All articles by: Darren Chettleburgh

Horse Racing Preview – Leicester – 30th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections this afternoon all come from Leicester.

 

13.20 Leicester – Sir Gordon Richards Handicap (11.8f)

Master The World (110)
Arthenus (103)
Rock Steady (97)

David Elsworth’s Master the World ran a creditable mid divisional run in the Balmoral Handicap, partnered by a claiming amateur, you would have thought he was being schooled when held up and made in-roads late on, however was never going to threaten the principles. Clear cut winner in this years Betfred Mile Handicap at the Goodwood festival and with only 3lb higher there, looks a more positive runner this afternoon under Jim Crowley.

Roger Charlton has redeemed some form over the past week, represented here with Rock Steady who has been having a spell around the all weather circuit, however his last run on turf came over course and distance when finishing runner up to Faithful Mount who now poses a mark of 125 over hurdles, the concern for Rock Steady is that he has a tendency to waver under pressure as he did here when jinking right which cost him a couple of lengths.

Arthenus was last seen running a moderate seventh in the Cumberland Lodge, probably a bit out of his comfort zone, he has run well in a couple of pattern races here and abroad, however he has become very complacent, with his best career form coming as a three year old, maybe his best days are behind him and could struggle again.

MASTER THE WORLD : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

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13.55 Leicester – Hoby Handicap (8.2f)

Kings Pavillion (97)
Home Cummins (95)
Bravery (95)

David Barron’s Kings Pavilion has been frustrating for me on his past two outings, I do not think he should have been beaten at Chester when Ben Curtis fell asleep at the boxes and lost several lengths, it was catch up from there and only lost by half a length at the finish which was the most annoying part. Again Ben Curtis took the mount when fourth behind Century Dream at Haydock and actually that was a better run considering the winner won on Saturday the Worthington Hcp.

Home Cummins represents inform Richard Fahey, a creditable run when behind Zabeel Prince at York when three parts of a length behind Bravery when 3lb better off at the weights. They meet this time around with Home Cummins getting the weight to reverse that form, should be on the premises once more. Bravery has to concede another 2lb to Home Cummins and will have to step up once more to win this.

KINGS PAVILION : 1pt each way @ 15/2 (BOG)

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14.30 Leicester – Gumley Claiming Stakes (7f)

Sans Sauci Bay (84)
Oakley Pride (79)
Lexington Sky (74)

This is a big opportunity for Scott Dixon’s San Sauci Bay to win again after winning a seller over course and distance two weeks ago, Bought out of Richard Hannon’s yard I would expect this to be another stepping stone to success against a exposed field.

Oakley Pride has been consistent without winning, landing a seller back in February and was claimed back in, fourth behind the selection last time to eleven lengths, this time around though he gets 19lb from San Souci Bay, but could find the selection too much to handle under Hollie Doyle.

Lexington Sky won on heavy ground at Nottingham back in August, has failed to shine off the back of the 6lb penalty, gets a life line today now dropping back to 69.

SANS SOUCI BAY : 2pt win @ 2/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – Aintree – 29th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has three selections coming from Aintree (Old Roan Chase) and Wincanton.

 

15.00 Aintree -188bet Monet’s Garden Old Roan (Limited Handicap) Chase (Grade 2) (19.9f)

THIRD INTENTION (165)
TRAFFIC FLUIDE (160)
GODS OWN (158)

Last years winner Third Intention returns to attempt to become only the second horse to land this race since Monet’s Garden who claimed this race three times. Since landing this race last year when beating God’s Own by one and three quarter lengths he has lost his way a bit, God’s Own had to concede 16lb to the selection that day and will have to do so again.

Third Intention has failed to hit the frame on seven other attempts, however he has always been around his current mark of 150 and once more returns with a big chance of claiming the prize once more under Aidan Coleman for the second time.

Gary Moore has kicked started his season in good style and saddles Traffic Fluide who was unlucky not to land Grade 2 Oaksey Chase at Sandown on his last start last season when off a mark of 156, he had Third Intention beaten that day to over twenty four lengths when in receipt of 6lb, he has to give the selection 6lb this time, a 12lb turnaround at the weights which should be enough to reverse that form. Gods Own ran an amazing race last year when giving weight to over a stone to the winner, he will have to do so again and looks a hard task to reverse that form.

THIRD INTENTION : 1pt each way @ 11/1 (BOG)

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15.35 Aintree – Read Noel Fehily At 188Bet,co.uk Interactive Chase (Novices Handicap Chase) (24.9f)

MATORICO (131)
SOME ARE LUCKY (131)
SOME KINDA LAMA (129)

This is a really tight one to call, with the tentative vote going to Jonjo O’Neill’s Matorico who is only having his third chase start. He steps back up in trip significantly this afternoon to three miles plus, he had a reasonable level of form over hurdles with a place run over 25.5f when off a mark of 133, he comes here 2lb lower than his hurdling mark and I would expect a bold show under Coleman.

Some Are Lucky has a lot of potential and returned to the chase circuit when finishing a close second to Sam Red of Harry Skelton’s at Stratford twenty six days ago, the problem I have with him is the fact he travels well throughout his races, but tends to find one to good and throws in the towel far to easily for me.

Last but not least, Some Kinda Lama who gets the services of Jamie Moore, His chase debut came at Worcester when beaten twenty six lengths to Ballymalin, he never really recovered when hampered a long way from home. He gets a drop of 4lb back to his hurdling mark this afternoon and considering he has form over the trip when over hurdles he can not be discounted.

MATORICO : 1pt each way @ 14/1 (BOG)

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14.10 Wincanton – BT Novices Handicap Chase (20.2f)

FAVORITO BUCKS (132)
FARM THE ROCK (126)
GOLD MOUNTAIN (119)

Paul Nicholl’s Favorito Bucks looks well in here on what I have worked out, he posted a mark of 132 when not staying the three miles at Kempton, even though there was only the five runners, all three adversaries are more than likely to progress to marks of over 140 this coming season. He has competed over course and distance when pulling up, but again, that was a far better race than this. His current mark of 122 he should be running a big race if handling the softer conditions.

Farm the Rock is also looking well handicapped, Katy Price’s six year old finished twenty five lengths behind Sceau Royal on chase debut at Warwick over two miles. Sceau Royal now runs off a mark of 154 and was unlucky not to win at the weekend when just out battled by the very talented North Hill Harvey in the a competitive race at Cheltenham, Farm the Rock gets 6lb from the selection, but Benjamin Poste wont be able to claim.

Alexandra Dunn is a trainer I like to follow around these poor contests, slapped with a 10lb penalty when burying his rivals at Taunton by twelve lengths, I thought was harsh, he was beating that day the once thought of Golanova who’s career this year has been a bit better in his fourth season as a chaser, however he has a lot to find with a few here in my opinion.

FAVORITO BUCKS : 1pt each way @ 13/2 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview – Doncaster – 28th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Doncaster. Will we see history made this afternoon when Aidan O’Brien tries to break the record, he has three entries in the Racing Post renewal, but its been four years since he has saddled the winner of the race and once more the opposition have come with strong contenders.

 

13.45 Doncaster – Bet Through The Racing Post App Doncaster Stakes (Listed) (6f)

Rebel Assault (109)
Sankari Royale (106)
Red Roman (103)

Despite not being the top rated, Red Roman is actually a god deal better than his mark suggests. Charlie Hills juvenile has picked up two career wins as a juvenile which included a win at this years Goodwood festival when landing a Class 2 handicap in good style, his run behind Rogue whom I do fancy this afternoon on the card when going behind by a short head was far better than when I thought when finishing fourth in two year old trophy at Redcar three weeks ago.

Hugo Palmer get’s the services of Ryan Moore this afternoon on Never Back Down, he finished behind Red Roman at Redcar to three parts of a length and once more I expect the pair to be close up again, especially Red Roman. Now if Sankari Royale brought her Hughes Stakes run to the table she could well be involved here. She went on to run a big race when finishing fourth to double Group 1 winner US Army Flag, the drop down to 5f did not look right in the Cornwallis Stakes, back up to 6f and good ground, 20/1 could be over priced.

The selection represents Mark Johnston, Rebel Assault, who landed this years Rockingham Stakes at York and showed pure determination to hold off the strong challenge of It Don’t Come Easy, back in third was Staxton who would probably find this just on the short side as was doing most of his work late on.

The Rockingham over the years has produced winners of this race, and once more there looks to be a serious filly in Rebel Assault who can land the race in good fashion.

REBEL ASSAULT : 2pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

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14.20 Doncaster – Scott Dobson Memorial Nursery (7f)

Rogue (90)
Big Les (85)
Zap (81)

Charlie Appleby’s Al Hajar was very impressive when scoring by seven lengths at Redcar, it’s hard to assess that maiden at present, he definitely looks above average and deserves respect, Karen McLintock puts in Big Les here who won a Nursery just under three weeks ago at Pontefract by a length under today’s pilot Graham Lee.

However, the race that showed his true potential was when finishing third to One Minute of Willie Haggas’s who has failed to show any kind of that form since. The runner up though, Abel Handy, has gone on to finish runner up to Sound and Silence in the Julia Graves Stakes and went one better when winning the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes when reversing the Sound and Silence form. The way Big Les won at Pontefract suggests that seven furlongs would probably just be a tad to far for this son of Big Bad Bob.

The selection, Rogue, beat Redcar Listed fourth Red Roman who runs in the first on the card, already gelded, this son of Holy Roman Emperor looks all speed and once more gets the services of Ryan Moore who won on him at Salisbury, the concern is he tends to hang to his left under pressure, but with only a 5lb penalty in tact he should go well again.

ROGUE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

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15.25 Doncaster – Racing Post Trophy Stakes (Group 1) (8f)

Verbal Dexterity (114)
Roaring Lion (111)
Seahenge (109)

Aidan O’Brien will be going for the record this afternoon when he saddles Coat of Arms (also has a Leopardstown engagement), Saxon Warrior, The Pentagon & Seahenge. Out of the four entries I do think Seahenge looks the more likely to go close. He was seen winning over seven furlongs here around Doncaster when landing the Group 2 Champagne Stakes when beating multiple winner Hey Gaman by the smallest of margins.

The obvious jockey booking of Ryan Moore, who has elected to ride Group 2 Beresford Stakes winner Saxon Warrior, that form took a boost when Riyazan landed the Listed Star Appeal Stakes at Naas, the third, Kew Gardens, has also franked the form by winning the Listed Zetland Stakes in very good style, the sire Deep Impact only won a claimer as a racehorse, but as a sire he has excelled winners all over the world, but at 7/4 Saxon Warrior just might find one two good here.

John Gosden’s stables have hit form again, Roaring Lion comes here unbeaten and could not have been more impressive when landing the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes when beating Nelson by a neck, that formline is very strong with him beating Kew Gardens this year. However, Roaring Lion has been slapped with a Group penalty, in fact he has jumped from 91-112 a staggering 21lb rise for his first attempt at the top level.

With three Irish winners in the last ten years which have all come from Ballydoyle, I feel there is an opportunity for another winner here in Verbal Dexterity who represents Jim Bolger. His reversal when beating Becksford in the Group 1 National Stakes was very eyecatching, I would like to think there will be more to come now stepping up to the 8f, big adversary to all.

VERBAL DEXTERITY : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

 

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