All articles by: Darren Chettleburgh

Horse Racing Preview – Newmarket -11th August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from one meeting, with selections coming from Newmarket.

 

19.35 Newmarket – Fly London Southend Airport To Budapest EBF Stallions Fillies Handicap (8f) (0-95)

Without sounding condescending in anyway, anyone of these could win this race, but the Karl Burke entry here Seduce Me probably looks the least exposed off the back of her two wins at Newbury and Epsom. With a 8lb rise at the weights, I would not be surprised if the yard have had to take this hike up in class purely as there is nothing out there, if the quick turnaround will not inconvenience her she should be going close again on this ground she thrives on.

Mark Johnston runs Titi Makfi who is another filly by the well-known soft ground sire Makfi, the handicapper has looked to have caught up with her looking the way her last two runs have panned out, but she has to have claims here dropping in class after her fine run in a 0-105 at Goodwood when behind Richard Hannon’s Billsden Bess, however my concern is the distance, she has not contested the dead 8f in her career yet, the way she is renown for coming off the pace she could be found wanting, looks on the sharp side for her.

Prying Pandora could be the dark horse in this, the Dark Angel filly won well on the all-weather at Newcastle back in May in this company, the third Lincoln Rocks has gone on to land a Listed race since with also good runs in higher company. The runner up has also won last month at Redcar, but in a much weaker event. But the least exposed at the trip and conditions, I am going to give the nod to the Karl Burke entry here Seduce Me to notch up her third win in succession under her pilot Jim Crowley.

SEDUCE ME : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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20.10 Newmarket – Fly London Southend Airport To Venice Handicap (6f) (0-95)

Again, you can give hope to most of these landing this race, but the fact that John Gallagher’s charge Major Pusey turns up after just four days when running a credible second in this company when behind Ice Age at Windsor would give him a slight chance again. He ran well here at the back-end of July when runner up over 5f, however he has failed miserably to land a Class 3 race, in fact he is at present 0-8 around that sphere, but getting weight all round here he is not going to get a better chance of recording a career best win.

One of interest here is John Quinn’s Reputation, he does not look the most straight forward, even so he has been keeping reasonable company around the 105 marks. Coming down at the weights gradually and does have a 0-100 win to his name this year. As the ground goes the jury is out, as he has run poorly on this surface in the past, however would not have to step up too much to win a race of this nature.

REPUTATION : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – Market Rasen, Chester & Galway – 6th August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from three meetings with selections coming from Chester & Market Rasen & Galway.

 

13.55 Market Rasen – Showroom Activities Juvenile Hurdle

Harry Skelton’s yard are simply flying at present and their newcomer here is Kereman. By St James’s Palace & King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes winning sire Azamour, out of 91 rated mare Kerania, he should really be mixing it up here on debut.

Costa Percy has to be respected off the back of his two wins around this sphere, but he could find the selection too much to handle this afternoon, his flat rating was not that much to write home about running off marks off the mid sixties. City Dreamer was seen pulling up over course and distance last time, he is another that is coming from an average flat background in the mid sixties.

KEREMAN : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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16.15 Chester – Total Fitness Queensferry Stakes (Listed) (6f)

This is a good opportunity for Kimberella to get back into the winning enclosure if good enough now back on turf, His last win on turf is starting to become distant, in fact Ripon was his last win last September when winning off a mark of 104. He ran well here last July when just denied over course and distance on soft ground when off a mark of 97, but his run at Musselburgh when contesting the Scottish Sprint Cup was a move in the right direction considering the trip was too sharp. Market support would show a lot of confidence behind his chances.

Clem Fandango could be the interesting one in the race, representing a trainer that is also in good form, Keith Dagliesh. With the eye catching booking of Chester specialist Franny Norton in the plate she would not be out of this. She will have to prove that she gets this index after some poor showings in the past. Last years Roseberry Stake’s winner has to prove to me that she is just not a 5f sprinter, the ground is perfect and a big run expected from a reasonable draw to drop in.

CLEM FANDANGO : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

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18.00 Galway – F.R.Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) I.N.H Flat

Its always hard to get away from a Willie Mullins bumper runner, here he has two in the line up with son Patrick electing to ride Ainsi Va La Vie who got off the mark at the first time of asking at Limerick when thrashing his nearest rival by ten lengths. The runner up Osco Mosco has boosted that form when winning at Wexford nine days ago.

The sire Liverco was a useful middles distance Group 1 winner in Germany, landing races such as the Europa Preis and the German Derby, the dam was an average mare running index’s up to 8.5f without success. He will be hard to beat and the price will reflect that.

The yards other runner is their mare Vittorio, who also won first time under rules at Roscommon under today’s pilot Katie Walsh, and she was impressive when winning by nine lengths, the runner up was not disgraced when third to Osco Mosco who Ainsi Va La Vie thrashed.

If the Mullins pair fail to turn up for some reason then a big claim should go to Joseph O’Brien’s entry here Santiago De Cuba who was equally impressive when landing his debut at Killarney by just over three lengths. The runner up was beaten here on Monday by another Mullins power house Poet Power, but on the official ratings and form,  Ainsi Va La Vie should be hard to beat with Santiago De Cuba and Vittorio picking up the scraps for the minor honours.

AINSI VA LA VIE : 5pt win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – Goodwood & Newmarket – 5th August 2017

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Today’s horse racing preview comes from 2 meetings, with selections from Glorious Goodwood & Newmarket.

Yesterday finally got the blog off  to a good start for August with two winners and one placed advised. The most impressive for me was Beat The Bank who has a Celebration Mile entry along with a Park Stakes entry, the latter race is the interesting ante-post bet for me.

 

14.40 Newmarket – British EBF Fillies Nursery Handicap (6f)

I would like to think that Michael Bell’s team are still on the upward curve and their entry here First Drive can grind out another win here. Her win over 6.1f at Nottingham was a useful time and that was her first win. However she looks to have improved from when she finished runner up on her debut at Yarmouth when again clocking the best time on this ground.

With quiet a few of these either dropping back in trip or tackling the trip for the first time, First Drive has proven she has some potential, best of the rest could come from Mark Johnston’s Faithful Promise who got her second career win at Carlisle last month in a reasonable time, but concerns if she will run if the heavens once more open.

FIRST DRIVE : 2pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

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15.50 Newmarket – Malcolm Roxburgh Retirement Handicap (0-90) (7f)

Bottom of the card Stuart Williams Derek Duval would have a live chance in what looks a very open contest. He looked to adapt better to the easing ground at York last time when finishing runner up to Kevin Ryan’s well punted Lualiwa who was coming off the back of a win at Chester off 82. He looks ground dependable for me and with the ground easing here, he has a lively chance getting weight all round.

Mojito will have his followers, James Doyle turns up to ride the Haggas three year old who won with plenty in hand at Sandown when landing a 0-90 handicap, however he has been beaten when the ground has some cut on both occasions and at 5/6 he is worth taking on with the selection.

DEREK DUVAL : 1pt each way @ 6/1 (BOG)

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15.35 Goodwood Qatar Stewards Cup (Heritage Handicap) (6f)

With the ground coming up soft to heavy and rain forecast over night I am swaying to the high draw bias in this. So this gives me a possible dutch in the race with David Elsworth’s Sir Dancealot and Michael Appleby’s Danzeno.

The latter is not overly exposed around this sphere and was last seen when landing the Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap at Ascot last month when beating an old adversary in Polybius. They both meet once more and Danzeno will have to concede another 6lb to his rival. Silvestre De Sousa must feel there is more to come from the six year old and takes the ride once more.

The second selection comes in the way of David Elsworth’s Sir Dancealot. Three year olds have won the last two renewals of this race and have been at the head of the market, After Ryan Moore’s three timer yesterday which included winning on Master The World for Elsworth, they team up again and are likely to go close coming from stall 24.

Projection and Polybius should be on the premises also from their good draws; the former ran a cracking third in this year’s Wokingham, a neck in front of a Polybius that day. He will have to concede another 1lb to Polybius this time around, however this horse has not won since Ryan Moore guided him to success at Salisbury last year and with the genius riding another this just could be a tip in itself, Kieran Shoemark wont be claiming his 3lb here.

You cannot fault David Simcock’s Polybius maximum efforts this year, but his losing streak now goes back two years when winning the Listed Hopeful Stakes when trained by David Lanigan, I think he will run well once more, but looked better suited at Ascot so a return there in the near future he could gain a well deserved seasonal success.

 

SIR DANCEALOT : 2pts each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

Danzeno : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

 

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