Horse Racing Preview – Goodwood & Newmarket – 5th August 2017

Horse Racing Preview - Goodwood & Newmarket - 5th August 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from 2 meetings, with selections from Glorious Goodwood & Newmarket.

Yesterday finally got the blog off  to a good start for August with two winners and one placed advised. The most impressive for me was Beat The Bank who has a Celebration Mile entry along with a Park Stakes entry, the latter race is the interesting ante-post bet for me.

 

14.40 Newmarket – British EBF Fillies Nursery Handicap (6f)

I would like to think that Michael Bell’s team are still on the upward curve and their entry here First Drive can grind out another win here. Her win over 6.1f at Nottingham was a useful time and that was her first win. However she looks to have improved from when she finished runner up on her debut at Yarmouth when again clocking the best time on this ground.

With quiet a few of these either dropping back in trip or tackling the trip for the first time, First Drive has proven she has some potential, best of the rest could come from Mark Johnston’s Faithful Promise who got her second career win at Carlisle last month in a reasonable time, but concerns if she will run if the heavens once more open.

FIRST DRIVE : 2pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

15.50 Newmarket – Malcolm Roxburgh Retirement Handicap (0-90) (7f)

Bottom of the card Stuart Williams Derek Duval would have a live chance in what looks a very open contest. He looked to adapt better to the easing ground at York last time when finishing runner up to Kevin Ryan’s well punted Lualiwa who was coming off the back of a win at Chester off 82. He looks ground dependable for me and with the ground easing here, he has a lively chance getting weight all round.

Mojito will have his followers, James Doyle turns up to ride the Haggas three year old who won with plenty in hand at Sandown when landing a 0-90 handicap, however he has been beaten when the ground has some cut on both occasions and at 5/6 he is worth taking on with the selection.

DEREK DUVAL : 1pt each way @ 6/1 (BOG)

15.35 Goodwood Qatar Stewards Cup (Heritage Handicap) (6f)

With the ground coming up soft to heavy and rain forecast over night I am swaying to the high draw bias in this. So this gives me a possible dutch in the race with David Elsworth’s Sir Dancealot and Michael Appleby’s Danzeno.

The latter is not overly exposed around this sphere and was last seen when landing the Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap at Ascot last month when beating an old adversary in Polybius. They both meet once more and Danzeno will have to concede another 6lb to his rival. Silvestre De Sousa must feel there is more to come from the six year old and takes the ride once more.

The second selection comes in the way of David Elsworth’s Sir Dancealot. Three year olds have won the last two renewals of this race and have been at the head of the market, After Ryan Moore’s three timer yesterday which included winning on Master The World for Elsworth, they team up again and are likely to go close coming from stall 24.

Projection and Polybius should be on the premises also from their good draws; the former ran a cracking third in this year’s Wokingham, a neck in front of a Polybius that day. He will have to concede another 1lb to Polybius this time around, however this horse has not won since Ryan Moore guided him to success at Salisbury last year and with the genius riding another this just could be a tip in itself, Kieran Shoemark wont be claiming his 3lb here.

You cannot fault David Simcock’s Polybius maximum efforts this year, but his losing streak now goes back two years when winning the Listed Hopeful Stakes when trained by David Lanigan, I think he will run well once more, but looked better suited at Ascot so a return there in the near future he could gain a well deserved seasonal success.

 

SIR DANCEALOT : 2pts each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

Danzeno : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (BOG)

 

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