by ·Comments Off on World Cup Qualifiers – Bosnia vs Belgium – Match Preview
World Cup Qualifiers - Bosnia vs Belgium - Match Preview

Bosnia vs Belgium – Match Preview – With Belgium already qualified as winners of Group H, all eyes are on Bosnia as the top two meet in a crucial game.

With two games to spare, Belgium have booked their place in Russia next summer. Dropping only two points all campaign, they have romped to the top of the group, and have placed themselves as one of the favourites for next year’s competition. With 32 goals scored and only three conceded in eight matches, they’re averaging four goals a game, which is largely down to the form of Romelu Lukaku.

The Manchester United man has ten goals so far in qualifying, sitting him third in the leader board. The Belgium striker has averaged a goal every 61 minutes, which is again the third best record in the qualifying rankings. Lukaku has also been producing this form at club level as well, netting seven goals in seven games for his new employers. Whilst Roberto Martinez may opt to rest his star striker, Lukaku will be chomping at the bit to add more goals to his impressive tally.

Lukaku has been in great form and may be on the bench as Belgium have already qualified Photo Credit: skysports.com

For Bosnia, this is a huge match. They currently occupy second place, which would earn them a play off spot. With only two games left to play, they have Greece breathing down their necks, who are just a point behind them. Cyprus, who are also in the running, and four points adrift of Bosnia, play Greece at the same time as this game. With one of those two teams guaranteed to drop points, a win for them could be huge. If Bosnia and Cyprus were both to win, it would secure second spot for them with a game still left to play. Their fate is certainly in their own hands, but facing an unbeaten Belgium side will not be easy, even if they’re already through.

When these two met last October, the Belgians ran riot, slotting four past a helpless Bosnian defence. That day Lukaku grabbed one of the goals as they comfortably dispatched their opposition, but this match is a totally different game. Bosnia’s main threat is offensively, with 19 goals so far, averaging at nearly 2.5 a game. At the back however, they are weaker. They’ve shipped eight goals so far, which is the same amount as Belgium and Cyprus together.

If Bosnia are going to get anything from this match, they’re going to have tighten up defensively. I think the starting eleven Martinez picks will be key, but Belgium should still get the job done and come away with a win.

 

Prediction: Bosnia 1-2 Belgium

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE 2-1 BELGIUM- 17/2
SKYBET: LUKAKU TO SCORE A BRACE- 5/1
SKYBET: HAZARD TO SCORE FIRST AND BELGIUM TO WIN 3-0- 120/1
SKYBET: BELGIUM TO WIN FROM BEHIND- 12/1
SKYBET: DZEKO AND LUKAKU TO BOTH SCORE- 7/2
SKYBET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AND DRAW- 3/1

by ·Comments Off on World Cup Qualifiers – Georgia vs Wales – Match Preview
World Cup Qualifiers - Georgia vs Wales - Match Preview

Georgia vs Wales – Match Preview – With just two games left of the qualifying campaign, Wales desperately need to secure victory at Georgia to maintain any hopes of reaching the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Despite not losing a single qualification match so far, with 14 points from 8 games, realistically Chris Coleman’s side need to win both of their remaining fixtures to stand any chance of qualifying.

Serbia, with 18 points, have all but secured 1st place and qualification in Group D, leaving Wales and Republic of Ireland to battle it out for 2nd place and a potential play-off spot.
Even that play-off spot is uncertain at present, however, as one of the nine groups’ 2nd place teams will miss out as eight progresses – Wales are currently bottom of the nine-team table which is comprised of points achieved against sides that aren’t last in each team’s respective group.

It sounds complicated but the matter of fact is simple, Wales need to win in Georgia.

The task will be made even more difficult following the revelation of star man Gareth Bale being ruled out through injury, and for the crucial, potential winner-takes-all final match against Ireland too.

Vladimir Weiss’ side are notoriously hard to break down and will provide stern opposition, but have no victories to their name in this qualification campaign – despite earning draws against each of the top three sides in the group, including a 1-1 draw in Cardiff in the reverse fixture in a stellar performance which could well have obtained the win.
Expect a tough battle with both sides prioritising defence, however Wales will hope they have enough quality in the side despite Bale’s absence to get over the line and remain in the hunt for a first World Cup appearance in 60 years.

Team News

The headline is inevitably Real Madrid forward and Welsh talisman Gareth Bale’s exclusion, but now he has also been joined on the sidelines by Norwich City’s Marley Watkins – they have been replaced by Barnsley forwards Tom Bradshaw and Ryan Hedges as Wales look for supplementation in attack.

Aaron Ramsey will be key in Wales’ qualification hopes Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch

Ever since Aaron Ramsey’s inclusion for Wales at the tender age of 17 in 2008, he has had a large portion of the nation’s hopes on his shoulders – but the 26-year-old consistently delivers. The playmaker will hope he can continue his recent surge of form at club level with Arsenal onto the international stage for these final two crucial qualification games. At his best there is no facet of the game beyond Ramsey, but above all else he instils belief in the rest of the team and is a driving force behind the passion and intensity in the Welsh game. Such qualities are pivotal in emerging from international matches such as these with the win.

 

Suggested Tips

by ·Comments Off on Horse Racing Preview – Chelmsford City & Ascot – 6th October 2017
Horse Racing Preview - Chelmsford City & Ascot - 6th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has three selections, coming from Chelmsford City and Ascot (Listed Murless Stakes).

 

15.45 Ascot – Londonmetric Noel Murless Stakes (Listed) (14.1f)

There looks chinks in a few armours here and on merit Eve Johnson Houghton’s On To Victory can once more stamp his authority which he has already shown when landing the Persian Punch Conditions Stakes at Salisbury last month. He looked to have plenty in hand that day and you have to consider that he was beating 108 rated Battersea in easy fashion by two and a quarter lengths going away.

The Gosden pair Weekender and Zenon are unknown contenders over this trip, with Weekender rated around 97 and Zenon around 95 they have a bit to find stepping up in trip, Raheen House first attempt at today’s trip came in the St Leger when finishing seventh, for me he just did not stay the trip and surprising that connections are attempting it again and the fact he has to also give weight all round to his rivals.

Ralph Beckett won this last year with Alyssa and is represented here once more with Mount Moriah who has already won over 14f this year at Ascot and equipped himself quiet well in the Gordon Stakes & Irish St Leger where he finished third on both occasions. The key here is the ground and On To Victory has bounced twice this season off the conditions and once more can grab success at the expense of probably Weekender and Mount Moriah chasing him home.

ON TO VICTORY : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

17.45 Chelmsford City – Bet toteplacepot At Bedfred.com Auction Stakes (8f)

If the form line goes to plan then this is a good opportunity for Lucy Wadham’s Dance to Paris to get off the mark at the fourth attempt, here at Chelmsford City. This is a much easier task from her last run at Newmarket when running behind the likes of Magic Lily and Heather Lark. This will be her all weather debut and apart form Robyn Brisland’s Merkava, I cannot see much troubling the selection at the business end under jockey Josephine Gordon.

DANCE TO PARIS : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

21.15 Chelmsford City- Book Your Christmas Party At CCR Maiden Stakes (7f)

Despite four runners there is a case that can be made for all, but Godolphin’s Perfect Sense was last seen when finishing runner up to Willie Haggas’s One Master at Yarmouth. He has already seen the backside of two Haggas’s runners this year and potentially I would have him rated a few pound higher than Haggas’s runner here in Diagnostic who finished second on debut at Chepstow behind the consistent Spinnaka. She takes on the boys this afternoon and could find Perfect Sense a bit too much to handle despite getting the services of Ryan Moore.

Ghaseedah has been disappointing and drops out of handicap company in a race she found too hot to handle at Thirsk back in August. She looks to have a few pounds to find on the front pair this evening at Chelmsford City which should just go to Godolphin.

PERFECT SENSE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

 

Betalyst.com

by ·Comments Off on NFL – Gameweek 5 Preview
NFL - Gameweek 5 Preview

NFL – Gameweek 5 Preview – With 4 Teams Going on a Bye this week (saints, broncos, falcons and redskins) here are my Week 5 NFL Season Predictions & Stats:

 

Thursday Night:

Patriots at Buccaneers

The defending champs have struggled on defense all year, and after their loss on Sunday they will be looking to rebound. Meanwhile the Bucs’ offense, which we believed would be explosive, have yet to have the game that showcases all of their offensive talent. This will be a shootout, but it’s hard to see the Pats losing back to back games.

