Horse Racing Preview – Aintree – 29th October 2017

Horse Racing Preview - Aintree - 29th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has three selections coming from Aintree (Old Roan Chase) and Wincanton.

 

15.00 Aintree -188bet Monet’s Garden Old Roan (Limited Handicap) Chase (Grade 2) (19.9f)

THIRD INTENTION (165)
TRAFFIC FLUIDE (160)
GODS OWN (158)

Last years winner Third Intention returns to attempt to become only the second horse to land this race since Monet’s Garden who claimed this race three times. Since landing this race last year when beating God’s Own by one and three quarter lengths he has lost his way a bit, God’s Own had to concede 16lb to the selection that day and will have to do so again.

Third Intention has failed to hit the frame on seven other attempts, however he has always been around his current mark of 150 and once more returns with a big chance of claiming the prize once more under Aidan Coleman for the second time.

Gary Moore has kicked started his season in good style and saddles Traffic Fluide who was unlucky not to land Grade 2 Oaksey Chase at Sandown on his last start last season when off a mark of 156, he had Third Intention beaten that day to over twenty four lengths when in receipt of 6lb, he has to give the selection 6lb this time, a 12lb turnaround at the weights which should be enough to reverse that form. Gods Own ran an amazing race last year when giving weight to over a stone to the winner, he will have to do so again and looks a hard task to reverse that form.

THIRD INTENTION : 1pt each way @ 11/1 (BOG)

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15.35 Aintree – Read Noel Fehily At 188Bet,co.uk Interactive Chase (Novices Handicap Chase) (24.9f)

MATORICO (131)
SOME ARE LUCKY (131)
SOME KINDA LAMA (129)

This is a really tight one to call, with the tentative vote going to Jonjo O’Neill’s Matorico who is only having his third chase start. He steps back up in trip significantly this afternoon to three miles plus, he had a reasonable level of form over hurdles with a place run over 25.5f when off a mark of 133, he comes here 2lb lower than his hurdling mark and I would expect a bold show under Coleman.

Some Are Lucky has a lot of potential and returned to the chase circuit when finishing a close second to Sam Red of Harry Skelton’s at Stratford twenty six days ago, the problem I have with him is the fact he travels well throughout his races, but tends to find one to good and throws in the towel far to easily for me.

Last but not least, Some Kinda Lama who gets the services of Jamie Moore, His chase debut came at Worcester when beaten twenty six lengths to Ballymalin, he never really recovered when hampered a long way from home. He gets a drop of 4lb back to his hurdling mark this afternoon and considering he has form over the trip when over hurdles he can not be discounted.

MATORICO : 1pt each way @ 14/1 (BOG)

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14.10 Wincanton – BT Novices Handicap Chase (20.2f)

FAVORITO BUCKS (132)
FARM THE ROCK (126)
GOLD MOUNTAIN (119)

Paul Nicholl’s Favorito Bucks looks well in here on what I have worked out, he posted a mark of 132 when not staying the three miles at Kempton, even though there was only the five runners, all three adversaries are more than likely to progress to marks of over 140 this coming season. He has competed over course and distance when pulling up, but again, that was a far better race than this. His current mark of 122 he should be running a big race if handling the softer conditions.

Farm the Rock is also looking well handicapped, Katy Price’s six year old finished twenty five lengths behind Sceau Royal on chase debut at Warwick over two miles. Sceau Royal now runs off a mark of 154 and was unlucky not to win at the weekend when just out battled by the very talented North Hill Harvey in the a competitive race at Cheltenham, Farm the Rock gets 6lb from the selection, but Benjamin Poste wont be able to claim.

Alexandra Dunn is a trainer I like to follow around these poor contests, slapped with a 10lb penalty when burying his rivals at Taunton by twelve lengths, I thought was harsh, he was beating that day the once thought of Golanova who’s career this year has been a bit better in his fourth season as a chaser, however he has a lot to find with a few here in my opinion.

FAVORITO BUCKS : 1pt each way @ 13/2 (BOG)

 

Good Luck, Bet Responsibly

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