better chaser and should be hard to beat.
I would not mind to have a small dabble on the forecast here with Gowanauthat who notched up a brace of chase wins this time last year and in fact went on a five timer which came to an end when beaten in this company at Worcester.
Competed in this year’s Topham at Aintree, and was just denied when beaten by Opening Batsman at Fontwell in a small field 0-140 chase. He does have to be given the utmost respect with Harry Bannister in the saddle.
Ink Master : 3pt Win @ 6/4 (BOG)
Reverse Forecast : Ink Master / Gowanauthat – 1pt
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