Patriots to Win –  31-27

Brady: 300 YDS, 4 TDs

Gronkowski: 88 YDS Rec, 2 TDs

 

Sunday Games:

Chargers at Giants

Both teams have struggled out the gate; the Chargers have been the more impressive team, while the Giants have struggled on offense, in particular their offensive line. The Giants have a top defense and I expect the offense to finally get going.

Giants to Win –  24- 17

Manning: 245 YDS, 2 TDs

Beckham: 110 YDS: 1 TD

Giants Defense: 1 TD via Turnover

 

Bills at Bengals

The Bills have looked impressive the year, while the Bengals, 2 Games in with their new offensive coordinator, have improved. I see the Bills continuing their momentum here

Bills to Win –  14-10

Taylor: 200 YDS, 1 TD

McCoy: 88 YDS Rushing, 1 TD

 

Jets at Browns

Two of the worst teams in the past decade face off, and while the Jets are 2-2 and the Browns are 0-4, I expect a game where two teams are looking to give a good showing.

Jets to Win –  13-7

Jaguars at Steelers

The Steelers have been up and down this year, while the Jags have improved on both sides of the ball. At home however, it’s always a tough bet to go against the Steelers.

Steelers to Win –  24-14

Roethlisberger: 250 YDS, 1 TD

Bell: 115 Total Yards: 2 YDs

Brown: 85 YDS Receiving

 

49ers at Colts

Both teams have been Struggling, however each team has been competitive in recent weeks. I expect a good game.

Colts to Win –  13-7

 

Cardinals at Eagles

The Eagles have been soaring and are atop of the NFC East, I expect them to keep the momentum going against the injured Cardinals.

Eagles to Win –  24-14

Weinz: 250 YDS Passing, 2 TDS

 

Panthers at Lions

Both teams have looked impressive to start the season, and this will be an exciting matchup. The Panther’s offense is injured, and will be facing a hot Lions defense who have already topped their turnover total from last year. Both QB’s in Newton and Stafford are off to great starts, so expect an explosive big play game.

Lions to Win –  28-21

Stafford: 315 YDS, 3 TDS

Tate: 88 YDS , 1 TD

Abdullah: 100 YDS rushing, 1 TD

Skybet Home Points Under/Over – Lions Over 24.5 Points – 11/8

Seahawks at Rams

Division game here with both teams looking to make a statement. The Rams have looked impressive under new Coach Sean McVay and are leading the division at 3-1, while the Seahawks at 2-2 are looking to get some momentum. This will be a key test for QB Jared Goff against the vaunted Seahawks defense, and the Rams defense will be looking to gain their footing against the struggling Seahawks offense.

Rams to Win –  21-17

Goff: 215 YDS, 1 TD

Gurley: 150 Total Yards: 2 TD’s

 

Ravens at Raiders

Both teams have struggled out the gate, and with the Raiders QB Derek Carr out on injury, the Raiders will be looking to use RB Marshawn Lynch heavily. Predictability is always difficult in the NFL, I believe the Ravens will take this one.

Ravens to Win –  14-7

 

Packers at Cowboys

In my game of the week, I expect a showdown between these teams. The Cowboys will be looking for revenge after their NFL Playoff loss to the Packers. The Packers are coming in injured but at a solid 3-1 record, while coming off a loss at 2-2, the Cowboys will be looking to turn the corner. An entertaining game.

Packers to Win –  28-24

Rodgers: 315 YDS, 3 TDs

Nelson: 115 YDS Receiving, 2 TDS

 

Chiefs at Texans

With the Best record in the League, the Chiefs will be facing the hot Texans Sunday night in primetime. Rookie QB for the Texans, Deshaun Watson looked impressive in their smashing last week against the Titans, however will be in for a tough matchup with the Chiefs defense.

Chiefs to Win – 24-14

Smith: 25o YDS, 2 TDs

Hunt: 100 YDS total, 1 TD

Kelce: 115 YDS, 1 TD

 

**7 Fold Win Accumulator – Patriots, Jets, Lions, Giants, Eagles Steelers and the Chiefs ALL to WIN – 20.64/1 – Skybet**

 

by ·Comments Off on Horse Racing Preview – Chelmsford City – 5th October 2017
Horse Racing Preview - Chelmsford City - 5th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from the all weather course at Chelmsford City with two selections from the meeting.

 

18.15 Chelmsford City – Bet tote Jackpot @ Betfred.com Fillies Novices Stakes (7f)

A very competitive looking stakes race involving some well pedigreed juveniles on show here at Chelmsford City, Saeed Bin Suroor saddles Beautiful Memory who finished third on debut at Leicester, the debut run is still open to discussion on what potential is to come out of the race, jury out but being by Invincible spirit there is no doubt improvement there. Sir Mark Prescott saddles both Frolic and Connoisseur.

The former has had a few chances now to get of the mark and will make her all weather debut this evening. The daughter of Dutch Art was beaten a neck over this trip last time at Chepstow, the fact is that race deserves some recognition with all improving without winning at present, so the switch to the all weather could show improvement once more now dropping back to the dead seven.

Willie Haggas has also an entry here in Perfect Thought who has a similar profile to Frolic who is having her fourth run this evening, she steps up to the 7f for the first time and being by New Approach this should be more to her comfort zone after some improving runs at 6f on the turf, especially the form with Foxtrot Lady who ran within one and a half lengths to the smart Beshaayir.

John Gosden and Charlie Appleby are also well represented here with West Palm Beach and Expressiy, the latter has kept good company in all of her three runs which included finishing last in the Group 3 Prix D’Aumale which has thrown up winners such as Wild Illusion who recently won The Group 1 Prix Marcel Broussac, the drop back to Novice company is a big step for her giving her the opportunity to be involved despite having to give 6lb to the weights to all adversaries.

West Palm Beach finished third on debut at Kempton when just over two lengths behind Verandah who was given a soft ride when fifth in the Group 3 Prestige Stakes, the fourth place finisher Paint has since won and finished placed in a competitive race at Newmarket.

It’s a tight race indeed, Expressiy and Frolic both have profiles to win a race like this, especially the former who looks least exposed of the two, West Palm Beach has shown enough on debut with all weather form, can be involved under Ryan Moore, but the tentative vote goes to the Willie Haggas’s Perfect Thought who showed enough on all three runs that she can step up to 7f.

PERFECT THOUGHT : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

18.45 Chelmsford City – Weatherby’s Global Stallions App Maiden Stakes (10f)

Charlie Appleby’s Falcon Eye was subject to a gamble last time when finishing fifth at Sandown, that was over a mile and the way he was staying on, this step up in trip here at Chelmsford City should once more show improvement. Hugo Palmer’s Harbour Knights disappointed me on debut at Kempton, despite that the winner Graffiti Master looks a nice type going forward.

The one I was taken by on debut was John Gosden’s Heather Lark who kept up to her work when finishing third on debut at Newmarket when behind a nice looking winner in Magic Lily who blitzed the field that day by eight lengths. The runner up Mystic Meg has been reported as one of Hugo Palmer’s better juveniles in the yard, so on that assumption there should be more to come from this daughter of Shamardal.

Others to mention is the Godolphin runner Deyaarna who’s second to Alternative Fact at Newmarket is probably good form, he will have to step up again to win this I think, but with Jim Crowley now booked you would have thought the last two runs have made him sharp, steps up to 10f for the first time, very interesting.

HEATHER LARK : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

 

Betalyst.com

by ·Comments Off on World Cup Qualifiers – N.Ire vs Germany – Match Preview
World Cup Qualifiers - N.Ire vs Germany - Match Preview

N.Ire vs Germany – Match Preview – Northern Ireland will host Germany this Thursday as they will close out their very successful World Cup qualifying campaign.

The hosts are currently second in the standings with 19 points, behind non other than Thursdays opponents. With only another point or two pretty much securing a second-place qualification, the Irish will still have something to play for over the international break.

The Germans have been very German thus far in the qualifying campaign; topping Group C with impeccable statistics. 35 goals in eight games speaks for itself, and on top of that they have only conceded two goals. Northern Ireland will have a tough time breaking down that German wall.

