Horse Racing Preview - Doncaster - 28th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has four selections coming from two jump meetings in Uttoxeter and Kelso.

 

13.35 Kelso – Newcastle Arms Coldstream Handicap Hurdle (0-120) (16.2f)

Prince Khurram (129)
Martila (122)
Desert Island Duck (121)

Donald McCain has a 24.8% strike rate around Kelso over the past five seasons, which does reflect consistency around this sphere, he saddles here my top rated Prince Khurram who was last seen when finishing third behind Mirsaale in a 0-145 handicap over course and distance last month. He was also seen last year around the spring when finishing fourth in this company but on heavy ground which he equipped himself quiet well going down by only six lengths, he still has much to offer

Desert Island Dusk market price of 28/1 is over looking the fact that Maurice Barnes trained the 2015 winner of this race, and today’s jockey Dale Irving rode the 2014 winner, both team up here with an entry that won over this trip on good ground at Hexham back in the summer in a 0-130 handicap when off a mark of 106. He is another that has been beaten by Mirsaale this season to over forty lengths, but that day he was taking on horses that was rated 15lb his superior, I would expect him to outrun those odd this afternoon.

Pauline Robeson’s Martila has not been seen for almost a year, however her second at Ayr when behind Space Ship in a 0-150 handicap looks a little average considering the highest entrant was rating 137. Now if we go back to last years course and distance run when competing in a 0-145 she was seventeen lengths behind the smart Wisty who is now rated 143 as a chaser and ended up as a 138 hurdler.

Overall Prince Khurram has 6lb at the weights due to the claim of Lorcan Murtagh, however Martila gets the services of Brian Hughes who rides the mare for the first time this afternoon, the ground should have no concerns being sired by Marteline, Desert Island Dusk could outrun his double figure price on his old form.

MARTILA : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

14.05 Kelso – Newcastle Arms Coldstream Handicap Hurdle (0-120) (16.2f)

Weapon Of Choice (120)
Bohornagore (114)
Danceintothelight (104)

I have Weapon of Choice highly rated here, Dianne Sayer’s nine year old looked to have plenty in hand when scoring at Perth in this company back in July under Brian Hughes. He was given a spin around Carlisle on the flat over 9f for what apparent reason I have no idea, but failed and finished tailed off. With three attempts around Kelso at this trip he has not been beaten by far on all occasions, in fact a combined four and three quarter lengths. He obviously seems to find one too good around here, however 107 is a very leanient mark and should go close again.

At the bottom of the weights we have Philip Kirby’s Bohornagore who was last seen when competing a much weaker race than this over two furlongs further last month. He will definitely have to show some of that old form, but steps into better class, Adam Nicol’s takes the ride. Last but not least last time Sedgfield winner Danceintothelight who was seen winning over much further than this that day. He ran well here last year, not on this card but over 20f, but again in much weaker company, does look vulnerable under a 5lb penalty.

WEAPON OF CHOICE : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

16.00 Uttoxeter – Holdcroft Renault Handicap Hurdle (0-130) (23.2f)

Sporting Boy (113)
Royale Knight (106)
Muthabir (105)

Today’s NAP comes from Johnny Farrelly’s Sporting Boy, he has been quiet consistent around both codes. His run last time at Sedgefield was over three furlongs more which in hindsight is going to put him spot on again despite dropping back in trip. The ground seems to be the key for him to get off the mark for the first time since June last year when taking a 0-135 Chase at Newton Abbott, his last hurdle win came of a mark of 124 at Taunton two seasons ago and dropping into this off 122 looks a big chance of taking this race under Noel Fehily who has a very good record with the horse.

Main dangers has to come from Dr Richard Newland’s Royale Knight who has not won over hurdles since 2012, but did have a good run at Chepstow over 24f when finishing runner up two years ago when off this relevant mark of 119 and will handle the underfoot conditions. Muthabir won at Taunton this year off 115 and despite only raised 3lb it has seemed to of stopped him in his tracks significantly.

Sporting Boy would have to be the choice purely on bookings, but you cannot overlook Royale Knight who has slipped back to a win-able mark despite being five years since his last hurdle win.

SPORTING BOY : 4pt Win @ SP (BOG)

16.20 Kelso – NSPCC School Service Handicap Chase (17.1f)

Forest Bihan (161) – Novice Ranks
Simply Ned (143)
Wisty (142)

The vast improving Wisty will be a tough nut to crack off his current mark of 143, he has taken to chasing like water off a ducks back notching up all three wins over the larger obstacles. With all of his wins coming at Cartmel, he was a winner around here as a hurdler when taking a 0-145 when beating Martila (Selection in the opener) by seventeen lengths.

The fact he has not been troubled at all in all three chase runs proves he is still on an upward curve, but once more has to deal with a 13lb rise, but has to be feared never-less. Forest Bihan has been competing around the novice Graded rank running behind the likes of Altior, San Benedeto. This will be his first real test around handicap chasers, a 140 rated hurdler which saw him fail on all of his hurdle runs in this country, he has to be feared getting into this off a mark of 154 if showing his recent novice form, but a tough race to start your career around this sphere.

Simply Ned returns for a third crack at this race, twice winner of this race off a mark of 157, he returns this time around 3lb lower mark, however Wisty is a serious improving type and all will have to be on their A Game to take away his unbeaten chase record.

On the overview and ratings, Forest Bihan has to be feared, but his current mark I have given him is based around novice company, Simpy Ned is ten years young, but if returning in good heart he would have to go close, but the 11lb having to give away to Wisty is a big ask. Wisty has to be the selection here, not because the fact he has won all his chases, the fact that off 143 it is very much exploitable mark to win again. a Small mention to last years winner Theflyingportrait who is 3lb lower than when winning this last year could find the ground a bit to testing this time around.

WISTY : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from three meetings, The Curragh, Fontwell and Kelso. Again not the greatest of days on the winners front, a note for any of you that backed Kachy today, he’s worth keeping on the right side of if tackling 6f this season, however the blog was in a healthy profit with Copper Knight when advised at 12/1, pulled of a monster gamble to win at 5/1fav.

 

14.20 Curragh – Tattersall’s Gold Cup (Group 1) (10.5f)

Success Days and Deauville are at present fighting for favouritism, the former trained by Ken Condon comes into this off a neck defeat to Air Pilot in the Group 3 Alleged Stakes at Naas.

Last year’s Royal Whip Stakes winner finished third in this last year, even though a potentially nice colt, I just feel he’s just short of top quality around Group 1 level. Deauville on the other hand won the Group 3 Huxley Stakes just from Poets Word at Chester on his second run of the new campaign.

The Belmont Derby winner might just find 10.5f on the short side here, looks a solid stayer the way he won around Chester, claims if handling track.

One that just seems to get better and better and never goes down without a fight is british trainer Roger Charlton’s Decorated Knight. Winner of the Derby Winter trial was correctly placed by the trainer when flown to Meydan when taking the Group 1 Jebel Hatta by a head from Folkswood.

Finished a head in front of Deauville in the Group 1 Dubai Turf, in third was Ribchester who dominated the Group 1 Lockinge recently. Roger Charlton won this twice with Al Kazeem and looks to have a big claim on the prize again.

Decorated Knight : 2pt each way @ 11/2 (BOG)

14.50 Curragh  – Airlie Stud Gallinule Stakes (Group 3) (10f)

I’m finding it impossible trying to turnover Jessica Harrington’s Red Label in this. The ex Luca Cumani in-mate won over a mile on the all weather in good style and was quickly shipped to different surroundings after an interesting​ development which saw many top horses leave the Cumani yard which included Postponed.

First run for the yard came at Gowran Park when just holding on over 9.4f, he looks the sort that will relish 10f and beyond. Which no big engagements planned he could put himself amongst ​middle distance races on offer this season.

Homesman and Vociferous Marina will have to step up I think to beat the selection, especially the latter who looked very one paced at York recently. Pending on is on pacemaking duties, interested in Utah for a place run with Seamus Heffernan in the plate.

Won his maiden here at The Curragh over a mile, has been competing over shorter trips, steps into a more likely index over 10f.

Red Label : 3pt win @ 9/4 (BOG)

15.25 Curragh – Tattersall’s Irish 1000gns (Group 1) (8f)

Again Ballydoyle are diverting to pacemaker tactics with declaring 50% of the entire field. Even though they have Newmarket’s conqueror Winter as the hotpot in the race, can she do what Churchill did and land both Guineas?

Another O’Brien runner is Hydrangea who pulled far too hard at Newmarket ending up just tenth. She is better then that, she bested Rahana and Winter in this trial, with good Curragh form of 122 I expect her to be ridden with a little more tight reign, she has the ability.

Winter was very impressive when winning at Newmarket, but she got a trouble free run and took full advantage of landing the run. I feel she was very flattered by that win, she wanst dry ground to put her best foot forward, but I take her on.

Marc Halfords Rehana will try to reverse her run with Hydrangea and Winter, the fact she was left at home to compete here over Newmarket speaks strong volumes, she is a big player here.

Rehana : 2pts each way @ 6/1 (BOG)

15.50 Kelso – Ayton Castle Handicap Chase (0-125) (20.1f)

Irish raider here for me looks the one to beat from what is up against him this afternoon. Anseanachai Cliste had to fight when landing the Ulster National over 26.5f. The handicapper obviously has not assessed that run correctly, just a 7lb penalty and getting into this off 114 he should win this well.

Sweet Belle could be the main danger under Brian Hughes, a good second in a 0-120 chase at Hexham just over three weeks ago, will have to improve again, each way bet looks imminent.

Anseanachai Cliste : 5pt Win @ 9/4 (BOG) NAP

16.05 Fontwell – H.O.T.S.R Let’s Bet Tuberous Sclerosis Handicap Hurdle (0-105) (17.6f)

Midnight Jitterbug probably won’t get a better chance of 103 to land a race like this. The Noel Williams five year old finished a close third off this mark in a similar contest at Kempton two weeks ago under today’s pilot Ian Popham.

Main dangers look to come from Zante of Gary Moore’s who is probably wanting a step up in trip now on current performances.

Midnight Jitterbug : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

 

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UK and Ireland Horse Racing Preview 10th April 2017

Horse Racing Preview

Here is our horse racing preview for Monday 10th April 2017 across UK and Ireland Horse Racing today, unit stakes advised upon each selection.

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 10th April 2017 -Kelso 2.10pm – Stable Shield Handicap Hurdle

Buckled – 9/2 – 3pt stake

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 10th April 2017 – Redcar 2.50pm – racinguk.com/hd Selling Stakes

Gramercy – 11/10 – 3pt stake

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 10th April 2017 – Windsor 4pm – BGC Racing Ownership From 125 Handicap

Fields of Fortune – 5/2 – 3pt stake

 Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 10th April – Tramore 4.45pm – Win Big With Tote Pick 6 Maiden Hurdle

Leomar – 7/4 – 5pt stake

Notes

Buckled ran well at Musselburgh last time out, winning over 3m and with the 4th placed horse winning recently,  the form seems to have been franked. A 6lb rise in the weights shouldn’t stop the gelding from winning again today.

Some good selections today, with Richard Hannon back at Windsor, most notably with Fields Of Fortune under Hollie Doyle. Ran well at the end of last season in a maiden, finishing third and the step up in trip looks as though will suit.

 

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