Horse Racing Preview - Doncaster - 28th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Beverley, The Curagh & Goodwood where we have the Listed Champion Two Year Old’s Trophy as the main feature on the card.

 

14.10 Goodwood – Butlins Novice Auction Stakes (8f)

If we take Andrew Balding’s entry Macaque seriously enough after winning a two horse race at odds of 1/16 last time out at Brighton we would have to be mad, totally disregard the race and I am going to judge him on his second at Sandown in this company. He was beaten by Finsbury Park that day who has since competed in the Group 2 Vintage Stakes and was just denied in this company on return behind a smart looking type in Highlight Reel.

However, the selection comes in David Simcocks Ibn Al Emerat who’s second to Aussie Wind on the all weather at Chelmsford is probably the best form in this contest. Considering the two winners from the relevant entries mentioned here, Finsbury Park (76) and Aussie Wind (86) you would like to think that more potential is going to come from the second favourite .

IBN AL EMERAT : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

14.35 The Curragh – Plusvital Round Tower Stakes (Group 3) (6f)

An excellent opportunity for Aidan O’Brien’s U S Navy Flag to taste pattern company success for the first time. He has gone close enough this season (2nd in the July Stakes) at Newmarket when not getting to runaway winner Cardsharp, however here comes the form-line, his fourth in the Phoenix Stakes was not that impressive considering he was beaten by stablemate Actress who finished last in the recent Lowther Stakes.

Even if we look at his maiden win over course and distance when beating the likes of stablemate Fleet Review who is another that has been going backwards when flopping in the Acomb Stakes, the runner up has also finished down a pattern field in the recent Debutante Stakes. So really if we take on the fact he is only a maiden winner and what he has beaten and how that form-line has come on, he would have to be opposed.

Two fillies I do like in this come from the same stable of Johnny Murtagh, Sankari Royale and the selection Golden Spell. The former ran a cracker at Newbury when runner up in the Listed St Hughes Stakes when behind Eirene. She was probably unlucky in the race as she was coming through with the winner but had her path slightly hampered, she could not get back on terms, but still ran a nice consistent race under today’s pilot.

However, its Golden Spell that makes more appeal on paper here, she is 2-2 over the course and distance and seems very versatile on any ground. Shane Foley rode her in the Group 3 Silver Flash Stakes when fourth of five, the top, two Happily and Shalailah, have just been denied in pattern company over the past couple of weeks.

GOLDEN SPELL : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

15.05 Beverley – Educare Of Beverley Nursery Handicap (5f) (0-95)

I do not normally get involved in handicaps of this nature, but this being a Nursery the old saying if the top weight is worth backing then get on board. Michael Dods Rumshak got off the mark at the second attempt at Carlisle, instead of going handicapping with him they elected to keep him around the Novice ranks. With two runner up spots which has included second in a Conditions race, but his second to Savalas at Thirsk would have possibly earned him an instant mark of around 80, so coming into handicap company for the first time off 83 is not far wrong.

Roundhay Park and Aquadabra won nicely for the blog a month or so ago now, but the latter has failed to show any impression of returning to winning ways, and the former coming into this off 74 is also about right to what form he has shown. Jive Lady could be the one we have to get past, she has bagged the rail in stall 1 and was probably disappointing when finishing fifth at York. I feel her current mark of 76 is giving her difficulties of landing a race at present, a drop to 0-85 should do the trick.

Tim Easterby’s Bow Belles looks another that has been handicapped out of this off 74, she comes into this with a team in reasonable form, but once more maybe a drop back to a 0-85 to let her record her second success.

RUMSHAK : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

16.30 Goodwood – Weatherby’s Racing Bank Supreme Stakes (Group 3) (7f)

In reflection to future declarations of this race it is safe to say that any horse that has an entry in next months Park Hill Stakes is probably the one’s to keep an eye on here. This brings in the likes of Dutch Connection, Viscount Barfield, Solomon Bay and the only filly of the race, Tomyris.

