Horse Racing Preview – Carlisle, Salisbury & Naas – 28th June 2017

Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Southwell - 3rd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from three meetings, coming from Carlisle, Salisbury and a Listed race at Naas. What can we do with the likes of Springforth? I am not trainer but this horse is now 1-11 with 5 placed runs, very exposed however if turning up at Redcar in the future, I think he needs to be put in trackers when he does, running well without winning.

 

14.00 CARLISLE – EDMUNDSON CABLETECH CARLISLE NOVICE AUCTION STAKES (5f)

This is actually fairly competitive for a run of the mill auction stakes race, three trainers that have won this corresponding race in the past are Bryan Smart, Kevin Ryan and Karl Burke. Let’s start with last year’s winning trainer Bryan Smart who is represented with his newcomer Weeton.

This son of Society Rock has a good sprint pedigree background being related to Namid, however I am going to overlook him on debut this time around but keep close quarters on him for future races around this sphere. Next, I move on to Kevin Ryan’s contender here in Falabelle. She is another new comer form a yard that has won this on three occasions with the last won winner being Fast Act back in 2014 who went on to have a winning rating of 81.

Finally, the selection, I have not come to this decision lightly, firstly I do feel Weeton is the horse to beat, but I am very drawn to Karl Burke’s filly Element’s Quest. She is the daughter of Coventry Stakes runner up Elzaam out of the middle distance mare Sweet Chilli, my reservations even though the juveniles have known to run well on debut, this trip just might be on the sharp side, in time she should be stretching out to 8f.

ELEMENT’S QUEST : 1pt each way @ 11/1(BOG)

14.30 CARLISLE – totepoolliveinfo.com EBF NOVICE STAKES (5)  (5.8f)

I would be very disappointed to not see Mark Johnston’s Birdette open her account at the first time of asking. The daughter of Australian Golden Stakes Winner Epaulette will get further than this, a good run here could definitely set her up for 7-8f races as a juvenile, trainer has won this race twice in the past four renewals.

Richard Fahey’s Our Kid made a pleasing debut when winning on the all-weather at Wolverhampton, but it’s turning out to be a weak race with majority of his beaten field failing to impress next time. Move it Move it, I put up last time out which could be a good thing now I am not tipping him this time around.

Third to John Kirkup last time over course and distance, and pending how the latter runs on this corresponding card in an earlier race could see form franked.

BIRDETTE : 2pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)

15.10 SALISBURY – NEW FOREST FARM MACHINERY/JOHN DEERE AUCTION STAKES (3)  (6f)

Running Cloud made quiet an impression on me when winning with plenty in hand on the all-weather at Wolverhampton, back in third that day was Richard Hannon’s Wildnightinvegas which was ridden by Tom Marquand, the jockey has deserted the latter for the selection which must speak volumes.

Now any other day I would probably be backing Three Little Birds of Sylvester Kirk’s, but she has had four reasonable chances to get off the mark and despite having big entries in the forthcoming months she will have to really step up if she is to make that grade. Onefootinparadise and Kimifive have run well enough on debut, the former finished behind Viscount Loftus who was pitched in way too far when competing at the Royal meeting finishing at the back of the field in the Norfolk Stakes.

Kimifive ran well as expected on debut when fourth over course and distance, just two lengths off the winner, Fran Berry takes over from Oisin Murphy, and I am guessing that if they were having a good stab of winning this Oisin would have got the recall.

RUNNING CLOUD : 3pt Win @ 13/8 (BOG)

19.50 NAAS – QUEALLY GROUP NAAS IRISH EUROPEAN BREEDERS FUND NAAS OAKS TRIAL (Listed)  (10f)

Very impressed in the way Jessica Harrington’s Black Ruby went about her business when winning her maiden at Fairyhouse. She had Frima three parts of a length back in second that day and I thought she did it a shade cosily. She is by Dansili who never raced beyond  9f in his career, she goes in to the Oaks later and could face Frima who is going to improve a lot off the back of that run last time.

As for dangers, obviously Frima once more will no doubt be involved, but does have a bit to find with a potential black type winner. Best of the rest, Marc Halford’s Petitcoat won well last time out at Leopardstown, it was a maiden that is going to produce more winners for sure.

BLACK RUBY : 3pt each way @ 9/1 (BOG)

 

Best of luck , Gamble Responsibly

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