Today’s horse racing preview comes from Ascot and Redcar, with three selections across both meetings.
13.50 Ascot – Hope and Homes For Children Rous Stakes (Listed) (5f)
I actually feel this race gets weaker and weaker every year it’s run, in seven runners of this race we are still awaiting for a favourite to take the lead and win, once more this comes on the shoulders of John Gosden’s Waady. He is definitely ground dependable and this showed when he won at Leicester over turning the favourite Kachy by a comfortable one and a half lengths. He ran well enough in the World Trophy Stakes at Newbury which was won with authority by Take Cover, back in fifth was Mirza just half a length and returns for another crack at this race after finishing a close third last year and as we saw with Take Cover 10 years old is no reflection if you still have the desire, but will have it all to do from Stall 1.
Waady for me is very hit and miss, that was his first recorded win for over two years and even though he does get his ground,, the 6/4 market check is worth taking on. Now there has never been a filly to win this race, a handful have tried but this has been a race competed by mares, not many fillies have taken their chances and one here that could change all that is Clive Cox’s improving filly Razzmatazz who won nicely at Kempton at odds of 50/1, showed that was no fluke when taking a big hike up in class and was just denied again by a length in the Listed Scarborough Stakes.
That was her first try at 5f after dropping back from 6f, she adapted herself well and showed plenty of speed in the early stages on this ground, I feel she will run her race again and at 10/1, I do not think she will be far away from what looks a very open renewal here at Ascot.
Mirza returns to try and go two places better, but the voodoo has shown that horses returning have failed to win this second time around, Waady gets stall 8 which is a good place to be, he loves the ground, gets Jim Crowley on board who has a knack of riding well on tv on a Saturday, and then we have this little filly Razzmatazz, I put her up when she ran second in the Doncaster Listed race and I cannot desert her now, she still looks open to improvement and running a 61.24 on only her fourth in this ground is surely an each way bet to nothing.
RAZZMATAZZ : 1pt each way @ 10/1 (BOG)
14.25 Ascot – Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (11.9f)
Now Andre Fabre would not send over Waldgeist just for a day trip here at Ascot, this colt thrives in the autumn and once more should be too good for these exposed pattern contenders. His second in the Prix du Jockey Club is far superior than anything in this race has achieved this season, That Chantilly race is working out well, War Decree came out and won the Koffy Diamond Stakes in style, the fourth and sixth ran well in the Hampton Court Stakes thereafter.
Fourth in the Irish Derby behind St Leger winner Capri, Cracksman came out and won the Prix Niel, Taj Mahal finished fifth in the Irish Champion Stakes The form has stacked up in his favour, now all he has to do is show he is the best here, jockey bookings is mysterious as Maxim Guyon must have bigger fish to fry elsewhere. Can he be troubled in this? Realistically no, but stranger results have been coming in over the past few weeks, if there was one it would be Godolphin’s Secret Number, who’s third to Desert Encounter last week would be enough to go close under Gerard Mosse, however having to give 11lb to the filly is a tough ask.
WALDGEIST : 2pt Win @ 11/10 (BOG)
15.20 Redcar – Totepool Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) (6f)
Consistency is the key here and the fact Paul Hanagan has elected Crownthorpe could be a tip in itself. He gets into this with no weight what so ever, just 8st 3lb and they have kept him busy over 7f on soft ground this season. Goes well in soft conditions, drops back to 6f for the very first time in his career, gets a good draw in stall 19, has to be there on the premises.
Dangers, I do not have that many really, Foxtrot Lady’s second to the smart Beshaayir recently has to warrant respect, Willie Haggas’s Green Fortune could return to form who looked totally out of his depth in the Group 3 Serenia Stakes, Richard Hannon’s Billy Dylan handles soft ground but again will have to improve to win this. There’s twenty three runners still declared, its a minefield to be honest, but I will stick with Crownthorpe at the bottom of the weights here to go close.
CROWNTHORPE : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)
Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly