All articles by: Darren Chettleburgh

Horse Racing Preview – Nottingham & Kempton – 8th November 2017

November 8, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Nottingham and Kempton racecourses.

14.15 Nottingham – Lady Cecil Handicap (5f)

Gracious John (106)
Perfect Pasture (105)
Atletico (98)

David Evans Gracious John returns to the haunt that saw him land this race last year when beating Perfect Pasture by half a length when getting 10lb from his rival, this year he comes into this off just 98 and is only in receipt of 9lb, 1lb might not seem like a lot but it’s equivalent to half a length if needed to reverse that form.

Both have come into this off the back of wins, Gracious John winning three weeks ago at Leicester when over turning 106 rated Just Glamorous, and has only been penalised 2lb, Perfect Pasture won at Doncaster when beating 101 rated Flying Pursuit, however that was over 6f. Today’s optimum trip at this level has seen him just 1-9 as to Gracious John whose form is not much better, however he has been floating around marks of 106-110 for a while so to be dropped to just 98, looks best of the two to land this race. Perfect Pasture drops back to 5f for the first time since this race last year.

One that could upset the applecart if the two inform entrants lose their way is Roger Varian’s Atletico, he has been beaten by Tomily this year to two and a quarter lengths at Doncaster last time out, the only problem he was drawn totally out of the race despite staying on in the closing stages, he is still 9lb higher than when winning his sole turf race at Windsor back in July.

GRACIOUS JOHN : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

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18.10 Kempton – 32Red.com Nursery (7f)

Motown Mick (82)
Lady of Aran (78)

Richard Hannon books the services of Timmy Murphy this evening on Motown Mick, this son of Intikhab was last seen finishing second to Di Fede by the smallest of margins, back in fifth was Finsbury Park to twelve lengths and even at these weights it’s hard to see that reversed.

Main danger I feel will come from Charlie Fellowes Lady of Aran, she had plenty in hand when beating her opponents over course and distance five weeks ago and the daughter of Sir Prancealot should have no problems here again to be involved under PJ McDonald.

MOTOWN MICK : 2pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

Good Luck, Bet Responsibly

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Horse Racing Preview – Redcar – 7th November 2017

November 6, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Redcar.

13.50 Redcar – Racing UK Free For A Month Handicap (10f)

Swift Emperor (101)
Qaffaal (97)
Awake My Soul (90)

Qaffaal is just one of three entries here for Mick Easterby with probably Magic City being the main string with Lewis Edmunds booked, however Qaffaal was last seen over this trip at Chelmsford when finishing third to 105 rated Fanciful Angel, he tends to do a lot of his work late on so he won’t be on the scene until extremely late, Awake My Soul represents the Tom Tate yard, His run behind the likes of Century Dream last time at Newbury would put him right there.

It did not end well when finishing last off a mark of 93, just 5lb lower this time around, he would have to divert his last run when behind Century Dream at Newbury to be involved this afternoon which is not the easiest of tasks. The selection comes in the way of David Barron’s Swift Emperor who was last seen over course and distance back in May when eighth in the Zetland old Cup.

His second last time at York when finishing runner up to Grand Inquisitor, he is another that will come off the pace, but he tends to leave himself too much to do these days, however Ben Curtis knows the way he has to be ridden and should be on the premises.

SWIFT EMPEROR : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

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15.25 Redcar – Start Your Racing Uk Free Trial Now Handicap (15.9f)

DAKOTA CITY (82)
Ingleby Hollow (70)
Adrakhan (69)

Olly Murphy’s Dakota City is the NAP this afternoon, this will be his first attention on the turf over today’s index, however he has competed over two miles on the all weather at Chelmsford when finishing behind the likes of Velvet Revolution and Cartwright who that day were rated over 15lb ahead of this selection, so a bold run despite the distance of defeat.

Both Ingleby Hollow & Adrakhan can pick up the pieces if the selection fails to shine here, especially the latter who represents a trainer with a 22% strike rate around here. He has attempted three times around a further index, but his run at Catterick last time pulls him with a place claim.

DAKOTA CITY : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

Good Luck, Bet Responsibly

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Horse Racing Preview – Kempton – 6th November 2017

November 6, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Today’s horse racing preview selections come on the all weather at Kempton.

14.20 Kempton – 32Red On The App Store Fillies Handicap (8f)

LUCY THE PAINTER (92)
Tai Hang Dragon (82)
Lady Lydia (82)

Ed de Giles five year old has plummeted at the weights and has not seen a winning enclosure for the past nineteen runs, however her all weather form reads 3-5 and despite her poor run which has mainly come on turf she was seen here over course and distance back in the spring when not running a true race finishing second last to Aljazzi in the Listed Snowdrop Fillies Stakes. That winner went on to land the Group 3 Atalanta Stakes.

She has dropped to a mark of 80 for the first time since the spring of 2015, her main form does come around the spring, however this mark is very exploitable being 12lb lower than she has been contending over the past season and a half. Tai Hang Dragon probably has a better chance of winning this afternoon with Sean Levey on board. Levey has a reasonable stat form on her and I think you could disregard her last run at Newmarket as it honestly felt Ryan Moore was totally dis-interested in putting her into the race.

Lady Lydia will probably being playing catch up with the field, she has a lot to find with a few of these, however this is a very open contest for me so the results recently could bring a big run out of her regardless.

LUCY THE PAINTER : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

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15.50 Kempton – 32Red.com Handicap (6f)

KASBAH (92)
Sir Ottoman (91)
Fast Track (91)

I could not split several of these to be fair and this is a very tight knit contest, David Barron’s Fast Track was seen running a cracker off 89 when behind the likes of Solar Flair and Stellarta, he was strangely dropped to the optimum at Chelmsford when beaten just a length and a quarter. He has fairly good form on the all weather and I would expect a bold showing again.

Sir Ottoman represents Ivan Furtado, the ex French trained four year old has failed to shine since landing in the UK, but the most eye catching is this a selling tactic with Luke Morris being booked on a 25/1 shot, if she does not shine here I feel we could see her in a seller or claimer.

On to the selection, trained by Amanda Perratt his last visit here saw him finishing fourth to Hakam, he was also seen that day finished behind Solar Flair and Stellarta, ridden by Jack Mitchell that day he was outpaced very quickly and finished off the race one pace, Jack Mitchell gets the ride again which is not the most positive thing to see, however he has the ability to run above this caliber of adversaries.

KASBAH : 1pt each way @ 10/1 (BOG)