Horse Racing Preview - Kempton - 22nd November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Kempton with two selections from the meeting.

 

18.40 Kempton – British Stallion Studs EBF Hyde Stakes (Listed) (8f)

Mr Owen (113)
Keystroke (112)
Stormy Antarctic (112)

An extremely tight Listed race here and the best race on the card. Stormy Antarctic took a Listed contest at Chantilly on the all weather last month which was his first success since landed the Group 3 Craven Stakes last April. His career summary when dropping into Listed company reads 22 and having to concede weight all round here he could be looking at place money once more.

Jeremy Noseda won this back in 2013 with Sloane Avenue and is once more well represented here with Keystroke who ran well when runner up in this company when behind David O’Meara’s Salateen, His good all weather form finishing out of the frame on only one occasion which came at Lingfield last time out when finishing midfield in the All Weathers Mile Championships when once more beaten by Salateen. He will have to step up again, however on my ratings he is 9lb well in on what he has achieved at this level.

The selection will be an each way shout with David Simcock’s Mr Owen. He is 2-2 around Listed company with both wins coming at Deauville when trained in France. Joined Qatar Racing back in February of this year, he probably has not shined as expected after a moderate showing in two runs at the Dubai Carnival, however did show improvement when switching to turf at Doncaster back in October when finishing third to Sir Dancealot who went on to finish fifth in the Wentworth Stakes.

He is hard to catch right and needs to show his potential before leaving France, this is not the easiest of races to bring that on, however the booking of Oisin Murphy is a plus and if hitting the frame that would be a solid effort in a competitive field.

MR OWEN : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

19.10 Kempton – 32Red Handicap (15.7f)

Rock Steady (100)
Lord George (100)
Every Chance (96)

I could not split Rock Steady & Lord George to land this race, however the slight verdict goes to Rock Steady who I feel stepping up to this trip just might bring out a win in him. Kieran Shoemark knows him extremely well and his win off 91 around this time last year is probably sufficient enough to be involved here. He has run well on both occasions when visiting Kempton with two second spots off 85 & 87, despite being rated almost 10lb higher now there still looks a solid run for Roger Charlton’s yard.

Lord George also comes into the reckoning, it is slightly off putting that James Fanshawe seems too quiet at present, as the season winds down and the all weather season progresses I am sure he will be back amongst the winners in due course. His entry here has had two runs around here with a 50% success rate which came in a 0-95 last September, he goes well this time of year and there is no reason why he should not run a solid race, just the yards form puts me off.

Finally Every Chance who represents Jamie Osborne here, a consistent visitor to the all weather his sole run here also resulted in a runners up spot in a 0-85 handicap back in February when beaten by 69 rated Kingthistle. Tackling claiming company last time does have it’s concerns and will be hard to withstand some better rated individuals here.

ROCK STEADY : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Southwell - 3rd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Fakenham, Southwell & Lingfield with a selection from each meeting.

 

12.30 Southwell – ROA/Racing Post Owners Jackpot Handicap Chase (20.2f)

Manwell (130)
Mondo Cane (106)

Now if Sam Drake’s Manwell puts his best foot forward here he should have plenty in hand and smashing this race out of the park. His making his handicap chase bow this afternoon and if he shows an inkling of his run when getting within eight lengths of 133 rated Chirico Vallis of Neil Mulholland’s he has to go close here. He was a very consistent hurdler and the softer the better.

Another in this field that looks way over priced is Charlie Pogson’s Mondo Cane who despite pulling up on his last chase run, his run over course and distance when runner up to Sam Drakes Attimo, he would have to have a shout.

MANWELL : 2pt Win @ 6/1 (BOG)

13.50 Fakenham – East Rudham Amateur Riders Novices Handicap Hurdle (16f)

Bardd (119)
Cocker (111)

I am not the biggest fan of four runner affairs, as 7/10 times we have seen a surprise result, however Nicky Henderson’s son of Dylan Thomas should have far too much class to get beat here. His Handicap debut did not go to plan when labouring in the closing stages at Ascot over a further trip, drops three furlongs and off 110 it is his to lose.

Cocker gets over a stone form the selection here, with a good third already at the course last year he has to be feared slightly returning to a favourable course.

