It was a good day yesterday with both the tips winning!!

As I am not feeling great today this is just a short update with my tips for the day in.

I have picked out three teams I really fancy to win today as well as a both teams to score pick that I am really confident in…

David’s Top Tips:

AC Ajaccio Win vs Laval – Odds: 2.00 (France)

FC Twente Win vs Roda – Odds: 1.57 (Netherlands)

Parana Clube Win vs Bragantino – Odds: 1.91 (Brazil)

Nautico vs Atletico Go – Both teams to score – Odds: 1.90 (Brazil – Overnight)

Thursdays are not a great day for football betting, especially when there is no Europa League…

The pickings are slim today but there are a few teams that I fancy to do well who are currently priced up by the bookies at longer odd that I would expect to find them.

Whilst I like the look of the odds on an AIK win tonight against Hacken I have decided not to run it as an official tip but it could be a good one to put in any accumulators you are running today. Also in Sweden, for those of you that like to lay teams on the exchanges, I think Goteborg might not have the best of evenings away at Sundsvall and they are at odds that are far too short in my opinion.

So, my tips today are two games where I feel the bookies have the wrong prices for the teams to win tonight based on the probability of them winning the games.

First up we have Gent who host Standard Liege in Belgium tonight. The bookies currently have a Gent win available at odds around 1.75, however, the algorithm and myself believe these odds should be a lot closer to the 1.30. This means the bookies are only giving Gent a 57% chance of winning the game whereas we have it at closer to 79%…. This offers us some great value at this price.

Next up we have my favourite league for betting Brazilian Serie A and the game between Sport Recife and Ponte Preta. The bookies are giving Sport Recife only a 54% chance of winning this game and odds around 1.85… For me these odds should be closed to 1.20 or a 83% chance of winning this game! This is the standout value pick for the day by a long way! Ponte Preta have lost seven of their last nine games away from home, the majority of which they have lost by two of more goals.

David’s Top Tips

Sport Recife Win – Odds: 1.85

Gent Win – Odds: 1.75

Share your thoughts and tips for the day in the comments section below.

It has been a challenging few days but I feel like things are going to turn back in my favour now..

I am going to stick to the value tips for now as they offer the best value and I am really good at picking those.

Yesterday both Bolton and America-MG won their games as I predicted they would and both were at odds well over evens so these can be very profitable selections.

Today I am avoiding the EFL Cup in England as it could have a lot of strange results and teams will often field different players in these games which makes them difficult to provide any tips for before seeing the team sheets.

I have managed to pick out two value tips today, both come from Italy Serie B.

First up we have Verona who travel to Pisa. Whilst Pisa had put together a strong run of form at home the wheels have started to come off their performances lately. They have lost their last two games at home and have not won in their last four games, they also struggle to score goals managing just 6 in their last ten games. Verona on the other hand are a team in form winning six of their last seven games, including three straight away wins. I think the biggest positive for Verona is that they have the strength to outscore Pisa tonight as they have scored ten goals in their last three away games and have scored at least two goals in their last seven games.

Next up we have Pro Vercelli who host Latina this evening. Latina have failed to win away from home this season suffering three defeats and two draws. Pro Vercelli however have won three straight home games, all against teams similar to Latina. Pro Vercelli suffered a defeat in their last game but that was away at league leaders Verona and they will be looking to put that behind them with a win over a poor Latina side who I expect to offer little resistance.

David’s Value Bets For Today:

Verona Win – Odds: Evens (2.00)

Pro Vercelli Win – Odds: 11/10 (2.10)