Horse Racing Preview – Chepstow & Doncaster – 20th July 2017

Horse Racing Preview - Chepstow & Doncaster - 20th July 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from Chepstow and Doncaster.

 

14.20 Chepstow – Open Golf Betting At 188bet Novice Median Auction Stakes (6.1f)

This is a strong opportunity for Joseph Tuite’s Kimifive to get on the score sheet at the third attempt. He has been keeping relevantly good company in both his maiden runs at Salisbury which included behind Aquadabra on debut who franked and was tipped up on this blog on Tuesday, his last run saw him finish fourth again with the pointer horse in the race being Three Little Birds who is due to run this coming Saturday after being pulled on his past three declarations.

Probably his best run to date came on good to firm so if the rain stays away he should be winning this under Fran Berry. As for challengers, David Evan’s filly, Time For Wine, should come on from her sixth on debut at Windsor in a very competitive novices contest with the winner Gotti going on to run well again at Yarmouth behind some potentially nice individuals.

Of the newcomers, Tom Dascombe books Martin Dwyer who came off the cold list when winning on Open Wilde for Amanda Perratt on Tuesday, as relation to the entry Redtedd, he is by Mazameer who won the Group 3 Prix De Cabourg as a juvenile to go on to land a Listed contest at three. Despite having a sprint background, I would not be surprised to see him step up as far as a mile considering his genes suggests so, being through the bloodline of Machiavellian.

KIMIFIVE : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

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14.55 Chepstow – Best Odds Guaranteed At 188bet Handicap (8.1f)  (0-75)

Even though Richard Price’s Eastern Lady is stepping back up in class she is taking a significant drop in trip this afternoon. Her juvenile form I think reads quite well, four runs with her best outing coming at Salisbury when four and three quarter lengths behind Sovereign Parade who went on to finish midfield in the Group 2 Ribblesdale Stakes. The runner up Julia Dream went on to score at Windsor when behind Heartstone who has gone on to win a 0-75 handicap this year, the fourth in that race Carol went on to win a maiden in good style. The third Ecureuil scored twice at the back-end of the season when winning a 0-85 on the all-weather.

Also from that race, Dubka, who ran second in the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes behind Bateel, so the top six have all come on including the selection. Since turning three she has had two runs, fifth on return at Newmarket, the third, Sky of Stars has gone hurdling and won a 0-100 handicap hurdle off a mark of 90 recently at Stratford. She improved slightly at Nottingham when finishing fourth to Minneyrocks over 10.1f. Eastern Lady drops back to a mile for the first time, interesting move by all connected to the horse considering she has got further than this.

Now after that breathtaking write up building the horse up, I hope she gives a good account of herself as on paper she has the tools plus a very good 5lb claimer in Mitch Godwin on board. Last year’s corresponding race was won by a three year old, this year the age group is represented by Henry Candy’s Canford Cliffs gelding Canford Tor. He has not shown much to date, in fact on all four runs he has been beaten to the magnitude of nearly fifty lengths.

Now this is Henry Candy, a shrewd stable indeed and can never be written off when sending one in a fairly open race, and getting the age allowance. Dane O’Neill takes the ride once more, but he looks to be hear I think to ride Malcolm Saunders mount in the 4.00. Ed De Giles Carcharias has had two solid runs when finishing runner up on both occasions which included over course and distance last time out and gets into this off the same mark of 62.

Admirable Art might be one of the old school along with Black Dave, but once more has been in good heart this year paying his way with wins at Wolverhampton and last time here over course and distance six weeks ago. To win this he would have to put in a career best off 75. But I will stick with an each way bet on Eastern Lady, she should be a good price and run her race.

EASTERN LADY : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

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19.15 Doncaster – Saint Gobain Weber Novices Stakes  (6f)

This usually turns out some useful juveniles, over the past years we have seen the likes of Blue Point (Gimcrack & Pavilion Stakes winner), Osalia (Princess Margaret Stakes, Nell Gwyn Stakes & Sandringham Handicap winner) and prolific top juvenile Wootten Bassett win this race. Four of the past seven renewals has seen the favourite gain success and Divine intuition should be ahead of the market here for Richard Hannon who landed this race back in 2014 with Osalia.

Divine Intuition put in a good shift on debut when sixth at Salisbury, now two from that race Kimifive and Aquadabra have accounted themselves well since, the latter winning on Tuesday for the blog at 5/2, and Kimifive runs on this afternoon and is one of the selections. Sean Levey is as brutal as they come when riding out for Hannon, never gives up and rides every horse to win, I am not suggesting others do not, but for me he is a very good jockey that does not get his fair share of rides for the yard.

Shooting the Breeze finished sixth on debut at Haydock behind Mark Johnston’s Mildenberger, a creditable run over the 7f index, he drops back to six this evening and has to be respected from a yard that have been amongst the winners this month. Best of the rest, any money for Beatbox Rhythm or Jedd O’Keefe’s Hippeia should be noted especially the latter with Connor Beasley booked.

DIVINE INTUITION : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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