BARDD : 3pt Win @ 8/15 (BOG)

15.40 Lingfield – Betway Apprentice Handicap (12f)

Relevant : (73)
What A Welcome (68)
I’m Running Late (67)

What A Welcome comes here off the back of a solid win last time out here at Lingfield over 10f, Joey Haynes had him well poised to strike at the furlong pole and went away in the closing stages to record a one and a half length victory, with only a 4lb penalty rise and the services of Charlie Bennett in the plate he looks the one to beat.

Relevant also deserves respect after running consistently, the daughter of So You Think ran a good second over 12.5f last time out at Chelmsford when behind 73 rated Love Conquers of Ralph Beckett’s. Patrick Piley takes over here for the first time and if the cheekpieces sharpen her up she will be thereabouts.

RELEVANT : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Leicester - 20th November 2017

Today’s horse racing selection comes from Leicester, with one selection from the meeting.

15.20 Leicester – Castle Conditional Jockey’s Handicap Chase (15.5f)

Fair Frank : (106)
Rakaia Rosa : (104)
Mr Jim (101)

David Bridgwater’s Fair Frank still looks one step ahead of his current mark when winning on his chase debut at Southwell three weeks ago, despite getting 6lb from the winner when making all under Alan Crawley, this time around Mitchell Bastyan rides him for the first time, however the young conditional jockey is already making a name for himself with being linked to top stables.

Mr Jim is probably his nearest adversary here, 1-5 around the chase circuit he ran well to finish runner up to 102 rated Bertie Lugg at Towcester over 21.5f, he has failed to shine over this shorter trip and despite the 7lb he receive from the selection, it looks a tough ask.

FAIR FRANK : 2pt Win @ 2/1 (BOG)

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Horse Racing Preview - Cheltenham - 19th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from the Cheltenham & Fontwell racecourses with one selection from each meeting.

 

14.25 Cheltenham – Shloer Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as the Cheltenham Chase) (15.9f)

Cloudy Dream (168)
Special Tiara (165)

Special Tiara & Fox Norton go head to head once more at Prestbury Park, the last time these two met came in last seasons Queen Mothers Champion Chase where Special Tiara just held on in a thrilling finish by a head. De Bromhead’s ten year old went on to finish runner up to Altior at Sandown when beaten by eight lengths.

Fox Norton went on to better things when landing the Grade 1 Melling Chase & Champion Chase, winner of this race last year when beating Simply Ned by nine lengths and will have to contend with a 8lb rise but still looks open to improvement. However, the selection comes in Cloudy Dream, this seven year old Grey finished just six lengths behind Altior in last seasons RP Arkle and went on to land the Future Champions Chase at Ayr.

Jefferson’s entry made up dozens of lengths when just denied in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree last month and only comes into this with a 4lb penalty, he is a serious improver and one to follow this season, this is a tough second seasons assignment, however cannot see why he will not be up for a big run against some good improving types.

CLOUDY DREAM : 2pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

14.40 Fontwell – Toteexacta Salmon Spray Handicap Hurdle (17.5f)

Its’afreebee (140)
Ardamir (128)
Clayton (126)

This is one open handicap indeed, but Dan Skelton’s Its’afreebee has a big chance on his old hurdling form. He was way out of his depth when attempting three miles last time out at Chepstow, however if we go back to when he ran third to Yorkhill in the Neptune which included the likes of Yanworth, has beaten the likes of Cole Harden this year around the chase sphere so at the odds he looks a serious player off these terms.

Gary Moore has a fairly good record around Fontwell, and saddles the interesting Clayton. If we disregard his last run and take on board when second to Pete The Mayo Man at Newbury around this time last year, he comes here 7lb better off for that run and should be in the frame at least. Ardamar gets the big odds, however he has not been seen hurdling since finishing fifth at Donny, he was beaten out of sight, but did run way above his current mark here of 123.

ITS’AFREEBEE : 1pt each way @ 11/1 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Ffos Las - 12th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Ffos Las with three selections from the meeting.

 

13.30 Ffos Las – Rob Davies Chemist Novices Chase (23.5f)

Joe Farrell (138)
Dan Emmett (134)
Oscartea (133)

Joe Farrell was a horse I followed throughout his bumper career when running within two and a half lengths to Barters Hill, finishing behind the likes of Wait For Me and Theo’s Charm, however Ffoa Las was where it all started when winning on debut when beating the likes of Listed hurdle winner Keeper’s Hill, he returns back to his successful haunt for the first time since this time last year and to be fair I am finding it very hard to get him beat.

