Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Newmarket and Chepstow with the highlight of the day the Cesarewitch from HQ.
15.35 Chepstow – Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (16.1f)
Percy Street (131)
This looks a really tight contest, Nicky Henderson has had a recent spin around the flat when finishing a poor second last at Haydock, but to be fair to that run he was competing in a 0-105 handicap with a decent rating of 98. He has been given this rating from his run in this years Adonis Hurdle when behind 133 rated Master Blueyes, eight lengths ahead of him was Alan Kings Fidux when off level weights, this time around Fidux will have to concede 10lb and considering he was only five lengths behind Flying Tiger who went on to land the Fred Winter Handicap.
With their own personal battle once more I would expect Paul Nicholls to go and land this race for the third time and second season in succession. Dolos was last seen at Sandown when finishing runner up to 135 rated Call My Lord under Sam Sheppard, back in third was Fidux to over nine lengths when conceding 3lb, Fidux will be only giving the selection 1lb this afternoon, but still has plenty to find at the weights still.
DOLOS : 2pt Win @ 11/2 (BOG)
15.40 Newmarket – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) (18f)
I think a horse has been laid out for this, but I will come back to that later. There were so many top rated in this race it would not have been any use to be fair. However, I can pinpoint some lively entrants here, now if your going to have a bet in this do not let the price of the horse in the market put you off considering over the past decade the average price has been 20/1.
I am going to put up three against the field that should be on the premises, Charlie Fellowes for me has a live contender in Endless Acres, the consistent four year old had his first run on the turf for the season when runner up in the Ascot Stakes. Who Dares Wins was a length and three quarters back in third, the question on my lips is if he was not carried right in the closing stages was their any infringement taken place would he of been closer, I think not after watching the re-run once more the winner Thomas Hobson looked effortless.
Who Dares Wins won the Cesarewitch trial quite comfortably in the end, back in third was Shrewd who gets a 7lb turnaround which could be enough to reverse the form, he ran in last years trial finishing in the same position, however he failed to turn up last year, this time around he is 7lb better off at the weights and off a 6lb lower mark, on that alone he has to be considered and will be put forward as an each way bet purely as he looks very well handicapped.
Finally the other selection, and a horse that I feel strongly that has been trained this year with this race in mind, Roger Charlton’s Withhold ran a cracking third on his first run of the season when finishing third to Daphne over 12f at Newbury, the runner up Weekender was only just denied by the smallest of margins last week when runner up in the Noel Murless Stakes which saw Raheen House get up on the line. He has attempted 16f which came on the all weather last year at Kempton in a 0-105 when just denied by Blakeney Point who recently landed the Squirrel Hcp at Leicester last week off a mark of 100.
Withhold’s current mark of 87 is very exploitable just from his first run back alone, if he turns up in that form again and the step up in trip he looks solid value in the race, as is Shrewd who also looks well handicapped.
WITHHOLD : 2pts each way @ 10/1 – SHREWD : 1pt each way @ 20/1
Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly