Horse Racing Preview - Newbury - 1st December 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Newbury & Doncaster with one selection from each meeting.

 

13.50 Newbury – Ladbrokes Novices Chase (Grade 2) (Registered As The Berkshire Novices Chase) (19.8f)

Two big guns take on each other this afternoon in Yanworth & Willoughby Court, the former was last seen when falling at Exeter, it’s hard to say how close he would have gone when falling early doors, he will have to have recovered his confidence this afternoon if he is to take the scalp of the selection, however he has to be respected and the Grade 1 winning hurdler will have to show he is a force.

One I have put in my tracker for the rest of the season is Ben Pauling’s Willoughby Court, The Neptune winner comes here off an impressive display when winning on his chase debut at Huntingdon, he made a few jumping errors which was to be expected, he should have learnt from that experience and for me can dictate matters from start to finish.

WILLOUGHBY COURT : 3pt Win 2/1 (BOG)

14.00 Doncaster – Mister Softee Nostalgia Handicap Chase (19.2f)

Master Burbridge could not have been more impressive last time out when easing to the front approaching the last to exert to record an easy four and a half lengths success at Plumpton. He will have to overcome a 7lb rise this afternoon, however his future mark will return to 115 after this run, he might be an improving type but he is taking on some excellent chasers.

Monbeg River is coming off the back of a good third at Wetherby last October, he looked in need of a run, and he has to be respected. The selection comes in the way of Tom Georges Drumlee Sunset who sets a very high standard off the back of last season. The seven year old gelding has adapted to the larger obstacles well which saw him win a Novice chase at Exeter on debut when trained by Philip Hobbs, he was also runner up in this last year to German Calling when off a mark of 133.

With just being 3lb higher this time around and an extra run behind him despite pulling up on his last run last season at Ayr, he looks well treated off current mark of 136.

DRUMLEE SUNSET : 2pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Newcastle - 30th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from this evening’s meeting at Newcastle.

 

20.15 Newcastle – Sun Bets On The App Store Classified Claiming Stakes (8.1f)

Henpecked (75)
Intermodel (74)
MidniteMudcrabs (73)

Alan Whillian’s Henpecked drops back to 8f for the first time on the all weather in her career, she has been placed on six occasions on the all weather circuit which have all come at either 10f or 12f. Her turf form also has been over longer trips, she is an interesting one in the race especially getting the services of Joe Fanning.

Intermodel won over a mile at Kempton last December when landing her maiden by a nose when trained by Amanda Perratt, that maiden has produced winners around both codes. She had a year off and came back when she looked like in need of the run when only managing fifth at Kempton when stepped up to 10f, With a run behind her on the all weather at Chelmsford she finished behind one of her adversaries here in Makaakib, she was conceding 4lb and will get a 6lb turnaround and a 2lb pull this time around, she should be a lot closer.

Interesting irish contender here in Midnitemudcrabs who has been a regular to Dundalk this season. Her last three runs have come in this company with one of those coming when winning off 73, she has been holding that form ever since and makes her only second visit to the UK this evening, her other run came on turf at Musselburgh when third to Set in Stone on soft ground.

I just cannot stand positive enough on Henpecked despite her tackling 8f for the first time in her career, Intermodel has also showed a reasonable level of form, but the tentative vote goes to the consistent claimer Midnitemudcrabs who sets a good standard.

MIDNITEMUDCRABS : 2pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

20.45 Newcastle – Bet & Watch At Sunbets.co.uk Maiden Stakes (8.1f)

I do not usually tend to get involved in maidens, however two at the bottom of the card here from two top stables make serious appeal. John Gosden tends to hold back a few nice three year old’s to go into the next season and saddles Middle Creek here. She is the daughter of Poets Voice and well related to some nice milers in her pedigree.

Roger Charlton’s Ambrosia is another filly progeny of the mighty Frankel, She has had trouble finding the winning enclosure hitting the bar on three occasions which included a second off 73 at Kempton over today’s trip. I am not a fan of seeing Frankel horses diverting to the all weather and this time around she is looking exposed.

On to the selection, Godolphin’s three year old’s on the all weather have a positive return, Valley of Light is a filly by Dubawi, she has failed on two occasions on the all weather to make an impact over 10f, dropping her back to 8f looks the right way to go. She does have something to prove here and hopefully the first time visor can do the trick.

VALLEY OF LIGHT : 2pt Win @ 3/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Hereford - 29th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Hereford & Wetherby with a selection from each meeting.

 

14.40 Hereford – Abf The Soldiers Charity Mares Handicap Hurdle (16.2f)

Miss Night Owl (129)
Apache Song (120)

Olly Murphy’s Undefined Beauty is attempting the hattrick this afternoon, she has won twice this season off a mark 0f 107 and will have to deal with a 10lb rise at the weights, but she is a very progressive sort and gets the inform Dicky Johnson on board.

James Eustace’s Apache Song came on from what looked a short flat career to take a Novice hurdle by just under two lengths at Market Rasen eight weeks ago off a mark of 119. The runner up and the third have both recorded wins recently off marks of 108 & 109 respectably, however this would make Apache Song’s win very flattering.

The selection comes in the way of Tom George’s Miss Night Owl who is looking for her second season win, She started where she left off last season when winning at Stratford when beating the likes of 130 Graceful Legend by six lengths. She ran too poor to be true when tackling the OLBG.com Mares Hurdle at Wetherby early this month finishing second last.

If any consolation, Graceful Legend went on from that race to frank the form at Ascot last weekend when winning the Trisoft Mares Handicap with considerable ease off 127. The outrun winner was La Bague Au Roi who is turning into a smart hurdler when landing the Listed OLBG.com Mares Hurdle yesterday at Kempton off 140.

MISS NIGHT OWL : 3pt Win @ 7/4 (BOG)

15.05 Wetherby – British Stallion Studs EBF Mares Standard Open NH Flat Race (16f)

Fergal O’Brien’s bumper horses have been in solid form and their entry here Jennifer Juniper is the daughter of Kalanisi and will make her awaited debut this afternoon. She was a £30,000 purchase as was a useful p2p and on paper, the one to beat.

Oscar World represents Martin Keighley who has had the benefit of two runs around this sphere, she finished fourth on debut under rules when behind Herecomestheboom from the same stable of Fergal O’Brien. Harrisons Promise ran a good second on debut at Kelso, is surely to be on the premises if building on that run.

You can never overlook a sired Shirocco entry here and Charmayne who represents Stuart Edmunds is this afternoon’s selection. She was disappointing on debut at Warwick out paced three out and never looked like troubling the principles. She should show more experience this time around and at 20/1 could be value in the race.

CHARMAYNE : 1pt each way @ 20/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Sedgefield - 28th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Sedgefield with two selections from the meeting.

 

13.20 Sedgefield – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Chase (26.2f)

Camilla’s Wish (128)
Velvet Cognac (116)
Harry Hunt (110)

Graham McPherson’s Harry Hunt has made a pleasing start to this years campaign with a second at Fontwell which was soon rewarded when landing a 21.5f contest at Ayr. With only a 3lb penalty to deal with, he should be on the premises once more. One trainer in here who I feel is very under rated is Sam Drake who saddles the top weight here in Cabragh.

The second season chaser won over course and distance last December when off a 25lb lower mark, he also took a three mile contest at Bangor the following month off 105, penalised with a 9lb penalty he has still run creditably being placed on two occasions over three miles. The selection though comes in the way of the Micky Hammond trained Camilla’s Wish.

The ex irish chaser who represented the John Dreaper yard made her journey across the water and new surroundings over the summer. She won two hurdle races straight off the bat at Fakenham and Uttoxeter and made a pleasing addition back to chasing when recording her third win on the bounce at Cartmel over 25.5f. She returned to the chasing ranks when once more recording a win over the same trip at her local Cartmel course.

She returned after a few months off and competed over 29f here at Sedgefield in the Durham National finishing last. The ground I feel is the key for her, she definitely thrives more with soft to heavy under foot, the ground here could see her out once more, however she drops back in trip and I would like to think she will be on the premises under 7lb claiming jockey Becky Smith.

CAMILLA’S WISH : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

14.20 Sedgefield – Betfred Home Of ‘Goals Galore’ Chase (Novices Limited Handicap) (16.2f)

Derintother Yank (135)
Delegate (131)

Donald McCain’s six year old Derintother Yank should be landing this race in fairness, It only took two starts to record his first win over fences when landing a two mile contest around the Novice ranks at Carlisle when off a rating of 124. He did not disappoint when running Nuts Well within three parts of a length again at Carlisle when under a 7lb penalty. He has run just the once at Sedgefield as a hurdler when finishing second to 120 rated hurdler JustforJames.

He is not exposed around this sphere and in my opinion is the one they all have to beat uner Will Kennedy. There are always dangers and Delegate of Keith Dagliesh’s was seen last time pulling up over two and a half miles. Prior to that though he was seen winning over 17.5f on soft ground wen trained in Ireland by none other than Gordon Elliott. Now The Irish top trainer does not let horses go that easily and had a quiet a reasonable career at the yard winning three times as a hurdler and once as a chaser, makes new yard debut this afternoon.

DERINTOTHER YANK : 1.5pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Kempton & Ludlow - 27th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Kempton and Ludlow with one selection from each meeting.

 

14.00 Kempton – OLBG ‘Mares’ Hurdle (Listed) (24.5f)

Jers Girl (153)
Morello Royale (149)

Gary Cromwell’s Jers Girl is already recognised as a double Grade 1 winner, she has run within two lengths to Gordon Elliott’s Apple Jade fifteen days ago in the Grade 2 Lismullen Hurdle which potentially makes her unbeatable right, however we are taking it on trust that she gets three miles.

This is why I want to take her on here with an outsider, the favourite has a poor record in this race since 2007 (2-9), the last three years has been won twice by double figure prices and this time around I am willing to put forward the 2015 winner of this race, Morello Royale. Colin Tizzard’s five year old has come into form at the right time, her second last time at Newbury around the chasing ranks saw her finish two and a quarter lengths behind 139 rated Strong Pursuit, she even had 145 rated Beat That of Nicky Henderson’s well beaten by twenty two lengths.

Personally it is a shame to not see Aidan Coleman take the reigns here, but we have to do with another reasonable jockey in Harry Cobden, he has only ridden her the once when down the field at Aintree when competing in this years Gaskells Hurdle, she got within two lengths to 150 rated Desert Cry and probably did not handle the big field to be fair. Now back to a smaller field she is still well handicapped off 137 only 5lb higher than when winning this two years ago.

MORELLO ROYALE : 1pt each way @ 14/1 (BOG)

15.20 Ludlow – 2018 Annual Membership Now Available Novices Handicap Chase (23.8f)

Good Man Vinnie (113)
Spirit of Hale (109)
Silent Man (108)

Paul Henderson’s dual point winner ran well around Kempton on chase debut when finishing sixth behind far superior horses, that was far more competitive than this and I would expect him to make his presence felt now stepping back up in trip this afternoon.

Recent winner Silent Man probably has plenty in hand in the way he won at Huntingdon under Sean Bowen, he had to be galvanised by the jockey to keep up to his work after being headed on two occasions, but showed tenacity and strength to get home by a comfortable seven lengths in the end beating a horse rated 28lb higher, has to be feared if market speaks volumes again.

Jenny Candish is one of the shrewdest trainers on the national chase circuit, Spirit of Hale might be 0-9 on his resume, however he diverts to the larger obstacles here and on debut he could have a say in the finish if handling the step up in trip. Colin Tizzard has Leg Lock Luke, the seven year old got off the chase mark at the eighth attempt when winning over the distance at Taunton four weeks ago, she might have more improvement to come, but has to overcome her 6lb penalty to do so this time around.

GOOD MAN VINNIE : 2pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Uttoxeter & Navan - 26th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Uttoxeter and Navan with a selection from each meeting.

 

14.15 Uttoxeter – Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice Handicap Chase (18.1f)

Kerry Lee’s Krackatoa King will relish stepping back up in trip this afternoon, his last run three weeks ago saw him finish a wayward eighteen lengths behind eventual winner Daklondike of David Pipes, he took a long time to really get into the race and probably lost it a long way from home, this extra quarter of a mile should give him that opportunity to grind this out under Dicky Johnson this afternoon.

One that I do fear is Colin Tizzard’s Bears Rails. he has failed to finish on his past two outings and looks up against it on paper, however with the booking of Aidan Coleman you would probably give him a bigger chance than many in this race. The old boy in the race and bottom weight is Brian Llewellyn’s Hansupfordetroit who actually is still capable of running a solid race around this company this afternoon. He does have a bit to find at the weights with a few of these, however if he handles the longer trip he could out run those odds.

KRACKATOA KING : 3pt Win @ 11/10 (BOG)

15.35 Navan – Coolmore N.H Sires Irish EBF Mares Flat Race {Listed) (16f)

A few stand out stats here for me which revolves around the jockey bookings, there are a few coming into this that have had a shuffle around on bookings, let’s start with Crackerdancer, in all three rides she has been ridden by Timothy Brett who has two wins and a second on her, they change bookings, Katie Walsh has elected to not ride Jessica Harrington’s The Princetonian, however will be on Biddy The Boss for Gavin Cromwell, David Dunsden stays loyal to Willie Mullins Redhotfilypeppers.

​So for me if Patrick has been given permission to stay loyal to Lady Ischia I personally think that is a tip in itself. There is no better judge of a horse around this sphere than Patrick Mullin’s, you have your Nina Carberry’s, your Katie Walsh’s etc etc, but not everyone has the ability to switch off a horse in a bumper than Patrick, Lady Ischia could not of been more impressive when winning under rules on debut at Naas two weeks ago when beating Best of Dubai by twelve lengths. Gordon Elliot’s horse that day was in receipt of 10lb and still he could not get close to the selection, this time around just conceding 4lb it should be a done deal in my opinion.

​Gordon Elliott has been racking up four timers all over Ireland recently, and he has a few good chances on today’s card, his representation here is Best of Dubai and Moonlight Escape, now the latter looks the main danger here, second to Biddy the Boss at Fairyhouse, she gave the formline a boost when winning on her next run at Galway by six lengths. She was eased by J J Codd on that occasion, however she gets the strong handling of another jockey here in Nina Carberry, but I feel she will have to step up to be the selection despite getting a 3lb pull at the weights.

​I feel that with Patrick Mullins staying loyal to Lady Ischia speaks volumes and I expect her to be hard to beat, Crackendancer will relish the conditions which saw her win twice at Limerick and over course and distance, but will have to give weight all round, Biddy The Boss and Moonlight Escape have to respected especially the latter is strong market support.

Lady Ischia : 2pt Win @ 7/4 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Ascot - 25th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Ascot & Haydock this afternoon.

 

13.30 Ascot – Trisoft Mares Handicap Hurdle (21.5f)

River Arrow (128)
Whatsthatallabout (127)
On Demand (126)

A very tight mares hurdle here, Neil Mulholland’s Whatsthatallabout racked up a spin of three wins at the back end of last season and starts this campaign 4lb lower than when rounding off last year when winning off a mark of 123 at Bangor, she has to be respected here. On Demand ran a creditable fifth two weeks ago when behind Lamanver Odyssey at Wincanton. I am not convinced though that she actually stays this trip.

The selection comes from the Tim Symond’s yard in River Arrow, she finished off last season with two goods on the AW at Southwell around the novice ranks. She finished off the season when third to Snow Leopardess in a valuable Grade 2 contest at Newbury, she can make her presence felt in this weaker contest.

RIVER ARROW : 2pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)

12.40 Haydock – Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap Chase (28.3f)

Emperors Choice (136)
Royale Knight (135)
Hainan (132)

Venetia William’s Emperor’s Choice has pulled up more times in the last year, however the last time he turned up here over course and distance he was successful when winning off a mark 135, he is coming into this 8lb lower than that win and an eye catching booking of Tom Scudamore.

Royale Knight will have to concede over a stone here to the selection. He made a pleasing re-appearance when finishing fourth over three miles when diverting back to hurdles. Being no stranger to these competitive distances he has to come into the equation, last but not least Hainan, Sue Smith’s six year old will step into unknown territory when tackling over three miles for the first time this afternoon.

With a win over three miles at the turn of the year when off a mark of 118, however he has failed to show close to that form now off a 14lb higher mark.

EMPERORS CHOICE : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Pro Tips - 1st December 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Kempton with two selections from the meeting.

 

18.40 Kempton – British Stallion Studs EBF Hyde Stakes (Listed) (8f)

Mr Owen (113)
Keystroke (112)
Stormy Antarctic (112)

An extremely tight Listed race here and the best race on the card. Stormy Antarctic took a Listed contest at Chantilly on the all weather last month which was his first success since landed the Group 3 Craven Stakes last April. His career summary when dropping into Listed company reads 22 and having to concede weight all round here he could be looking at place money once more.

Jeremy Noseda won this back in 2013 with Sloane Avenue and is once more well represented here with Keystroke who ran well when runner up in this company when behind David O’Meara’s Salateen, His good all weather form finishing out of the frame on only one occasion which came at Lingfield last time out when finishing midfield in the All Weathers Mile Championships when once more beaten by Salateen. He will have to step up again, however on my ratings he is 9lb well in on what he has achieved at this level.

The selection will be an each way shout with David Simcock’s Mr Owen. He is 2-2 around Listed company with both wins coming at Deauville when trained in France. Joined Qatar Racing back in February of this year, he probably has not shined as expected after a moderate showing in two runs at the Dubai Carnival, however did show improvement when switching to turf at Doncaster back in October when finishing third to Sir Dancealot who went on to finish fifth in the Wentworth Stakes.

He is hard to catch right and needs to show his potential before leaving France, this is not the easiest of races to bring that on, however the booking of Oisin Murphy is a plus and if hitting the frame that would be a solid effort in a competitive field.

MR OWEN : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

19.10 Kempton – 32Red Handicap (15.7f)

Rock Steady (100)
Lord George (100)
Every Chance (96)

I could not split Rock Steady & Lord George to land this race, however the slight verdict goes to Rock Steady who I feel stepping up to this trip just might bring out a win in him. Kieran Shoemark knows him extremely well and his win off 91 around this time last year is probably sufficient enough to be involved here. He has run well on both occasions when visiting Kempton with two second spots off 85 & 87, despite being rated almost 10lb higher now there still looks a solid run for Roger Charlton’s yard.

Lord George also comes into the reckoning, it is slightly off putting that James Fanshawe seems too quiet at present, as the season winds down and the all weather season progresses I am sure he will be back amongst the winners in due course. His entry here has had two runs around here with a 50% success rate which came in a 0-95 last September, he goes well this time of year and there is no reason why he should not run a solid race, just the yards form puts me off.

Finally Every Chance who represents Jamie Osborne here, a consistent visitor to the all weather his sole run here also resulted in a runners up spot in a 0-85 handicap back in February when beaten by 69 rated Kingthistle. Tackling claiming company last time does have it’s concerns and will be hard to withstand some better rated individuals here.

ROCK STEADY : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Southwell - 3rd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Fakenham, Southwell & Lingfield with a selection from each meeting.

 

12.30 Southwell – ROA/Racing Post Owners Jackpot Handicap Chase (20.2f)

Manwell (130)
Mondo Cane (106)

Now if Sam Drake’s Manwell puts his best foot forward here he should have plenty in hand and smashing this race out of the park. His making his handicap chase bow this afternoon and if he shows an inkling of his run when getting within eight lengths of 133 rated Chirico Vallis of Neil Mulholland’s he has to go close here. He was a very consistent hurdler and the softer the better.

Another in this field that looks way over priced is Charlie Pogson’s Mondo Cane who despite pulling up on his last chase run, his run over course and distance when runner up to Sam Drakes Attimo, he would have to have a shout.

MANWELL : 2pt Win @ 6/1 (BOG)

13.50 Fakenham – East Rudham Amateur Riders Novices Handicap Hurdle (16f)

Bardd (119)
Cocker (111)

I am not the biggest fan of four runner affairs, as 7/10 times we have seen a surprise result, however Nicky Henderson’s son of Dylan Thomas should have far too much class to get beat here. His Handicap debut did not go to plan when labouring in the closing stages at Ascot over a further trip, drops three furlongs and off 110 it is his to lose.

Cocker gets over a stone form the selection here, with a good third already at the course last year he has to be feared slightly returning to a favourable course.

BARDD : 3pt Win @ 8/15 (BOG)

15.40 Lingfield – Betway Apprentice Handicap (12f)

Relevant : (73)
What A Welcome (68)
I’m Running Late (67)

What A Welcome comes here off the back of a solid win last time out here at Lingfield over 10f, Joey Haynes had him well poised to strike at the furlong pole and went away in the closing stages to record a one and a half length victory, with only a 4lb penalty rise and the services of Charlie Bennett in the plate he looks the one to beat.

Relevant also deserves respect after running consistently, the daughter of So You Think ran a good second over 12.5f last time out at Chelmsford when behind 73 rated Love Conquers of Ralph Beckett’s. Patrick Piley takes over here for the first time and if the cheekpieces sharpen her up she will be thereabouts.

RELEVANT : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Leicester - 20th November 2017

Today’s horse racing selection comes from Leicester, with one selection from the meeting.

15.20 Leicester – Castle Conditional Jockey’s Handicap Chase (15.5f)

Fair Frank : (106)
Rakaia Rosa : (104)
Mr Jim (101)

David Bridgwater’s Fair Frank still looks one step ahead of his current mark when winning on his chase debut at Southwell three weeks ago, despite getting 6lb from the winner when making all under Alan Crawley, this time around Mitchell Bastyan rides him for the first time, however the young conditional jockey is already making a name for himself with being linked to top stables.

Mr Jim is probably his nearest adversary here, 1-5 around the chase circuit he ran well to finish runner up to 102 rated Bertie Lugg at Towcester over 21.5f, he has failed to shine over this shorter trip and despite the 7lb he receive from the selection, it looks a tough ask.

FAIR FRANK : 2pt Win @ 2/1 (BOG)

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