He looked in need of the first outing at Chepstow last month when finishing fourth to Mia’s Storm who landed the Listed Bud Booth Mares Chase at Market Rasen this month by thirteen lengths, the third Mr Mix has also franked the form winning a 0-140 handicap chase at Wincanton last month and the runner up Elegant Escape bumped into Ballyoptic four days ago. The form is there and it would be disappointing for him to not take this in his stride being a first season chaser.

Dam Emmett has lost his way since two seasons ago, his rating came at Newcastle last March, despite his bad run of form is still well treated off today’s mark of 125, Oscartea though I fear the most this afternoon, his run when behind No Hassle Hoff at Uttoxeter would give him a live chance.

JOE FARRELL : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

15.40 Ffos Las – Victorian Sliders Handicap Chase (16f)

Little Jimmy (120)
Bredon Hill Lad (103)
Yourholidayisover (93)

So many exposed types here including the selection Little Jimmy, Tom Gretton’s ten year old looked once more very uncomfortable returning to hurdles, however Little Jimmy’s only visit here resulted in a second place to Humble Ben over 19.5f, he looks way ahead of the handicap on what he has achieved at this level and off a mark of 100 should be exploiting it now back chasing.

Bredon Hill Lad would probably be a closest rival here, Susan Gardner’s entry makes his season’s debut, he finished up last season with a win at Fontwell over further than this and is a course and distance winner last year when winning off this mark by twenty lengths so any strong market support on re-appearance should not be dismissed.

LITTLE JIMMY : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

16.10 Ffos Las – Walters Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle (15.8f)

Rock and Roll King (114)
Global Thrill (113)

This is actually quite a competitive race, Bernard Lllewelyn comes here with a strong hand as he saddles both Flanagans Field & Global Thrill, out of the two despite Global King coming out rated 7lb higher that Flanagans Field looks the more likely one here to do the trainer justice. The ex Dessie Hughes trained nine year old was seen winning around these ranks two runs back when scooting clear to record an eighteen length victory.

He beat his stablemate that day to seventeen lengths when in receipt of 9lb, with only conceding 2lb back this afternoon its hard to see at the weights that form being reversed. Evan Williams also has two in the race in Theatre Stage & the selection Rock and Roll King. The former on jockey bookings looks the main string here under claimer Michael Bastyan, however Rock and Roll King does not look overly exposed and finished off last season when third over 20f.

He drops back in trip here significantly and I would be very surprised that Conor Ring does not have him handy throughout the race having to give weight all round and especially 11lb to his stablemate Theatre Stage.

ROCK AND ROLL KING : 1pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Aintree - 11th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Aintree & Doncaster.

 

13.40 Aintree – Pertemps Network (Supporting Btrc) Handicap Hurdle (24.8f)

Winningtry (155)
Beer Goggles (146)
Vyta Du Roc (133)

Top weight here Beer Goggles has been in a rich vein of form since coming back over hurdles, with three wins and two placed runs this year he has definitely thrived. He ran here over course and distance two runs back when finishing runner up to Knight of Noir when probably giving enough weight away to be defeated by the five length margin.

His rise in the weights of 10lb did not stop him when just hanging on from Dan Skelton’s Sir Mangan at Newton Abbott last month. Winningtry was back in sixth that day fifteen lengths off the winner, he was out of the handicap that day and getting over a stone at the weights, he does have it all to do to reverse the form, but Sean Bowen takes over this afternoon for the first time off a very low riding weight for the jockey.

Best of the rest looks Nicky Henderson’s Vyla Du Roc who gets his retained jockey Daryl Jacob who would usually be riding the selection Winningtry. He was last seen at Aintree around the hurdle ranks when finishing third over two and a half miles, has only dropped 3lb here and could find this a little difficult at the weights.

WINNINGTRY : 2pt Win @ 11/2 (BOG)

14.40 Doncaster – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies Stakes (Listed) (10.2f)

Melesina (109)
Vintage Folly (101)
Indulged (98)

How many times this year I have watched Richard Fahey put a horse into a race that has no place of being there and it runs a massive race. He is represented here with Melesina who was last seen on the all weather at Lingfield when finishing midfield to Muffri’ha in the Listed Fleur De Lys Fillies Stakes. Now his only win in this country came over 7.5f at Beverley when winning off a mark of 84, however if he brings his continent Listed win to the table which saw him land the Le Carmago stakes at Saint-Cloud over just short of a mile on soft ground, he cannot be disregarded.

On paper the likely winner would probably come from Vintage Folly, Hugo Palmer’s three year old was not disgraced when running second to Beautiful Morning in the Listed John Musker’s Fillies Stakes at York, back in fourth was Indulged to three and a quarter lengths, the sixth, Titi Makfi gave the race a boost recently when landing the Listed 32Red Floodlit Fillies Stakes when beating 106 rated Red Verdon.

I am going to take a small chance here on Melesina, she is probably out of her depth, but like so many Fahey runners at the back end of the season they seem to be running up to their present marks and if posting his 109 run he would have to be considered as an each way bet at 20/1.

MELESINA : 1pt each way @ 20/1 (BOG)

 

15.25 Aintree – Free Spins At 188Bet Casino Handicap Chase (15.9f)

Ballyhiil (153)
Pain Au Chocolat (141)
Imjoeking (139)

Rebecca Menzies Pain Du Chocolat comes here off the back of a good win last month when taking the scalp of Duke of Navan by four lengths when in receipt of 5lb, they meet once more with Duke of Navan now getting a 3lb pull, it’s hard to split them once more however, I expect the form to be lot closer this time around with Rya Day’s 3lb claim.

But they all will have to be in the game to match the likes of Nigel Twiston-Davies Ballyhill here who has had two more productive runs against top opposition like Sceau Royal and last time when a close two and a half lengths behind North Hill Harvey. He would not have to pull out much here to land the spoils under amateur Zac Baker.

BALLYHILL : 3pt Win @ 15/8 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Newcastle - 10th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Newcastle racecourse..

18.45 Newcastle – 32Red.com Fillies Handicap (6f0 (0-80)

With the field all becoming reasonably exposed I would like to think Declan Carroll’s filly Tilly Trotter can come on from her fourth over course and distance last month in this class. She was only defeated to two lengths she looks like one of the main contenders here.

Back a length that day was Fruit Salad when in receipt of 5lb, she only gets the 2lb here this evening however she does have a good claimer on board in Lewis Edmunds, But the tentative vote goes to Danny Tudhope’s ride here.

TILLY TROTTER : 1pt each way @ 15/2 (BOG)

20.15 Newcastle-Sun Bets On The App Handicap (0-60) (8f)

Kevin Frost’s Born to Reason will have to step up again if he is to win here, however his win in a 0-65 at Wolverhampton two runs back saw him win a shade cosily I thought despite the winning overall distance of a head. The fourth Top Offer has recently franked the form.

Main danger looks to come form TiflĀ  and Urban Spirit, the latter ran a creditable fourth in a seller at Redcar, ran here on career debut over 6f without figuring this mile looks his limit. Tifl I think has been knocking on the door despite his form reads. Heather Main’s four year old has not shown much around Kempton on three visits, however does get the services of PJ McDonald this evening.

BORN TO REASON : 3pt Win @ 5/4 (BOG)

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Horse Racing Preview - Newbury - 9th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Newbury racecourse.

 

13.40 Newbury – Dawnus Handicap Chase (19.8f)

This would look a good opportunity for Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Colins Brother to bounce back to winning ways here. If the ground holds up on the good side of soft he should be thereabouts considering he was seen close this time last year when finishing third over a furlong less than this afternoon. He looked in need of the run at Ludlow last time on ground that probably came up too soft for a seasons re-appearance.

Nigel Hawke teams up with Danny Cook for the first time with Greybougg, now this is the intriguing entry for me. We last saw him hacking up at Ludlow on his last seasonal run of 2016, He has been risen 8lb for that win however, he has equipped himself well enough around Newbury over shorter trips and looks in need of the two and a half miles and will enjoy the soft ground.

GREYBOUGG : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

14.10 Newbury – CSP Mares Novices Hurdle (16.3f)

This looks on paper a strong match up between Fergal O’Brien’s Cap Soleil and the selection who represents Richard Hobson stable in Dame Rose. The former comes here unbeaten from the NHF and will make her awaited hurdles debut. She looks a very smart mare after taking two Listed bumpers at Cheltenham and Sandown, she must be taken seriously.

However, I am taking her on with Dame Rose, she achieved a little better around the bumper sphere when landing the Grade 2 Goffs Nickel Coin Mares at Aintree when fending off Oscar Rose one of her adversaries here. She got off at the first time of asking at Hexham in a Novice hurdle winning it in fine style by twelve lengths, with that slight hurdling experience I will give her the nod to overturn Cap Soleil here.

DAME ROSE : 2pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Nottingham & Kempton - 8th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Nottingham and Kempton racecourses.

 

14.15 Nottingham – Lady Cecil Handicap (5f)

Gracious John (106)
Perfect Pasture (105)
Atletico (98)

David Evans Gracious John returns to the haunt that saw him land this race last year when beating Perfect Pasture by half a length when getting 10lb from his rival, this year he comes into this off just 98 and is only in receipt of 9lb, 1lb might not seem like a lot but it’s equivalent to half a length if needed to reverse that form.

Both have come into this off the back of wins, Gracious John winning three weeks ago at Leicester when over turning 106 rated Just Glamorous, and has only been penalised 2lb, Perfect Pasture won at Doncaster when beating 101 rated Flying Pursuit, however that was over 6f. Today’s optimum trip at this level has seen him just 1-9 as to Gracious John whose form is not much better, however he has been floating around marks of 106-110 for a while so to be dropped to just 98, looks best of the two to land this race. Perfect Pasture drops back to 5f for the first time since this race last year.

One that could upset the applecart if the two inform entrants lose their way is Roger Varian’s Atletico, he has been beaten by Tomily this year to two and a quarter lengths at Doncaster last time out, the only problem he was drawn totally out of the race despite staying on in the closing stages, he is still 9lb higher than when winning his sole turf race at Windsor back in July.

GRACIOUS JOHN : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

18.10 Kempton – 32Red.com Nursery (7f)

Motown Mick (82)
Lady of Aran (78)

Richard Hannon books the services of Timmy Murphy this evening on Motown Mick, this son of Intikhab was last seen finishing second to Di Fede by the smallest of margins, back in fifth was Finsbury Park to twelve lengths and even at these weights it’s hard to see that reversed.

Main danger I feel will come from Charlie Fellowes Lady of Aran, she had plenty in hand when beating her opponents over course and distance five weeks ago and the daughter of Sir Prancealot should have no problems here again to be involved under PJ McDonald.

MOTOWN MICK : 2pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Redcar - 7th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Redcar.

 

13.50 Redcar – Racing UK Free For A Month Handicap (10f)

Swift Emperor (101)
Qaffaal (97)
Awake My Soul (90)

Qaffaal is just one of three entries here for Mick Easterby with probably Magic City being the main string with Lewis Edmunds booked, however Qaffaal was last seen over this trip at Chelmsford when finishing third to 105 rated Fanciful Angel, he tends to do a lot of his work late on so he won’t be on the scene until extremely late, Awake My Soul represents the Tom Tate yard, His run behind the likes of Century Dream last time at Newbury would put him right there.

It did not end well when finishing last off a mark of 93, just 5lb lower this time around, he would have to divert his last run when behind Century Dream at Newbury to be involved this afternoon which is not the easiest of tasks. The selection comes in the way of David Barron’s Swift Emperor who was last seen over course and distance back in May when eighth in the Zetland old Cup.

His second last time at York when finishing runner up to Grand Inquisitor, he is another that will come off the pace, but he tends to leave himself too much to do these days, however Ben Curtis knows the way he has to be ridden and should be on the premises.

SWIFT EMPEROR : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

15.25 Redcar – Start Your Racing Uk Free Trial Now Handicap (15.9f)

DAKOTA CITY (82)
Ingleby Hollow (70)
Adrakhan (69)

Olly Murphy’s Dakota City is the NAP this afternoon, this will be his first attention on the turf over today’s index, however he has competed over two miles on the all weather at Chelmsford when finishing behind the likes of Velvet Revolution and Cartwright who that day were rated over 15lb ahead of this selection, so a bold run despite the distance of defeat.

Both Ingleby Hollow & Adrakhan can pick up the pieces if the selection fails to shine here, especially the latter who represents a trainer with a 22% strike rate around here. He has attempted three times around a further index, but his run at Catterick last time pulls him with a place claim.

DAKOTA CITY : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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