All articles by: Darren Chettleburgh

Horse Racing Preview – York – 23rd August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from York, with three selections from the meeting.

 

14.25 York – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3)  (7f)

Ballydoyle oppose a serious threat of landing this race, but with twelve entries since 2000 and only one recorded win, you could not be backing Fleeting View with confidence. Fair enough, he has shown potential winning his last two races at The Curragh, however being unproven at this index around York will catch you out. Another negative is the sire War Front won only once around 7f which came in maiden company and was beaten on his other six contentions at the trip, definitely one for the layers in my opinion.

The one they all have to beat here, and the selection, is Mark Johnston’s Dee Ex Bee. I thought he looked a bit special when landing his maiden at Goodwood two weeks ago. The Sire Farhh was very adaptable on any ground and won his sole race as a juvenile over 7f, which was the only time he contested the distance. The form was franked at Salisbury when Richard Hannon’s Rogue came out and won, it is fair to say the top four finishers from that maiden look to have potential.

DEE EX BEE : 2pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

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15.00 York – Betway Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2)  (11.9f)

With three of the past four favourites winning this race, this looks a big opportunity for John Gosden’s Cracksman to land his first win over 12f. With two attempts at the index, third in the Epsom Derby and just denied in the Irish equivalent being beaten a combined distance of just one length, you would have thought today is the day he gets his just deserved.

However, I am willing to take him on once more, and with Ballydoyle looking to bring in Spanish Steps as a pace maker, this opens the value bet on their other entry here, Venice Beach. Ryan Moore is 1-1 with the son of Galileo when landing the Chester Vase back in May. He took the scalp of Wings of Eagles who as we know won the Epsom Derby and has form around Cracksman, that form was reversed in the Derby, but that day he was the pacemaker.

Now he can come out of that shadow after running a close third in this year’s Group 1 Prix De Paris when going behind by just over a length. In front of him that day was King Edward VII Stakes winner Permian and the winner Shakeel was previously just denied in the Group 2 Prix Hocquart. I just think with Ryan Moore back in the plate he could be better than the 12/1 odds on offer here, very interesting contender indeed.

VENICE BEACH : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (William Hill) (BOG)

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15.35 York – Juddmonte Intrnational Stakes  (Group 1) (10.3f)

The race that we all should be looking for to find the winner here is the Coral Eclipse, both Ulysses and Barney Roy go head to head once more, with Cliffs of Moher and Decorated Knight thrown into the mix. Derby runner up Cliffs of Moher gets just 7lb this time around from the 10lb he was receiving in the Eclipse, it’s a tough ask to think he could reverse that form and this goes for Decorated Knight also.

When Barney Roy and Ulysses met at Sandown there was only a nose separating them, the winner was conceding 10lb that afternoon, however this time around just 7lb is conceded and on that note you would have thought the form cannot be reversed, however Ulysses elected to go to Ascot when beaten in the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes to the smart filly Enable, but Barney Roy elected to bypass the clash and has come with this race in mind, he is the one to beat for me in a tight affair.

Where do we go with Churchill? The way he finishes his races off you would have thought stepping up into this unknown territory is a good thing, for me I am not so sure. He looked to be toiling in the St James’s Palace when four and a half lengths behind Barney Roy. Moore stays loyal to the 2000 Guineas winner, but its only loyalty I’m afraid.

Cliffs of Moher probably goes down as an unlucky loser when runner up at Epsom, but has been put firmly in his place this year in the Eclipse by both Barney Roy and Ulysses.

BARNEY ROY : 4pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – The Curragh -20th August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from one meeting and selections from The Curragh.

 

14.10 Curragh – Galileo Irish European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) (7f)

Looking around the current pedigrees of this race Camelback makes a lot of appeal. Ger Lyons will be looking for his first success in the race when he saddles the son of Exchange Rate who should have no problems with the conditions this afternoon. His Stakes win at Naas last month saw him handout a length defeat to Aidan O’Brien’s Rostropovich.

With entries later in the year for the National and Beresford Stakes, he is definitely well thought of by the trainer, main dangers look to come from both Theobald and the most interesting contender Swiss Cottage. Jim Bolger has won this on three occasions which included in 2015 with Herald The Dawn, his representative here is Theobald who has run well twice in pattern company this year when behind the likes of Actress who went on to finish third in the Phoenix Stakes and more recently when behind The Pentagon with Berkeley Square back in fifth.

However, the one I do fear could be a good price, Joseph Murphy’s Swiss Cottage has progressed with both runs and was just denied in a maiden over a mile here at the Curragh six days ago, if this race has not come too soon he could be in the mix under Gary Carroll.

