All articles by: David Shaw

Oct 21st: David’s Top Tips

Happy Friday everyone, hopefully this week has treated you well.

Welcome to a new feature on the Betalyst site. Based on the most recent round of feedback that you all provided me (thanks to all who got involved) I am now going to be writing a daily column on the site to highlight my picks of the day.

As you all know Betalyst is based off of it’s own algorithm that picks tips everyday and analyses every match in it’s system to provide predictions for outcomes and events in games and it is currently very accurate, especially compared to other similar websites that I monitor and compare against.

This column will be my personal viewpoint on the day’s football betting and a selection of my own tips. I encourage you all to get involved using the comments section below to share your tips for the day, thoughts on the days games, any research you have and ask questions of me and other readers about bets you are thinking of placing.

David’s Top Tips

There are a decent number of games on today to research, the highlights include Burton vs Birmingham in the English Championship, Monaco vs Montpellier in French Ligue 1, Hamburg vs Frankfurt in the German Bundesliga and Osasuna vs Betis in La Liga… There are also a host of games from French Ligue 2, Portgual, Poland and more.

falcaoI am going to start today with the game in Ligue 1 where Monaco play host to Montpellier. On paper this would look to be Monaco’s match and I think the return of Radamel Falcao is only going to strengthen their claims. They had a tough workout in Moscow on Tuesday night and that may give Montpellier a slight edge in terms of fitness. Montpellier have scored in each of their four away games this season and given that Monaco have only managed the one clean sheet at home which came in the 3-0 win over Rennes, I would suggest Both Teams To Score looks likely here.

In Germany Hamburg host Frankfurt tonight in a game where the bookies have struggled to separate the teams and this could open up some value. Despite the change in manager and an impressive point they picked up away at M’Gladback last week I still can’t see any life in this Hamburg team. They are still yet to win a game this season and have managed to score just two goals. However on the other side we have a Frankfurt side that are really struggling with games away from home, with just 2 away wins in their last ten away from home and only 3 points from 9 available away this season. I think the one standout selection in this game has to be Under 2.5 Goals. Hamburg average 2.33 goals per game at home and Frankfurt’s average is just 1.83.

The game in La Liga tonight Osasuna vs Betis is one that I am going to take a pass on, I can’t separate the sides and nothing appeals in what could be a dreadful game.

In England tonight Burton play hosts to a Birmingham side who put four goals past Rotherham in midweek and  they have only lost once in their six away games this season. An initial look at Burton’s form may make you think about backing the away win but on closer inspection they have some merit. They have managed just two wins in their last 10 matches in all competitions, however, when you break it into home league games they have managed to pick up 10 points from their 6 home games. I think it is a game to avoid trying to pick a winner from, but would take interest in the Under 2.5 Goals market. Burton have only gone over 2.5 goals at home once this season in their defeat by Bristol City and Birmingham’s away games tend to average only two goals.

Elsewhere around Europe tonight I fancy a couple of teams at attractive odds, namely, Brest away at Laval in French Ligue 2. Brest are currently top of the table and are in a bit of form in the league and come up against a Laval side who currently sit 2nd bottom and have managed just 6 goals this season to Brest’s 17. Brest are currently at odds around 2/1 to win. Excelsior vs Zwolle looks set to be a match full of goals, both teams average over three goals per game and the two previous meetings ended 2-2 and 0-5, I fancy Excelsior to come out on the right side of the goals tonight with a win. Finally another game in French Ligue 2 where Tours host Valenciennes, I am struggling to find any reason to back a Tours side who have not won a game at home since 1st April and have only managed three goals in six home games this season. Valenciennes come into the game on the back of two wins where they have scored seven goals and I think they will have too much for Tours here.

Based on the above, here are my Top Tips for today:

David’s Super Single:

2pts – Monaco Win vs Monpellier (French Ligue 1)

Odds: 4/6

David’s Daily Double:

1pts – Double:

Monaco vs Monpellier – Both Teams to Score

Hamburg vs Frankfurt – Under 2.5 Goals

Odds: 2.2/1

David’s Daily Acca:

0.5pts – 5-Fold:

Monaco Win vs Montpellier

Brest Win vs Laval

Valenciennes Win vs Tours

Burton vs Birmingham – Under 2.5 Goals

Excelsior vs Zwolle – Over 2.5 Goals

Odds: 39.3/1

David’s Longshot Treble:

0.25pts – Treble:

Monaco Win + BTTS

Excelsior Win + BTTS

Valenciennes Win

Odds: 43.09/1

  • All odds listed here taken from Bet365

Good luck today everyone..

Please discuss the days betting, your tips and ask any questions of my tips in the comment section below.

Liverpool vs Manchester United Betting Preview

Tonight’s Monday night football looks set to be a cracker with Liverpool playing host to Manchester United in what is one of the highest profile fixtures in the English football calendar.

liverpool-vs-manuBoth teams come into this game on relatively strong form:

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 7 games
  • Man Utd are unbeaten in their last 4 games
  • Liverpool have scored 9 goals in their 2 home games this season (avg 4.5 per game)
  • Man Utd have scored 8 goals in their 5 away games this season (avg 1.6 per game)

Liverpool have only played two games at home this season due to the work that was being carried out on their stadium over the summer so it is difficult to make many judgements on their home form, given that they scored 5 against Hull in their last home game, a team that have gone on to concede 6 goals to Bournemouth so we can’t take too much from that one. The 4-1 victory against Leicester is put in doubt given Leicester’s poor away form this season but that is still a good indication.

Manchester United have had some slippery results away from home this season. A 3-1 win away at Bournemouth was spot on what was expected of them but they could only manage a 1-0 win away at Hull, a result that pulls down their score as based on other teams performances again Hull this comes up short for United. A 1-0 defeat to Feyenoord and a 3-1 defeat away at Watford are strong indicators that Man United may have some issues away from home.

The algorithm has picked out Liverpool to edge out the win here with a score of 50% vs  score of 42% for United and only 8% for the draw. I am going to put my weight behind Liverpool as well in this one.

In terms of goals this is a fixture that does not offer many trends so it is best to look into recent form as a guide to goals in this one tonight.

Liverpool’s home games this season have averaged 5.5 goals and United’s away games this season have averaged 2.8 goals. With the Betalyst algorithm throwing out a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals here I think that looks like a solid bet and both teams to score is also being offered a score of 82% confidence that both teams will find the net. Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season and United’s only clean sheet away from home this season was against Hull.

Based on all the above, my bets for tonights game are:

Liverpool to win @ 2.25 – Bet365

Liverpool to win + BTTS @ 4.33 – Bet365

Both teams to score @ 1.70 – Bet365

Full matchup stats can be found here: Liverpool vs Manchester United

Website Feedback Survey

Over the past couple of months I have been working hard to improve the Betalyst website to make it match the way you all bet.

I have added new sections such as the NAP (Bet of the Day), Daily Double, Over 3.5 Goals and the £10 to £1,000 Challenge.

I have also begun doing Inplay betting tips on the Twitter account to provide tips throughout the day.

You will also notice that the PRO Tips is now only £9.99 a month!

All of these changes and many more were made to the site thanks to all the feedback that you provided in my last feedback survey and I am hoping that you are all enjoying the updates I have made.

I am now ready to start working on some even more exciting stuff for you guys so it would be great to get your feedback again so I can prioritise where to start and add sections to the site that you will all find useful.

Please take a couple of minutes to fill out the form below and let me know how I can help you with your betting in the future.

There are now over 10,000 of you using Betalyst! Thank you all for your support.

(Five people who enter the survey will be picked at random to get a FREE lifetime membership to PRO Tips!)

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