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Horse Racing Preview – Royal Ascot Day 2 – 21st June 2017

June 21, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Today’s horse racing preview has selections from Day 2 of Royal Ascot and a single selection from Ripon this evening with the NAP running.

14.30 Ascot – Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (7f)

If the form book reads correctly this should be a walk in the park for John Gosden’s Daban. Her two transition runs have been very likeable, winner of a fillies maiden at Kempton and thrown in at the deep end taking on the likes of Rhododendron and Winter in the 1000gns.

She is the daughter of Acclamation and with the connections dropping her back in trip I am finding it hard to get her beat, but the form is only on paper she will have to come and claim the prize.

She will have some stiff opposition in Dream Castle and the French raider Li Brivado to contend with. The former has not been disgraced running behind Barney Roy in the Greenham at Newbury. I actually thought he carried himself well next time out when finishing fifth in the 1000gns.

The French runner here is unknown quality, 2-3 in his career and will tackle 7f for the first time. He was beaten over mile at Deauville, and both his wins have come on the all-weather. He is probably more of a 7f horse on what he has shown, not out of it but does have to step up taking on Guineas form here with the UK runners.

Daban : 1pt each way @ 11/2 (BOG)

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15.05 Ascot – Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (5f)

This is going to be over before you have the chance to put the kettle on, my NB runs here in Happy Like A Fool who represents Wesley Ward. Ryan Moore is booked with links to the owners Tabor / Magnier and she’s all about speed, if she tugs her way to the front she will be gone by several lengths.

Who will chase her home? Chica La Habana was fairly impressive when winning at Beverley, she was a fairly expensive purchase at the Breeze ups, can’t see her out of the first three places.

Happy Like A Fool : 3pt win @ 7/4 (BOG)

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15.40 Ascot – Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) (8f)

Very difficult race to fathom out this year, Qemah represents France, last year’s Coronation Stakes winner comes into this off the back of a defeat at Lingfield in the Group 3 Chartwell Stakes.

For me she is ground dependable and this fast ground and heat wave s could just find one too good for her, she is a filly that needs everything to fall into place, she has lost far too many races coming off the pace.

Both Laugh Aloud and Usherette look the most likely to give the French filly a race. The latter also comes here from France and Andre Fabre. Last year’s winner has not been showing any of her four-year-old form, she looks up against it to retain her title.

On the other hand, though Laugh Aloud represents a yard that won this back in 2012, the same jockey will ride in William Buick. She brings a good run to the table when landing the Princess Elizabeth Stakes, very hard to oppose I think in this.

Laugh Aloud : 2pt win @ 11/4 (BOG)

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20.50 Ripon – It’s Ladies Day Tomorrow Handicap (0-75) (12f)

Looking at the entries, Theo’s Lolly sets the standard after her defeat in much better company. She won a similar affair I thought comfortably last year over course and distance, 2lb lower than that winning mark for this and has to be respected.

Marmion looks the main danger to the NAP. Course and distance winner last time out and will have to overcome her 6lb penalty.

Theo’s Lolly : 4pt win (NAP) @ around 11/4 if available early doors

Good luck, Gamble Responsibly

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Horse Racing Preview – Royal Ascot Day 1 – 20th June 2017

June 20, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Royal Ascot. What a week ahead, the Royal meeting is upon us once more, with the weather forecast set to be a sun drenched week and no doubt we will see some fast times being set on the first day.

My bets will cover four selections every day, with three Group 1 races and a Group 2, how can I not oblige myself to get stuck in?

14.30 Ascot – Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (8f)

We start the week off and straight into Group 1 sphere with the Queen Anne. Richard Fahey’s star Ribchester takes centre stage in the first race.

Last year’s Jersey Stakes winner was unlucky not to double up at Ascot in the latter part of the year when just denied in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes when beaten by the superb filly Minding.

Ribchester had Lightning Spear a length back that day when in receipt of 3lb, an approximate margin for the weight and distance. His visit to Dubai was encouraging, but from a draw he should have really exploited, he could only manage fourth place.

His return to the UK was impressive though when seeing off Lightning Spear once more by just under four lengths, he had improved with status, grown into a serious horse when landing the Lockinge.

He’s going to be in a few multiples on day one, but sorry to say I am not convinced this fast ground is going to suit him as much as it did at Newbury when it came up a lot softer.

He is 0-3 on the quicker surface, yes, he is the class horse in the field, but I am going to take him on with Lightning Spear. David Simcock has been patient with this son of Pivotal who returns to have another crack at the race after finishing third last year to Tepin in what I think was a stronger renewal.

Lightning Spear has this time, more in his favour, the ground especially. Going into the Lockinge I would have thought Simcock knew he was taking a chance on the ground, but regardless gave him a run and the losing distance is not worth noting.

He will be ripe this afternoon, Ribchester and Buick better be on their guard, looking in the rear view mirror as theirs a Lightning Spear coming past.

Lightning Spear : 2pt win @ 5/1 (BOG)

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15.05 Ascot – Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (6f)

With the ground holding I can see quick times being run around these sprints all week. The top two in the market make most appeal.

Middleham Park Racing are very solidly represented here with De Bruyne Horse, the son of Showcasing has come on from his two runs from Ripon to Epsom knocking off just under four second over the 6f trip, he has shown he has a blistering turn of foot and holds big sprint engagements throughout this year’s racing calendar.

His closest adversary to Richard Hannon’s chance is Jessica Harrington’s Brother Bear, this unbeaten juvenile has not really improved as much as I would have liked to see. His debut at Leopardstown was not that quick compare to De Bruyne Horse’s debut.

His win at the Curragh was three seconds slower than his debut, but the ground did him no favours coming up on the soft side of good, however he has a lot on his plate to keep his 100% record intact.

Every year we get an American speed ball in the race, but let’s take into light, Arawak will no doubt try and burn all comers off as they normally do, but most of their sprint races are over 4.5f-4.8f and i am not convinced he will last home in the closing stages.

Another to mention is Denaar, another Richard Hannon trained juvenile, he is also unbeaten and started his career off on the all-weather when he won comfortably by just under three lengths. Won on turf debut at Newbury in soft ground and would have to improve immensely to win this.

De Bruyne Horse : 3pt Win @ 7/1 (BOG) (NAP)

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15.40 Ascot – King’s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (5f)

Fast and furious over the flying five furlongs, for me Marsha looks a good thing to continue his wins which has seen him win the Palace House Stakes this season, even though he only won by a neck when beating Washington DC who is an absentee and looks set to go in the Jubilee Stakes.

Marsha’s finishing kick is serious, her fractions over the final quarter was way above anything in this race could handle, but she will have to fend off a good filly of Wesley Wards in Lady Aurelia who was last year’s Queen Mary winner.

I have watched that win from last season, and even though she romped the race by seven lengths, the time was not that quick. She was put in her place in the Cheveley Park at Newmarket not handling the rising finish. She is vulnerable, but respected.

Last but not least, the French raider Signs of Blessing who won nicely enough at Deauville in a prep run for this. This is her third visit to Ascot, ran here last year when just denied in the Jubilee Stakes, but if the ground goes too fast she will struggle I feel.

Marsha : 2pt win @ 7/2 (BOG)

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16.20 Ascot – St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (7.9f)

All eyes will be on Churchill to add this to his resume of English and Irish 2000gns wins this year, like Ribchester all top horses are vulnerable and once more I am taking him on with value.

Thunder Snow and Barney Roy both set good standards to take on the favourite here. The latter finished within two and a half lengths of Churchill from the Irish 2000gns. Thunder Snow is no under achiever with two pattern wins in Dubai this year.

Barney Roy chased home Churchill in the 2000gns getting within a length of the winner, he looks the most likely one to go close, but I am optimistic and probably stupid to even consider the chances of my each way selection in this.

I put Rivet forward as a horse to follow this year. Now he has not done himself justice, the Champagne and Racing Post winner has not made a pleasing transition as of yet, but you have to stick to what you believe that there is a big run just around the corner for this son of Fastnet Rock.

The French 2000gns was returning in the right direction when finishing third, at 25/1 and with the dead eight all running, I would enjoy most of all if he can show some juvenile form and run a big race.

Rivet : 1pt each way @ 25/1 (BOG)

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Royal Ascot Week – Best Bets

June 19, 2017 by Darren Chettleburgh·Comments Off

Royal Ascot Week – Best Bets – Every year I pull out three horses to get stuck into over the five days of pure class racing. I have already checked my selections and have found my three I feel will run well this coming week.

Royal Ascot Day One – Coventry Stakes (Group 2)

De Bruyne Horse

I do feel this son of Showcasing will thrive to this challenge. The way he won the Woodcote Stakes for me was impressive, he quickened nicely on the quick ground resulting in a 58.18 on the clock.

He is still improving, and quicker than expected, to shade off nearly four seconds off a distance time in under two weeks is a solid sprinter. He’s around the 7/1 bracket in the market which brings good value, at these odds he will be appeal to the each way punters, but I want to put him forward as a win bet.

De Bruyne Horse : 3pt win @ 7/1

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Royal Ascot Day Two – Prince of Wales’s Stakes (Group 1)

Jack Hobbs

You could pick several here with a chance, but one that I am confident, if running of course, is John Gosden’s Jack Hobbs. He has not shown the promise from a potential breeding point of view than I expected, but due to unfortunate injuries his progression was halted.

His second to Golden Horn in the Derby, I thought we had a good type to follow, won the Irish Derby and then after a niggle returned up on the all-weather at Kempton in a Group 3 and won.

Something went a miss when pulling up early doors in the Jockey Club Stakes, injury had struck, but whatever treatment they gave him over the six months off its worked.

His decapitated his field on his first run for six months when winning the Group 1 Sheema Classic, not only did he win but he put a good horse Postponed into retirement.

Seventh Heaven has come out and franked the form when landing the Jockey Club Stakes. Jack Hobbs is trading around 10/3, well worth a bet for me.

Jack Hobbs : 3pt win @ 10/3 (BOG)

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Royal Ascot Day Five – Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1)

Magical Memory

He’s a frustrating type that travels into his races but tends to find one or two too good, but I was at York when he finished runner up to Tasleet.

Frankie switched him off nicely and came on the premises looking menacing, but once more failed to pick up. I could make a case that the ground was far too tacky for him.

He returns to have a crack at the same race, no doubt Frankie will be the first to get the riding slot, if he gets the run of the green, this is his race for the taking this year.

Magical Memory : 2pts each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

So, the three bets are above, as I do every year I put these three in a win round robin with an each way cover with same bet.

Also, I back them singly ante-post and on the day.

Have a great week, be lucky and always gamble responsibly.

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