CAMELBACK : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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14.45 Curragh – Qatar Racing and Equestrian Club Curragh Stakes (Group 3) (5f)

Andrew Slattery’s Emadee won a shade cosily on debut at Naas and there could be more to come from her speedy pedigree being by Zebedee, Jim Bolger won this in 2014 & 2015 with front of the market contenders, and once more looks to have a solid claim with Treasuring,

Her eighth place finish in the Queen Mary Stakes at Ascot is not working out that well to be fair with several of the entries from that race being beaten since, however she did look better when tackling softer conditions which brought her success when landing a handicap at Tipperary, nine days ago. I was not really taken with Ballydoyle’s Declarationofpeace in the Phoenix Stakes and was seen finishing last in this years Listed Windsor Castle, she would have to have made serious improvement if she is to land this.

Wolfofbaggotstreet would probably prefer 6f being by Equiano, won well enough at Down Royal last month, but failed to build on that when behind Sirici in the Listed Tipperary Stakes. The thing with Equiano progeny’s is they get better with age, and he could be a bit out of his depth here. John Stack’s Sirici took the scalp of Actress in that Listed Tipperary Stakes. She was down the field in the Queen Mary and has a bit to find on Treasuring.

TREASURING : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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15.20 Curragh – Breast Cancer Research Debutante Stakes (Group 2) (7f)

This looks a good renewal with the likes of Magical, Happily and September declared. The former got off the mark at the second attempt when she just managing to hold on at Cork. She is one of three entries here for Ballydoyle and does look third string here on bookings.

Ryan Moore has elected to ride Happily here, she was very impressive when landing the Group 3 Silver Flash Stakes at Leopardstown last month, she had Dawn Delivers well back in third and surely more to come from her and has some interesting engagements through the rest of the season, but on this occasion the selection comes in September who comes in this 2-2 and was really impressive when landing this years Listed Chesham Stakes.

She looks ready for this step up in company, good pedigree being by Deep Impact out of multiple Group 1 winning mare Peeping Fawn, she has all the attributes to be a real star, acts on any ground and the nap of the day for me.

SEPTEMBER : 5pt in @ 11/8 (BOG)

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15.55 Curragh – Qatar Airlines Royal Whip Stakes (Group 3) (10f)

A small field contention here that could be a serious tactical affair and if so we could see Dermot Weld’s Dubawi Filly Shamreen come out on top. She looked in need of the run when only managing sixth in the Group 3 International Stakes over course and distance. She seems a late form horse which showed when landing the Group 3 Blandford Stakes over course and distance last season, acts with cut in the ground and gets the services of Pat Smulen who won this with Famous Name.

The last British trained winner came in 2014 for Mark Johnston and with only two British trained winners it is hard to get excited about Central Square this afternoon, one thing in his corner is the fact he does go well is time of year, winner of a 0-105 handicap at Doncaster last year when beating Poet’s Word who has gone on to win the Group 3 Glorious Stakes recently.

His form has dipped since and has only hit the frame on one occasion this year, this is a step up in class again, and it be interesting to see if he is time dependable as seems to come to hand around late August / early September.

SHAMREEN : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – Newbury & Doncaster -19th August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from Newbury and Doncaster.

13.50 Newbury – Denford Stakes (Listed)  (7f)

George Scott’s Another Batt is looking for his third campaign win of the season, this son of Windsor Knot has really turned a corner this year with wins at Ripon and Ayr, but he has come up short in his past two Listed encounters, third in the Rose Ball Stakes and more recently runner up in the Listed Pat Eddery Stakes when only beaten a neck on this ground. He has to be respected on ground that comes up softer than good, however 7f looks a bit too far for him.

We have two Frankel progeny’s in the race, Simon Crisford’s Red Mist and Willie Haggas’s Learn By Heart. Red Mist has had just the one run and set some really good sectional times when winning at Sandown, the third Blue Laureate is scheduled to run at Newbury this afternoon in a competitive maiden.

Learn By Heart represents the Queen, and is partnered by Andrea Atzeni, he ran well enough when landing a win around the Novice ranks on his second attempt at Doncaster, on the times he is far superior, but there could be more to come from Simon Crisford’s Red Mist and just gets the nod under champion elect Silvestre De Sousa.

RED MIST : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

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17.15 Doncaster – Follow Sun Bets On Twitter Apprentice Handicap (0-75) (10,1f)

Lawrence Mullaney’s Diamond Runner could be worth siding with here, this five year old is two from seven since arriving at his new surroundings and has gone close on a couple of occasions. His recent win off a mark off 55 at Redcar was probably more shade cosily than the winning distance reflects. With a high cruising speed, if he’s there on the premises two out, I feel he will be very hard to beat this afternoon.

His main dangers look to come from David O’Meara’s Royal Reserve, winner over this trip four runs back on the all weather when off a mark of 74, however he is 1-13 on the turf which is a big concern. Tony Carroll’s Sir Jack is looking very exposed with his string of placed runs, with only a win in selling company, he looks vulnerable once more.

So a confident bet comes in the way of Diamond Runner, who definitely knows where the winning line is these days.

DIAMOND RUNNER : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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