Viscount Barfield looked comfortable when scoring at Chester in the City Plate Stakes, but then does as he always has and disappoints when a long way back at Ascot in the International Stakes. Andrew Balding seems to have his string in good order and is having his best month since February, showed that on Friday when having five winners around the country which included the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup Stakes win with Montaly.

Then again Oisin Murphy has ridden all those winners and if this was fancied I am sure he would be riding him and not Bless Him for David Simcock this afternoon. Bless Him looks destined for a crack at this years Cambridgeshire with 9f more likely to play strong to his chances. He has not been seen since Ascot when landing the Brittania Stakes, however his last visit here did not go to plan when finishing fifth in a valuable 65k handicap over course and distance, that form has become suspect now.

Solomon’s Bay was also disappointing on his last visit to Goodwood when finishing a long way back behind Beat the Bank, stepping back into pattern company could once more see him out and has been applied cheekpieces this time around. One I do fear though is Salateen, with front running tactics more than likely, he was just denied at Newmarket when trying to make all under Adam Kirby, Philip Makin takes over this afternoon who is 2-5 with the horse.

If Dutch Connection was not that far out of form he would be a NAP selection this afternoon, I do understand the horse seems to save his best for Goodwood (121) and is expected to go off at the head of the market to land another success here. Sixth in this years Queen Anne Stakes which for me was a weak renewal apart from the winner Ribchester, and then ran sixth again when showing no attitude at all in the Group 2 Minstrel Stakes at the Curragh.

Now I do not know if he was restless on the flight over, or he just did not like the undulations of the Curragh, but last years Lennox Stakes win puts him right there when defending off Home of the Brave and probably ran up to a solid 118 that day. He comes in to this off just 112 purely on what he has shown this year, but with course experience he could just grind out another win.

We had a filly win this last year and the fast improving Tomyris cannot be discounted. She has not been seen since finishing third in the Group 3 Oak Trees Stakes over course and distance three weeks ago. With De Sousa electing to ride Solomon’s Bay and no Atzeni , we will see Josephine Gordon pick up the ride. Over the past six years three year old’s have done well,taking 50% of the winners enclosure, but this year they could be a little weaker taking on the older horses.

DUTCH CONNECTION : 2pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

 

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Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United - Match Preview

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United – Match Preview – Two footballing heavyweights go toe to toe at the City Ground on Saturday night as Nottingham Forest host Leeds United. Both sides have made encouraging starts to the season, sitting in fourth and fifth respectively.

After selling star striker Britt Assombalonga to Middlesbrough, you could excuse any Forest fan for feeling pessimistic about the season ahead. That money however has been cleverly invested in the squad, and this has seen Forest yield nine points from their opening four fixtures. New signings Barrie McKay, Daryl Murphy and Andreas Bouchalakis have impressed, with all three getting on the score sheet early on in their Forest careers.

The club have further strengthened their squad this week with the permanent signing of Liam Bridcutt. The midfielder is now in line to make his debut against the club he has just left. Warburton seems to be building a team that is equipped for Championship football, and this has been underlined by Murphy’s instant impact in the team. After helping Newcastle United to the league title last year, he has already managed three goals for Forest, proving himself to be an astute signing for just two million pounds.

Daryl Murphy has scored three goals for Forest this season so far Photo Credit: skysports.com

Leeds begin life without Chris Wood, following his £15 million pound move to Premier League side Burnley. Although Leeds impressively beat Sunderland 2-0 last week without him, it is yet to be seen how much his absence will affect Thomas Christiansen’s side.

One bright spark for Leeds this season has been summer signing Samuel Saiz. The Spaniard has already scored four goals this season, and has put in some eye-catching performances in Leeds impressive start to the campaign. They are one of only three clubs left in the division yet to be beaten, and have won both of their away games so far this season.

Samuel Saiz has made a great start to the season for Leeds United Photo Credit: skysports.com

In this fixture last season, it was the home side who prevailed, coming out 3-1 winners. Forest have a good record against Leeds, with the Reds losing only two of their last ten meetings. Leeds last win at the City Ground came back in 2011, and they have only picked up two points there since then.

The last ten games between the two teams have produced 25 goals with both teams scoring on six occasions. I fancy another tight game this Saturday, with both teams to score looking a fairly safe bet.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Leeds United

SKYBET: 2-1 CORRECT SCORE- 17/2
SKYBET: MURPHY TO SCORE AND FOREST TO WIN- 11/4
SKYBET: MURPHY AND SAIZ TO BOTH SCORE- 7/1
SKYBET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AND LEEDS TO WIN- 4/1
SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE GROUP BETTING, DRAW 1-1, 2-2 OR 3-3- 3/1

West Bromwich Albion vs Stoke City - Match Preview

West Bromwich Albion vs Stoke City – Match Preview – Tony Pulis welcomes his old team to The Hawthorns as West Brom look to continue their perfect start to the season against a Stoke side buoyed from a wonderful victory over Arsenal last time out.

The Potters, now managed by Mark Hughes of course, lost their opening game 1-0 to Everton to a fairytale goal from returning hero Wayne Rooney.
However, Jese Rodriguez, following confirmation of his loan signing from PSG, conjured his own piece of magic with a dream debut strike to defeat Arsenal by the same score-line.

A totally different type of challenge awaits the Staffordshire team when they travel to West Brom, an increase on the astounding 22.7% possession they had in the game against Arsenal is practically guaranteed.

Ahmed Hegazy scored the match winner against Burnley Photo Credit: skysports.com

Pulis’ men have started the campaign in what must be described as typical Pulis fashion, two games, two 1-0 wins (with the goals coming from a set-piece and a long-ball) and a very happy manager. New signing Ahmed Hegazy scored the winner v Bournemouth and Welsh international Hal Robson-Kanu took his goal brilliantly to see off Burnley before being remarkably sent-off just a matter of minutes later.

Currently perennial mid-table teams, just a point separated West Brom in 10th and Stoke in 13th last campaign and both will want to push on from those finishes. However, in an increasingly competitive league it will be difficult to do so.

Expect a tight game with two well organised teams and the difference perhaps being a piece of magic from one of Stoke’s eternal mavericks (Shaqiri or Jese come to mind) or from yet another well-executed set-play from The Baggies.

Team News 
Manchester City’s interest in Jonny Evans shows no signs of rescinding, but the Northern Ireland international could be set to make his first appearances of the season if he passes a late fitness test. Claudio Jacob is also expected to return. Robson-Kanu will be suspended after his red card against Burnley.

Stoke could welcome back Xherdan Shaqiri and his potential explosion of ingenuity into the forward line after missing out in the midweek League Cup match against Rochdale.

Darren Fletcher takes on his former club on Sunday Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch 
Darren Fletcher made the switch from The Hawthorns to the bet365 this summer and is facing an almost immediate return. With a wealth of experience and proven ability at the top level, the 33-year-old was pivotal to Pulis’ midfield during his two years at the club. Now in the middle of the park for Stoke, alongside the vast experience, his exceptional reading of the game and tactical nous can only be an asset for Hughes’ team. Fletcher has won every club trophy in the game whilst at Manchester United and with over 300 Premier League appearances, shows no signs of slowing down just yet.

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Doncaster - 27th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from York and Goodwood.

 

13.55 York – Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (Group 3) (8.8f)

its hard to look beyond Sovereign Debt and the 2015 winner Mondaliste with the latter the more likely one to repeat his win. David O’Meara has a cracking record in this race down the years with two wins in the past three years which includes the selection.