After a summer of celebration for Northern Ireland at the UEFA Euros in 2016, many believed that would be the pinnacle of their success for some time and wrote them off for World Cup qualification. However, the men in green have gone from strength to strength and have also become much stronger defensively. They haven’t conceded a goal in all competitions since November last year.

Lafferty has been in good form for N.Ireland Photo Credit: skysports.com

They have also excelled in front of goal with the strike force of Conor Washington, Kyle Lafferty and Oliver Norwood becoming a clinical attack. Last time they met, Germany won 2-0 with a very comfortable performance but Northern Ireland are in the form of their lives, so could they cause a huge upset for the bookmakers?

Skybet Match Result – N.Ireland to Win – 10/1

There is no doubt in anyone’s mind that Germany are one of the best footballing nations in the world. Their squad depth is to be admired, with many World Class players struggling to make the 23-man squad. Their form is also admirable, having not lost since the semi-finals at the UEFA Euros in 2016.

Muller and his German team mates have been almost unstoppable Photo Credit: skysports.com

Having most recently picked apart Norway in a 6-0 victory, Germany are continuing to bulldoze their opponents hence why they are top of the group by 5 points. Thomas Muller will pose a huge threat to the Northern Ireland defence; he has scored five goals and has six assists in the qualifying campaign. The Bayern Munich attacker is also joined by Julian Draxler, Mesut Ozil and veteran Mario Gomez. Will the firepower of the Germans be too much for Northern Ireland to handle?

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Germany to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 100/30

by ·Comments Off on World Cup Qualifiers – Scotland vs Slovakia – Match Preview
World Cup Qualifiers - Scotland vs Slovakia - Match Preview

Scotland vs Slovakia – Match Preview – Scotland face Slovakia in a crucial match in Group F. A win for Slovakia would knock Scotland out the race for qualification for the World Cup. Victory for the Scots however, and they would leapfrog their opponents in the group.

Scotland know that if they are to secure second spot, they must win their next two games. This game against Slovakia in particular is crucial, with them sitting one point behind their visitors. With England also playing Slovenia, If Scotland win there is a very good chance they would sit second in the group, with just one match left to play. With their final group game then away at Slovenia, they would only need a point to qualify from that match.

Since their 3-0 defeat to England last year, Scotland are unbeaten in qualifying. That run stretches four matches, in which they have won three. In those three games they won, they kept three clean sheets. Keeping the back four shut has been key to Scotland’s recent revival, allowing the attacking players to win them the game and grab the three points.

Leigh Griffiths will be pivotal for Scotlands hopes of qualification in the last 2 games Photo Credit: skysports.com

For Slovakia, they know that their fate is also in their own hands. If they can beat Scotland, it would knock Scotland out of the running for the play-off spot. A victory at Hampden, and England also beating Slovenia on Thursday night, would mean they would be uncatchable in second place, and would secure themselves a play-off match. Their defeat against England last time out brought to an end their five match unbeaten run. Since losing their first two games to England and Slovenia, they had won every game they had played, catapulting them in to second place in the group.

Whilst Slovakia comfortably dispatched of Scotland 3-0 at home, this will be an entirely different game. With Scotland knowing they must win, the atmosphere at Hampden Park will be fantastic. It will be an enthralling match up, with both sides so close to securing a play-off spot. Whichever team can handle that pressure best will decide this game.

Of the three sides looking to secure second spot, Scotland have the worst defensive record leaking ten goals. Whilst they have shored up at the back recently, it will be interesting to see how long they can resist this talented Slovakia side for. With both teams having scored 14 goals, they both know where the back of the net is, so I’m going to plump for a score draw in this one.

 

Prediction: Scotland 1-1 Slovakia

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE 1-1- 9/2
SKYBET: SCOTLAND TO WIN 1-0, 2-0 OR 2-1- 2/1
SKYBET: BTTS AND DRAW- 100/30
SKYBET: HAMSIK TO SCORE FIRST AND SLOVAKIA TO WIN 2-1- 50/1
SKYBET: GRIFFITHS AND NEMEC TO BOTH SCORE- 13/2
SKYBET: BTTS AND OVER 2.5 GOALS- 7/4

by ·Comments Off on World Cup Qualifiers – England vs Slovenia – Match Preview
World Cup Qualifiers - England vs Slovenia - Match Preview

England vs Slovenia – Match Preview – England return to action on Thursday, knowing just a win would secure their automatic qualification for the 2018 World Cup.

Gareth Southgate’s side sit five points ahead of second placed Slovakia. A draw against Slovenia would all but ensure top spot in Group F, but a win would mathematically seal their fate. England will be without Deli Alli for the match, with the Spurs’ man missing through suspension. The Three Lions do however have Harry Kane fit and available, with the Tottenham striker having scored 11 goals in his last six games. Kane also scored two in England’s last game against Malta, showing he can replicate his club form for his country as well.

Whilst England are yet to lose in this group, they did draw with Slovenia back in October last year. That point means Slovenia are one of only two teams to take points away from them in the group. England will be hoping this won’t happen again, as they look to cross the line in qualification. A positive for England is they have kept six clean sheets in eight games, but they have conceded three in their last three. With them holding the best offensive and defensive record in the group, that should be enough to see them grab three points.

Can Harry Kane fire England into the World Cup? Photo Credit: skysports.com

Slovenia, like England, have a very good defensive record. With them only conceding four goals in their eight matches so far, they have the next best record after England. Their Achilles heel however, is offensively. They have only scored ten goals so far, with only Malta and Lithuania scoring less in the group. If they are to get a result a Wembley, they will need to buck that trend, and been more offensive.

With Slovenia knowing a result for them would put them in the driving seat for second spot, they have even more motivation to try and get a result. With them sitting just a point behind Slovakia and level with Scotland, they could end the night in second place as the other two teams face each other. That would leave them with a final showdown with the Scots on match day ten, but they would be in control of their own destiny.

Unfortunately for them, I don’t see that happening. With qualification just in sight for England, I think they’ll get the job done at Wembley, with a comprehensive win.

 

Prediction: England 2-0 Slovenia

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE ENGLAND TO WIN 2-0- 9/2
SKYBET: KANE TO SCORE A BRACE- 5/2
SKYBET: RASHFORD TO SCORE FIRST AND ENGLAND TO WIN 4-0- 35/1
SKYBET: ENGLAND -2 HANDICAP- 5/2
SKYBET: KANE TO SCORE A HATTRICK AND ENGLAND TO WIN 3-0- 80/1
SKYBET: BTTS AND OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS- 7/4
SKYBET: KANE AND DEFOE TO BOTH SCORE- 5/2

by ·Comments Off on Horse Racing Preview – Salisbury – 4th October 2017
Horse Racing Preview - Salisbury - 4th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Salisbury with two selections from the meeting.

 

14.30 Salisbury – Become A Wiltshire Freemason EBF Novices Stakes (6.9f)

There are a few interesting newcomers in this race non other than Roger Varian’s Jamil. The fact that they have waited until the back end of the season to bring him on to a race course considering he is a late March juvenile is interesting, as most March juveniles would have competed at Royal Ascot or even Goodwood.

The son of Dansili won’t mind any rain or softening ground here at Salisbury today,  as the sire won his only run as a juvenile on heavy ground over today’s index, so you have to feel the genes have been passed down.

Richard Hannon’s yard have picked up in recent weeks, the yard send three contenders here who for me all have to step up on what they have shown so far. You can never pinpoint looking at a horse from this yard on jockey bookings, Hollie Doyle has done herself proud this season, as has Sean Levey, but with Pat Dobbs booked to ride Roundhead you would have thought this was the one they would be more interested in improving off the back of his first run.

Seventh on debut at Ascot when behind Fajjaj of Hugo Palmer’s, who recently showed improvement when finishing fourth to the smart Elarqam in the Somerville Stakes, the runner up Court of Justice heads straight to this years juvenile Group 1 Racing Post Trophy this month, so you would expect this son of Helmet to improve quickly. Tullyallan finished fourth on debut at Newmarket when behind a smart looking individual in Shabaaby of Owen Burrrows, apart from the winner the opposition looked mediocre and could flattened his run behind simple types.

City Gent and newcomer Consultant deserve recognition, the latter represents a yard who’s younger generation are running very well. Consultant comes from a sprinting back-ground pedigree being the son of Kodiac, however the dam did win over 10f on her debut run which came on quicker ground, 8f maybe a little ambitious on debut on this type of ground. City Gent equipped himself well on debut when running sixth at Yarmouth.

The winner Imperial Past has a Listed entry at Doncaster this week, and the fifth Tamkeen is booked to run in a few days at Redcar. This has attracted some nice well bred individuals, and I have just given the nod to Roger Varian’s Jamil, with Roundhead and City Gent to chase him home, I would not be surprised to see Consultant run well also on debut.

JAMIL : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

15.05 Salisbury – Bathwick Tyres Conditions Stakes (6f)

I would like to think Richard Hannon’s Algam can reverse the form here at Salisbury with The Children’s Trust from their Goodwood encounter which saw the latter win at 100/1. I thought Frankie Dettori gave him a schooling ride to be fair, never put the horse in the race, eased down, with Frankie not having to work again after his Arc triumph on Enable last weekend, Sean Levey gets the recall, the jockey is the only one that has ridden and got a tune out of him when guiding the selection to success at Leicester back in August.

To be fair the Leicester maiden is looking interesting considering the second and third have both competed in better company at Newmarket and Newbury of late when behind potentially pattern horses. Algam looked to have bumped into a nice sort again at Chelmsford in Charlie Appleby’s Old Persian who’s declared this week at Newmarket.

David Evans won this last year with Smokey Lane, this year they have teamed up with Jim Crowley to ride their entry here Mr Top Hat. I thought his run at Newbury was below average when behind Richard Hannon’s debutant Orange Suit. He was beaten on debut on soft ground and on what he showed there I am not convinced these conditions are favourable.

Ralph Beckett’s Nine Below Zero gets the aids of the visor for the first time, since his two wins he was put into the deep end when competing the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Ascot to be dropped in class and finish a poor second last in a class 3 Nursery. He is another that the jury is out if he can handle the heavy conditions, if so his resume would put him in the mix. However, Algam should be coming out of this with a win, with possible Nine Below Zero the main danger.

ALGAM : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

Betalyst.com

by ·Comments Off on Horse Racing Preview – Ayr & Southwell – 3rd October 2017
Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Southwell - 3rd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from Ayr and Southwell.

 

16.30 Ayr – William Hill Proud To Support Scottish Sport Handicap (0-95) (8f)

There are a few here that deserve a mention especially Keith Dagliesh’s Ce La Vie, who was seen competing in this years Empress Stakes & 1000gns. Despite being out of her comfort zone and the fact she did not run to badly when fourth at Doncaster last time out over 10.2f, that was on heavy ground and the fact she drops in trip and class, she will no doubt be a strong favourite just on her resume form to date. However, even though she represents last years winning yard there does look a couple of well handicapped horses in the race.

Callum Rodriguez has deserted Sophie P this time around to ride Michael Dods Finn Class. He has not shown the level of form that saw him finish runner up in this class and course and distance four runs back. He is not the most reliable horse in the race, but drops another 1lb and a return to a track that could refresh his resume to run well again onve more.

Paul Mulrennan prefers Dod’s other entry here in Bamber Bridge who is getting better with every run, the lightly raced three year old and only one of two colts in the race was last seen finishing fourth at Redcar in a 0-90 over a mile, that came on quicker ground if handling today’s conditions over this index and I feel he could be the most interesting one in this field.

BAMBER BRIDGE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

18.10 Southwell – 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap (5f) (0-75)

This should be a positive opportunity for David Elsworth’s Lady Dancealot to get off the mark now diverting to handicap company. Her second on heavy ground at Ascot when behind a good looking type in Speak In Colours of Marco Botti’s is definitely good form. That looked a very competitive stakes race and now switching to the all weather for the first time she should be making her presence felt under title chasing jockey, Silvestre de Sousa.

Ralph Beckett’s City Gent should have been winning I think by now, he probably bumped into a useful sort at Kempton when behind Ragstone Road of Richard Hughes. Expelled was a further five lengths back in fourth that day when off level weights, despite City Gent having to give 3lb at the weights this time around the form should be stable enough for City Gent to obtain.

LADY DANCEALOT : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly