Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Windsor - 12th June 2017

Never the same day twice in this industry, two seconds at the back end of the day left me picking up the pieces on a loss on the day. Today’s selections come from Ayr and Windsor, I did have six picked out this afternoon, but have whittled it down to three, but I will give the remainder three out at the end of this preview.

16:00 Ayr – Totepool Like Us on Facebook (7f 50y)

Trap-py affair this one, but I would like to think with Ruth Carr stepping Vallarta back up in trip today brings us all a return. The 6f trip was all wrong last time here at Ayr when staying on into fourth behind Black Isle Boy who runs in the 19.40 Pontefract this evening and will probably go off favourite.

Not sure If it’s their  having difficulties getting Vallarta into well handicapped races, which is resulting in running him at the wrong trip, horses do have to pay their way, so this step back up to 7.2f looks finally a big opportunity for him to go close off only a 2lb higher winning mark.

Two months he was denied over course and distance back in May, since then he went on to win at Hamilton in a 0-80, this is a drop in class so has to be respected.

Vallarta : 1pt each way @ 15/2 (BOG)

16:30 Ayr – Totepool Betting on all UK Racing Handicap (5f)

Michael Dods doesn’t make many trips to Ayr these days and has the paper favourite here with My Name Is Rio who was recently beaten in a 0-85 handicap at Doncaster.

Now I can see the novelty why he is favourite purely as he’s dropped in class, but for me is very vulnerable with a course record of 1-6, 7lb lower mark on that single win here, so off  72 there is something to play with.

I am going to take a cautious stab here with Ruth Carr’s Suwaan, with this not being the tidiest of contests the ex Kevin Prendergast in-mate joined Ruth’s yard and got off to a flyer on the all weather at Newcastle winning a 0F-65 handicap.

They stepped him up significantly into a 10lb higher category and was only just denied by a head at Nottingham. For whatever reason he was given a unjustified run at Redcar last time with his mid division finish in a weak race.

Again he steps up into a 0-80, with a probable life time effort to land the race this afternoon, he is still only three so plenty of time to work with him.

Suwaan : 1pt each way @ 10/1 (BOG)

18:00 Windsor – EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (6f 12y)

Well the lad has one in Buridan, this was a recently very expensive juvenile purchase at the breeze ups costing in the region of over £350,000 and bought by Al Shaqab Racing.

Not all high purchased juveniles do well on debut, but the fact they have booked the talents of Frankie Dettori who comes here only to significantly ride Buridan is a tip in itself.

Angel of the North would just be a coincidence beat living not too far from Newcastle, ran well when runner up here over course and distance last month.

A mention for Clive Cox’s Prince Ahwahnee who also ran well on debut behind June Dog at Leicester and should once more be on the premises. I must emphasise though I’m not one to back odds on shots, but this should not get beat in an ideal world.

Buridan : 4pt win @ 10/11 (BOG)

Today’s other selections

14.00 Ayr: Sufrani (ew 5/1)

19.00 Windsor : Hermann (5/2), keep an eye on Levey turning up here this evening.

20.30 Windsor : Again Levey & Hannon with Malcolm the Plug (ew @ 8/1)

UK-and-Ireland-Horse-Racing-Preview-3rd-May-2017-large

Horse Racing Preview

Here is our horse racing preview for Wednesday 3rd May 2017 across UK and Ireland Horse Racing today, unit stakes advised upon each selection.

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 3rd May 2017 -Pontefract 2.15pm – William Hill Supports The Northern Racing College EBF Novice Stakes

Marsh Storm – 9/4 – 2pt stake

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 3rd May 2017 – Wolverhampton 3pm – Polyroof Advanced Liquid Roofing Handicap

Viola Park – 3/1 – 2pt stake

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland – 3rd May 2017 -Pontefract 3.25pm -Betfred Supports The Northern Racing College Handicap

Gambit – 5/1 – 1pt stake (EW)

Horse Racing – UK / Ireland -3rd May 2017 -Wolverhampton 4.10pm -Roof Care (North Staffs) Ltd Maiden Fillies’ Stakes

Jalela – 7/4 – 5pt stake


Notes

Jalela ran well when finishing 2nd on debut at Newmarket when losing out to Night Circus over a mile. The Richard Hannon filly now steps up in trip and will be the one to beat. Danger in the field would be Spinnaka for Luca Cumani, who has finished 2nd on both of her starts.

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Horse Racing Preview - Doncaster - 16th September 2017

Horse Racing Preview – Newbury – 22nd April 2017

Our horse racing preview comes from Newbury with selections across the card. Just the one winner yesterday with John Gosden’s Shutter Speed who looks a very nice prospect. We hit the bar on a couple of occasions also which was a little frustrating.

On to a packed Saturday of racing with all the selections coming from Newbury with the highlighted Greenham Stakes on the card.

 

13.55 Newbury – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Group 3)

I would like to think Sir Michael Stoute’s Midterm will be hard to beat on his seasons reappearance. He did not show what he was capable of after winning over 8f on soft ground around here before going on to land the bet365 Classic Trial at Sandown.

What went wrong is bemusing considering he was expected to win the Dante and gave a no show when finishing only fifth. He showed some kind of promise when running second in the Prix Niel at Chantilly, it was something to build on but once more failed to show up at Ascot in the Group 1 Champion Stakes.

The jury is still out on him for me, he has the potential to succeed in this pattern sphere. Will need to step up to the plate this year as I cannot see him going beyond to next season, but trainer and jockey have won the past two renewals.

John Gosden sends Muntahaa who landed last years Listed Chester Stakes, the turf form over the 12f has seen him fail, but did win his maiden on the all-weather at Kempton over the index, surely to improve for a yard that are banging in winners over the past week.

His run at Doncaster when behind an adversary here in Chemical Charge who was in receipt of 6lb for 3.75L, off level weights should see that form reversed, Champion jockey Jim Crowley steps up to the plate.

Muntahaa : 1pt each way @ 15/2 (BOG) 

14.30 Newbury – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Fred Darling) (Group 3)

John Gosden’s Dabyah could be a tall order to overturn in this competitive renewal. The daughter of Sepoy won her first two starts as a juvenile which included a nine-length win over course and distance, signing off with a good third in the Group 1 Marcel Boussac at Chantilly.

I would expect her to show more now making her transition, this looks a stepping stone towards the first classics with an entry in the 1000gns, but she will be very short in the market and it’s made me look for value in the race with Richard Hannon’s Promising who is still looking for her first win of her career, but was not disgraced as a juvenile when beaten favourite in the Jack Berry House stakes and was just denied in the Prestige Stakes at Goodwood on her last run.

She has the potential to come on this year, she is the daughter of Invincible Spirit and gets a passage towards the 1000gns in a couple of weeks. Richard Farley places last year’s Lowther Stakes winner Queen Kindly in to mix.

Promising : 1pt each way @ 11/1 (BOG) 

15.05 Newbury  – JLT Greenham Stakes (Group 3)

Richard Hannon once more is well represented with Barney Roy who was impressive when landing his Haydock maiden by just under four lengths. The runner up Fujaira Bridge recently franked the form when winning a maiden at Ripon. Even the third Crowned Eagle went on to win next time out.

For me though I’m sticking with Stoutes Zainhom who won his maiden at York beating two current winners from that race in Dick Tracey & First Up.

His second in the Group 3 Autumn Stakes at Goodwood saw him finish two lengths behind Group 1 Saint-Cloud runner up Best Solution. The third The Anvil franked the form last month at Dundalk. The fourth Montetaire won the Listed Stonehenge Stakes thereafter. Some strong claims in this with two against the field, but the tentative vote goes to Zainhom who should be thereabouts.

Zainhom : 1pt each way @ 6/1 (BOG)

15.40 Newbury – Be Wiser Insurance Spring Cup Handicap (C2)

A trainer that does not get the best of recognition is Martyn Meade who seems to have some really nice recruits to have a go this year with. Chelsea Lad looks one of them, two from three wins last season both coming at Newmarket which included a nice win in 0-90 handicap on the Rowley.

I am asking myself with form around headquarters why he bypassed this week’s Nell Gwyn meeting to have a crack at this. He is probably ahead of the current mark of 96, significantly Ryan Moore steps in for the mount.

I can’t see many dangers in the race, Donncha is probably the likely one to give him the most to think about. This is a good point to return after a good third in the Lincoln last Month.

Chelsea Lad : 2pts each way @ 5/1 (BOG)

 

Others on the card that have realistic chances would be Commander who runs in the 16.15, he is the son of Frankel and should improve from his eighth over course and distance as a juvenile. I like Simon Crisford’s Archetype at a price in the 16.45, is well related to 7f/8f winners and could give a good account of himself each way around 14/1.

The finale UAE King could be hard to beat for trainer Roger Varian. Looks to have potential if the penny drops with this Frankel Colt.

 

Commander : 16.15 Newbury – 1pt Win 

Archetype : 16.45 Newbury – 1pt EW 

UAE King : 17.20 Newbury – 2pt Win 

 

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Horse Racing Preview Windsor 10th April 2017

Horse Racing Preview Windsor 10th April 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Windsor, with one selection in the 2.30pm.

14.30 Windsor – Windsor Vehicle Leasing Maiden Stakes 

Over the years, it has been well documented that Richard Hannon trained maiden runners usually take the first race in the card at Windsor, or the first maiden.

There is value in their first maiden runner at a track they have made their own over the years and their representative is Bristol Missile. He was a £140K plus yearling purchase by Kittens Joy out of Dearest Girl.

On pedigree, he should find this 10f index very capable being from a family who had 14f-16f winners in their bloodline, currently 12/1 which is a very attractive each way price. Key Bid would have to be noted if any support comes in for the Charlie Appleby runner.

The Godolphin son of a Dubawi colt costing in the region of 350K plus, is a half-brother to 6f winner Strictly Silca, but they also have Rajdesh in the field who had two runs as a juvenile which resulted as a runner up on the all-weather and went on to finish third in a maiden at Doncaster, both runs over 7f, now takes the step up to 10.5f this afternoon and is an interesting contender.

One I want to give a chance to is the Ralph Beckett trained Mistress Quickly, she finished a solid fourth in a Nottingham maiden as a juvenile over an extended mile, she shaped well that day with promise to come. She is nicely bred by Masterscraftsman out of In My Life and I would expect her to run very well and show improvement from a yard that are in early season form.

Mistress Quickly: 1.5pt win @ 4/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview Doncaster 1st April 2017

Horse Racing Preview – Doncaster – 1st April 2017

13.50 Doncaster – Betway Cammidge Trophy Stakes

Today’s Horse Racing Preview is from Doncaster. The flat season has finally arrived as we enter another season on the level. The first race to take centre stage is The Cammidge Trophy at 1.50pm with Richard Fahey’s Birchwood put in as the tissue favourite.

Last season’s Chester plate winner lost his way towards the end of the 2016 campaign at pattern level, he returns to listed company this afternoon and the dead 6f index for the first time since landing a conditional’s race at Newbury.

Kevin Ryan supplies the hood for the first time with Ride Like The Wind. Trained by Freddie Head last season, he will make his second appearance for the new yard and if performing up to his French win last season he has claims of hitting the frame.

Tupi had some smart form on his resume evict including landing the Sir Henry Cecil Stakes last season. Since then he has struggled to make an impact, but if repeating his Abernant Stakes run on this ground and distance he is a live threat.

The ground is the key for Mick Channon’s Mobsta who is returning to land this race for the second time. His Greenland Stakes win at The Curragh last year would definitely be hard to beat but he looks ground dependable.

This looks a solid chance for Richard Fahey to get his campaign up and running on the turf, Birchwood looks to have the ability to terrorise his opposition and show his class above these. Mobsta’s connections would probably want a heavy night of rain to see him to full effect. Ride like the Wind and Tupi should also be on the premises with the former an interesting contender.

Birchwood : 2pts Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

 

14.25 Doncaster – Betway Spring Mile 

This race can tend to help for the draw bias when the Lincoln comes to run. One that really stands out for me in this is John Gosden’s Sacred Act. The son of Oasis Dream has what I would say been carefully coached throughout his scarce career.

He rounded off last season by taking the Information Services Handicap at Sandown Park over today’s trip. Lady Bamford has stressed he is a nice looking gelding and even at the age of six he certainly has the quality to land a decent prize

Richard Fahey has Nimr in this and the way he stretched to win the Lincoln trial at Wolverhampton was impressive and if bringing that kind of quickness and ability to the turf he is definitely a serious player.

I have this very close between Sacred Act and Nimr to land the race this year. Sacred Act is going to be a nice sort in handicaps this season, but the vote goes to Nimr, purely on the basis of her turn of foot and with Frankie Dettori booked, he should be landing this valuable handicap.

Nimr: 2pts Win @ 11/2 (BOG)

 

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BET365 will constantly update their prices during the week to ensure that we are best price on every horse for all races shown live on ITV Racing.

This offer applies to all bets placed from 10am on the day of race and only includes races shown live on ITV Racing unless otherwise stated by bet365 . Best price or joint best price will be matched from the following list of Bookmakers: Ladbrokes, William Hill, Paddy Power, Coral, Sky Bet and Boylesports. Best Odds Guaranteed still applies.

Excludes Enhanced Price Win Only or Enhanced Place Terms markets that are priced separately to the Fixed Odds market, live shows, Ante-Post prices, competitor Enhanced Win prices, In-Play prices or any enhancement to the SP at settlement.

So place your Horse Racing bets safe in the knowledge that the BET365 price is the best price. T&Cs apply.

Horse Racing Preview 13.50 Wolverhampton - 27 March 2017

Horse Racing Preview  13.50 Wolverhampton – 27 March 2017

With the flat season just literally around the corner, we turn our focus to the 13:50 at Wolverhampton. Once more Richard Hannon has his early string in good heart. His debutante here in the curtain raiser at Wolverhampton is Al Jawza.

Al Jazwa is the daughter of Nathaniel, who should emulate her father’s transition record as a three-year-old. Nathaniel was a prolific winner when making his transition from his juvenile career, landing races such as the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes, Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes on his resume.

He also went on to have a very successful four-year-old campaign when winning the Group 1 Coral Eclipse, which included placing’s behind the mighty Frankel in the Group 1 Champion Stakes when thereafter he was retired to stud.

The dam Mosqueras Romance’s only win came on the all-weather in a Fillies Handicap at Kempton, with her best career run coming in the Listed Grosser Preis Der Metallbau Burckhardt in Germany when runner up. She had a fairly good rating in the mid-nineties competing at Listed level quite a few times on the all-weather, mainly finishing in the placing’s. Al Jawza will no doubt come on for her first run this afternoon, the combination of Hannon and Levey won this two years ago with Fondly who went on to disappoint thereafter. Not taking away that this race will not find that many that will go on to big heights, but she could be a money spinner for Al Shaqab in middle class handicap’s this year.

What about the favourite ?

The likely favourite looks to be William Haggas’s Wurood who has had the benefit of a juvenile career when competing around the sprint sphere on the turf. Wurood will step into breeding non-territory when she tackles 7.2f this afternoon, an index that only her father tried and failed. Her father was Dark Angel, a prolific sprinter who won the St Leger Yearling Stakes, Mill Reef Stakes and The Middle Park Stakes, he was retired shortly after when a substantial offer from Morristown Lattin Stud came in and was snapped up by owners Catherine Corbett and Chris Wright. There have been four winning favourites from seven renewals of this race in the past, none of the winners have really go on to show high class.

A Sire I followed last year and was very disappointed with was Casamento, he has sired here Castle Hill Cassie who is trained by Ben Haslam. Her debut run came at Redcar when finishing three and a half lengths behind Forest Ranger who no doubt will be winning handicaps this season for Richard Fahey. The third, Ray’s The Money, made a very pleasing seasonal debut at Newcastle on the all-weather when winning for trainer Michael Bell. The fourth, Desperados Destiny also franked the form on his last start of 2016 winning on the all-weather at Wolverhampton. Castle Hill Cassie also has the bloodline through Dark Angel so she cannot be dismissed, she will be partnered by Graham Lee this afternoon and any market support should be noted.

George Scott could be an interesting trainer to keep on your side on the all-weather this year. George comes from a racing background which saw his grandfather’s way back in the 1920’s and 30’s training around p2p’s and flat. Let’s not forget this young man has had a strong influence by non-other than Champion National Hunt trainer Paul Nicholl’s who he rode Breedsbreeze, who went on to win the Tolworth Hurdle.

After an un-encouraging spell in the US he returned to become understudy at Warren Place when working alongside Lady Cecil. Now out on his own he has to earn the respect which he is doing just fine. He saddles Seeking Attention in this race, the daughter of Elusive Quality, as you can say improved slowly. She did not show much on her debut when finishing 8th of 14 over a mile at Kempton, she was subsequently dropped in trip to today’s index and showed vast improvement when finishing fifth at Southwell eleven days ago and if this race has not come too quick for her she could be a nice filly to play around with throughout the season.

I would like to think this will turn out winners for the future, but it’s not been the best of races for finding something special. There will be some significant improvements and unknown quality in the race. Wurood has to demand the greatest of respect after sprint runs as a juvenile, but I am not sure 7f is going to be her index after looking over her parents’ sprint resume. Castle Hill Cassie again is another that has a benefit of a run as a juvenile, it was a good third that has produced winners from her race and with Graham Lee coming for just the one ride, it’s significant that she is not easily over looked in the market support.

I might of talked myself out of backing Castle Hill Cassie this time around for the Richard Hannon debutante Al Jawza, who is well bred for this kind of starting point and distance in her career. She has a paper tissue price of 13/2 which I would be very surprised to not see her around the 11/4 mark coming from an inform yard, but as it is her first start, she is going to be a bit green, and in the past I have seen Nathaniel’s fillies hang on debut, but she will be ready to go I am sure, but for now if the tissue price is correct I will suggest an each way play on her this time around.

AL JAWZA : 1pt each way (BOG)

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