Horse Racing Preview – Nottingham – 25th July 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from one meeting, with 4 selections from Nottingham.

 

18.20 Nottingham – Watch Racing UK With Free Trial Now Novice Auction Stakes  (5.1f)

Paul Cole’s May Remain is the most experienced in the field, with one recorded win which came over five furlongs at Goodwood back in May. There have been positive runs since when returning to the haunt of Goodwood to be beaten quite convincingly over six furlongs.

He was subsequently dropped back to this trip and ran well again when beaten at Chepstow by a recent Listed contender in Listen Alexander who has been probably been running up to marks of around the mid-eighties. I am not that concerned by the softening conditions, considering the sire Mayson won plenty on this ground.

Main danger and selection though comes in the way of Ginbar of Tom Dascombe’s. He equipped himself well on debut when runner up at Chester when beaten by Gift in Time who had already run in the Norfolk Stakes. That race is going to produce more winners, Ginbar would not have to do much to improve to land this contest.

GINBAR : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

18.50 Nottingham – Racing UK Free For A Month Handicap

Michael Appleby trained last year’s third in this and returns with a live chance with Primanora, who could not be more consistent with all her fourth places on her resume. She has finished twice here at Nottingham over 6.1f and takes the drop back to the optimum which just might be a well plotted piece of brilliance by the trainer.

She won’t have it all her own way though, with the likes of Glacier Point in the race, who was last seen winning at Chepstow in a 0-70 Handicap. Her two runs on ground that has come up like today has failed to show her true self and once more can be vulnerable to the conditions.

Sitar also deserves a mention after her win over course and distance two runs back in a 0-65 handicap. However, was beaten in a 0-75 last time out at Yarmouth and the winner was left with egg on his face when finishing last recently. I will stay with Primanora as she will be value I think against the two main principles in the market.

PRIMANORA : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

19.20 Nottingham – Trial Racing UK For Free Now Handicap (0-80) (6.1f)

I feel the two to concentrate on here are the top and bottom weights in Champagne Bob and King of Spin. The latter is on a quick turnaround after scoring just four days ago. Can you believe that this five-year-old gelding has only been ridden by claiming amateurs since August of 2015?  With only three jockeys succeeding, including today’s rider Katherine Glenister who rode him to success two runs back at Chepstow.

This afternoon he is going for his third win in three weeks, however, despite getting lumps of weight from King of Spin, a stone and a half in fact, I do feel he will find it hard to fend off Richard Hughes four year old. He won here last August over course and distance on good ground and has equipped himself well recently when runner up at Windsor in a 0-85 handicap.

His last win here at the course, he wore a tongue tie, which returns once more after being left off his last three runs, which gives him the nod for me under 7lb claimer Finley Marsh.

KING OF SPIN : 3pts Win @ SP (BOG)

19.50 Nottingham – Starting Your Free Racing UK Free Trial Now Handicap (0-80) (8.3f)

I am finding it hard to get David O’Meara’s Lamloon beaten this evening. His consistent ability to keep on running under penalties and producing is the best form on offer here. Four attempts at a mile he has failed, hitting the bar on three occasions. Despite his only success coming over 9.1f at Ayr, in which he has become a regular visitor, he goes well in the conditions and would I like to think they could ride him handier with Tudhope in the plate, he can grind this out and win despite taking a slight drop in trip.

Richard Fahey’s Natajack looks the main danger under Tony Hamilton. He gets 9lb from the selection but I actually think that is a plus, Tony Hamilton’s stats when riding horses that are in receipt of weight when fancied have returned just 8% from 47 mounts. Natajack was probably unlucky not to win on debut at Newbury in these conditions when a head behind now 87 rated Musawaat.

Has been beaten over the index at Doncaster but that came on faster ground, the drop back to just under a mile saw him just hold on at Carlisle two weeks ago, will have to step up again to get back to back wins.

LAMLOOM : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

*I would also like to suggest a Win Lucky 15 on the 4 selections, as they can all give a good account of themselves on the day.*

 

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