Mondaliste is not the easiest to catch right and has not visited the winners enclosure since landing the Arlington Millions last August. His consistency around York shows 1262 and despite only the one win at the Knavesmire he was very unlucky not to land the York Stakes here last month. With only one seven year old taking this race in City Style back in 2013, he does have to overturn the voodoo of beating the younger horses, especially four year old’s.

This would bring in Sir Michael Stoute’s Mustashry who recorded his third career success when landing the Moulsham Mile Handicap on the all weather at Chelmsford eleven days ago, but I still feel he is a few pounds wrong here to feel comfortable that he can win this. Sovereign Debt is another that has been there and got the t-shirt. Ruth Carr’s eight year old will have to overcome the fact that her entry here will be the oldest winner since the race was inaugurated back in 1986.

With three wins this season, which included a distance win in the Diomed Stakes when beating both Gabrial and Oh This Us off a weight of 9st 10lb. Was put well in his place in the Summer Stakes when the form with Gabrial was reversed, with a career best win coming off 114, he don’t have much to find to take on Mondaliste who’s career highest win has come off just 1lb higher. The last top weight to land this was Custom Cut back in 2014, but they are far between and could be vulnerable giving that 5lb to Mondaliste.

MONDALISTE : 2pt Win @ 5/2 (BOG)

14.10 Goodwood – Grosvenor Sport Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (7f)

Over eleven renewals there has not been that many shocks, with the average winning price being around the 11/4 with 5 of the past 10 favourites winning. Its a tight little contest this with the likes of John Gosden’s Verandah who looked smart on debut when landing her maiden on the all weather at Kempton seventeen days ago. She looked to have plenty in hand at the line when recording a two length win over File De Reve who also looks a nice prospect for trainer Ed Walker. Now diverting to turf, she would probably want some cut in the ground and can go well.

Charlie Appleby’s Peace Trail put the race to bed when just denying Roger Varian’s Attyn Orda at Newmarket last month. She was instantly given a RPR of 83 which I thought was a bit flattering considering she still looked a tad green in the closing stages. I am sure she has come on and learnt from that experience.

Jeremy Noseda won this back in 2011 with Regal Realm who went on to win the Oak Tree Stakes on her return to Goodwood. His representative here is the smart looking filly Quivery who is 2-2 on her career starts. She won well enough around the Novice ranks at Newmarket last month, though its not turning out to be the best of races with both the third and fourth beaten convincingly since.

The most experience comes in Richard Hannon’s Billsdon Brook who came from another parish to land a Nursery here at Goodwood at the beginning of the month, however she seems a difficult ride and up against some potentially nice fillies, she just might not get the gaps when needed here. So I will give the vote to Verandah to improve on her all weather win and land this race.

VERANDAH : 2pt Win @ 3/1 (BOG)

15.00 York – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (6f)

A race over the years that has given a good indication towards the Middle Park or Dewhurst Stakes over the coming two months. Mark Johnston’s Cardsharp has been consistent all season with his biggest win when landing the July Stakes at Newmarket, however was put well in his place when only managing third in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes three weeks ago.

One he was behind was Nebo who is the selection to land this race. Charles Hill’s Kodiac offspring I thought was unlucky not to get closer to Barraquero who just kept finding more, Cardsharp was two and a half lengths back in third that day, along with Headway who just never turned up on the day. He is a soft ground performer and if not given too much to do by Jim Crowley this time around he looks the one to beat.

Invincible Army is also another that was beaten at Glorious Goodwood, his conqueror was Havana Grey who has been beaten since by Unfortunately in the Group 1 Prix Morny. He is another that will not mind some cut in the ground and could be the most unexposed runner in the race. One that might be worth checking in the market if any support is Kevin Ryan’s Stormbringer who is an interesting participant. Off the mark at the second attempt at Redcar and did it well.

This of course is a big step up from a Class 5 stakes race, but he looked to equip himself well enough on debut and more to come from this son of Dutch Art. Another to mention is Tim Easterby’s Staxton, he is 2-3 on career runs and looked to have plenty in hand under James Sullivan at Haydock two weeks ago, if this race has not come too soon he could also be in the mix under David Allan who has been riding well in recent weeks.

As for the winner though, this looks Nebo’s race to lose, he has the potential to go on from this with some big race entries to follow, I give Jim Crowley the benefit of the doubt here that he can punch him out to success.

NEBO : 2pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)

15.20 Goodwood – Grosvenor Sport Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) (8f)

The nap of the day here goes to David Simcock’s Lightning Spear, I tipped him up to land the Sussex Stakes last time and actually thought at one stage that Oisin Murphy had timed the ride to perfection when challenging wide to be overhauled by Ribchester and the surprise winner Here Comes When. Winner of this race last year, he probably comes in to this where he was last season on form, the ground a slight concern, however he is the class act in the race.

Two against him is Hathal and Zonderland, the former has ran two good races this season finishing third on both occasions, third in the Summer Mile Stakes before running a good third again when behind Success Days and Mondaliste who runs on Friday. Zonderland makes his seasons debut, with a runners up spot behind Lightning Spear in this correspondence race last year when one and three quarter lengths behind the selection.

Four year old’s have not had the greatest of records in this race, in fact the last horse to succeed was Chic back in 2004, who also is the only horse to return and go back to back, so also a little pressure on the selection to succeed here.

LIGHTNING SPEAR : 2pts Win @ 11/8 (BOG)

15.35 York – Befred Ebor (Heritage) Handicap (13.9f)

As we have seen over the past couple of months you have to be on the pace here at York over middle distances, its also a minefield for favourites and probably could lay blind Flymetothestars with a bit of confidence. In fact the last winning favourite was back in Purple Moon in 2007. There has been only two single figure prices to win win this since, so for the each way punter there are prices out there with four or with some bookies five places on offer.

So where do we start, Jedd O’Keeffe’s Lord Yeats won a Class 2 handicap off 88 over 11.9f back in May and went on to land the Fred Archer Stakes when leading from start to finish at Newmarket, the front running tactics will come into his strong claims and around 20/1 a nice price to boot.

Saeed Bin Suroor won this back in 2012 with the heavily punted Willing Foe, they have two good representatives here in Winning Story and Natural Scenery. The former’s only success on turf came in a maiden two years ago and has not looked like winning anytime soon, the other entry and on bookings looks the first string, Winning Story has the same profile with only one career win on turf which came in a maiden on debut, both look to be well weighted out of this.

Jim Goldie’s reserve runner here Sir Chauvelin, will want two to come out to make the cut, but if running, is one that definitely ticks all the boxes. Was behind Soldier In Action in the Summer Handicap at Goodwood over the index. I believe he gets this trip well and has not run badly at the attempts at the trip, however being a reserve is no favours and hopefully two do come out as at 25/1, he is worth a some pennies each way chucked at him.

One I like very much in this is Marco Botti’s Wild Hacked, his only win this year has come on the all weather over a mile and a half, Paul Hanagan will be the tenth different jockey to get on board, Wild Hacked has the potential with this step up in trip and would like to think he will be on the premises.

I am going to be bold here and tip up a Willie Mullins flat runner, the trainer has Thomas Hobson running on Friday, and here has Ivan Grozny who looks to have been trained with this in mind. The last two renewals have gone back to Ireland and I can see this can be the third in four years. With only two turf runs to his name, one of those runs resulted in a win when landing the Guinness Stakes at last years Galway festival. He made a mockery of his mark of 100 that day when winning by fourteen lengths, and in today’s terms he should be rated around 110, getting into this off 105 is a laughable and very generous mark, goes close in this under champion jockey Jim Crowley.

IVAN GROZNY : 2pts each way @ 15/2 (BOG)

18.40 Windsor – Windsor Bet & Watch At Sunbets.co.uk Winter Hill Stakes  (Group 3) (10f)

Last years winner Chain of Daisy’s looks to have a cracking chance of repeating the success. This year has been a complete different preparation, she came through the Hopping Fillies Stakes last season on route to this race, she finished fifth and came the same route once more when finishing runner up this time, she has had one race less this time around so significantly this race has been on the agenda, only other change is she will running off a 4lb higher mark, but when you beating the likes of Ulysses in last years race who now supplies a rating of 121 it makes you reflect how well in she is on last years ratings.

Roger Charlton’s Ayrad has been disappointing now for a while, fifth in this last year and has been beaten this year by Frankuus and Spark Plug. The last win came back in July last year when landing the Listed Gala Stakes, he is 3lb lower than that win, but could not put him forward with any conviction. Frankuus has been beaten by Spark Plug and ran very well against Defoe in the Glasgow Stakes, so his win in the Rose of Lancaster Stakes was well deserved and had Aristocratic was well beaten, but he is not that consistent enough again to be taken seriously here, so a confident vote goes to Chain of Daises

CHAIN OF DAISES : 2pt win @ 5/1 (BOG)

 

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Bristol City vs Aston Villa - Match Preview

Bristol City vs Aston Villa – Match Preview – After a rocky start to the season, Aston Villa face a tricky away trip to the Ashton Gate. Lee Johnson’s men are unbeaten at home so far this season, and another home win would pile the pressure upon Steve Bruce.

After their opening day thrashing of Barnsley, Bristol City have failed to build on that win. Since then, they have picked up one point from their last three league games and will be hoping to get back to winning ways on Friday. Since getting off the mark on the opening day, club record signing Famara Diedhio has failed to find the net since. With the club shelling out a reported £5.3 million pounds, the Senegalese striker will be keen to repay them by adding to his goal tally.

Bobby Reid has been in great form, scoring in his last two games for City Photo Credit: skysports.com

One shining light has been midfielder Bobby Reid. The 24 year old has managed four league goals already this season, including two in his last two. Whilst City only have five points to their name, the football they have played has merited more. Having hit the woodwork and missed several guilt egged chances against Birmingham, they found themselves on the wrong side of a 2-1 score line, underlining their misfortune.

Villa on the other hand have flattered to deceive. After being installed as the joint favourites to win the division, a measly four points from four games has drawn plenty of criticism. An encouraging 4-2 victory against Norwich last time out should bide Bruce some time, but performances must improve, if they are to challenge for automatic promotion.

Scott Hogan could play a part for Villa Photo Credit: skysports.com

Last season, Villa came unstuck at Aston Gate, losing 3-1. Although they avenged that defeat with a 2-0 home win, they haven’t won away in the league at the Robins since 1979. The last ten meetings between these two have drawn up 22 goals and with both sides having scored in three of their four league games, it should be an enthralling tie.

Prediction: Bristol City 1-1 Aston Villa

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE 1-1- 5/1

SKYBET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AND BRISTOL CITY TO WIN- 4/1

SKYBET: ASTON VILLA TO WIN TO NIL- 4/1

SKYBET: REID AND HOGAN TO BOTH SCORE- 13/2

SKYBET: BRISTOL CITY TO WIN FROM BEHIND- 14/1

MLS - NY Red Bulls vs NY City FC - Match Preview

NY Red Bulls vs NY City FC – Match Preview – The New York derby returns for its tenth ever fixture. The City that never sleeps will have the attention of the MLS on Saturday 26th August as both sides are battling to secure a top two position in the Eastern conference.

The ever-competitive New York Red Bulls will be hoping to bounce back following a 2-0 away defeat at the hands of Portland Timbers. However, standing in their way of a crucial three points is an in-form New York City side that has won three matches on the bounce.

Bradley Wright-Phillips can provide a real threat to the NYCFC defence Photo Credit: skysports.com

The (sort-of) hosts for the derby, Red Bulls, often pose as the largest attacking threats in the conference. Striker, Bradley Wright-Phillips, is one of the best documented players in the league and will pose big problems for the New York City defence. The striker scored a brace in their recent US Open Cup tie against Cincinnati; a late equaliser and then the winner in extra time.

Skybet Anytime Goalscorer – Bradley Wright-Phillips to Score Anytime in 90 mins – Evens

Head coach of the Red Bulls, Jesse Marsch, will be hoping to restore the faith of the fans by earning some local pride against their noisy neighbours. The last time these two met, New York City won in a 5-goal thriller with ex-Barcelona star David Villa stealing the headlines with a hat trick for Patrick Vieira’s side.

David Villa has hit the net 19 times this season in the MLS for NYCFC Photo Credit: skysports.com

At the age of 35, David Villa is continuing to score for fun as he is leading the MLS golden boot race with 19 goals and 4 assists. The most experienced player on the pitch will also be the deadliest. Could the Spaniard’s clinical edge provide the difference?

Skybet To Score a Brace – David Villa to Score a Brace – 9/2

Villa and company will widen the gap between them and the competition with a victory on Saturday. New York City currently sit second in the Eastern conference, five points adrift from Chicago Fire in third. Manager, Patrick Vieira, will look to field his strongest side in the hopes that his side can get one over on their city rivals. The bookmakers fancy them to do so.

Skybet Match Result – New York City FC to Win – 5/2

Red Bulls are nowhere near safe in the play-off positions thus far and a defeat on Saturday could see them with their backs against the wall. Columbus Crew, Montreal Impact and Atlanta United are all breathing down their neck in the standings. In front of a home crowd, this is the definition of a big pressure match.

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – New York Red Bulls to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 5/1

 

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Bournemouth vs Manchester City - Match Preview

Bournemouth vs Manchester City – Match Preview – Premier League title favourites Manchester City travel to pointless Bournemouth looking to get back to winning ways after a difficult draw to Everton last time out.

Pep Guardiola’s side broke newly-promoted Brighton’s resilience in the opening match with a 2-0 win, but had to fight back with 10 men, following Kyle Walker’s red-card, to earn a 1-1 draw at the Etihad Stadium in Monday’s nights clash with Everton.

After spending over £200m in the transfer market City are heavily favoured to achieve their first league title since 2014, so anything less than a return to winning ways will be a huge surprise and even at this early stage, perhaps cause for concern.

Nathan Ake will have to be at his best to stop the Man City attack Photo Credit: skysports.com

In the pre-season predictions, Bournemouth were also widely tipped to have a strong season but find themselves without a point or a goal scored coming into the third fixture. 1-0 and 2-0 losses to West Brom and Watford respectively have left Eddie Howe perplexed as to the solution to these premature problems.

The Cherries have proven themselves capable opposition during their maiden two years in the top flight, an attractive style of football has brought plaudits along the way too. Big money has been spent in the form of £20m Nathan Ake and £10m Asmir Begovic from Chelsea to rectify their issues at the other end of the pitch, however.

City should prove to be too strong for a Bournemouth side struggling to get out of the traps of late, a wealth of attacking options capable of unlocking even the meanest defence are likely to overwhelm Howe’s men.

Team News
Jermain Defoe could be in line for his first start at Bournemouth to try and get the club on the scoresheet for the first time this season.

Kyle Walker is unavailable due to his imminent suspension so Sane and Danilo could retain their full-back berths. Potential left-sided replacement Benjamin Mendy is alongside central midfielder Ilkay Gundogan on the side-lines as both battle to regain full fitness.

Gabriel Jesus and Sergio Aguero could form a formidable strike force this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch
Guardiola has implemented the currently fashionable 3-5-2 in an attempt to play Gabriel Jesus alongside Sergio Aguero. That is big praise for the Brazillian striker’s impact since his signing from Palmeiras and given these opportunities you wouldn’t bet against that impact continuing and expanding. The 20-year-old has taken to the Premier League like a duck to water and his composure shines through every match – fashioning chances for himself and teammates while also consistently looking like he will have the finishing to match.

 

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Daily Horse Racing Pro Tips - 19th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Day 3 of the Ebor Festival, with three selections from York.

 

14.25 York – Weatherby’s Hamilton Lonsdale Cup Stakes (Group 2) (16.1f)

I must say I have been a big follower of Willie Haggas’s Dal Harraild this season, The Grand Cup winner looked smart when beating Nakeeta over 13f, this step up in trip should not inconvenience him, with a high cruising speed I expect him to be on the premises.

Even so the selection comes in the way of Willie Mullins Thomas Hobson, the Ascot Stakes winner was probably unlucky when just denied in the same week at the Royal meeting in the Queen Alexandra Stakes, has won a Grade A hurdle on good to soft and has to respected, however he can still mix it up over this drop back in trip, Mullins won this with the smart Max Dynamite two years ago, could be a prep run for a possible stab at this years Melbourne Cup.

THOMAS HOBSON : 3pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

15.00 York – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 3) (7f)

Over the past four renewals the head of the market have had a good run and this time around I am with David O’Meara’s Suedois who made up a lot of ground in the Lennox Stakes to be just denied by three parts of a length. He holds So Beloved on that run and I would expect him to do so again, there is a slight ground concern, however his consistency deserves to go close.

Best of the rest looks to come in the way of John Gosden’s Daban. The Nell Gwyn winner has struggled to make an impact since his Group 3 success at Newmarket, but was not disgraced in a hot 1000gns and Jersey Stakes.

Suedios : 2pt each way @ 7/1 (BOG)

15.35 York – Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (5f)

This is going to be over in a flash, and the head to head is definitely Lady Aurelia and Battaash, two special sprinters in this field. The ground looks to come in favour of Charles Hills gelding Battaash, but there is no getting away from the class that is Lady Aurelia.

If Lady Aurelia brings her Queen Mary Stakes win from last year, which by the way came in good to soft conditions, all they will see behind her is her pulling away in style. She won that QM by seven lengths, her only defeat came in the Cheveley Park Stakes, but being two lengths behind the likes of Roly Poly is not a bad yardstick.

She blitzed them in this years Kings Stand taking the scalps of King George second and third Profitable and soft ground sprinter Marsha. I just cannot see her being overhauled. Battaash I feel will be put in his place this afternoon, but has been a smart gelding for trainer Charles Hills, whatever his distance of defeat today he has to be respected after his Coral Charge win.

LADY AURELIA : 5pt Win @ 13/8 (BOG) (NAP)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Redcar - 7th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Day 2 of York, with three selections from the meeting.

 

14.25 York – Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (6f)

Without a doubt, Mark Johnston’s Threading was the one to take out of the whole meeting at Goodwood two weeks ago when decapitating his field by six lengths, that came on heavy ground, however he is bred to be more versatile on quicker ground being by Exceed and Excel who relish good ground.

Despite his run being the slowest in the field, most of the entrants here have run on today’s surface so it’s on trust that the NAP of the day can adapt, I think there is more to come from this filly and will take this step up into this company in her stride.

Willie Haggas does well at York, winning trainer back in 2015 with Besharah. He has a probability of two entries here with Island Drive and Special Purpose. The latter is the one of interest after two solid wins around the Novice ranks, but this is a huge step up for this daughter of Scat Daddy, but she is the main danger to the selection here, along with Roger Varian’s Madeline.

The Kodiac filly has been a bit hit and miss, however she never handled the step up into pattern company when competing for the Group 3 Albany Stakes where she had the likes of Actress and Natural behind her, but was dropped quickly into Listed company when landing the Rose Bowl Stakes at Newbury in a race that she beat Natural once more with Another Bhatt back in third, who has been beaten for the third time in Listed company last weekend.

THREADING : 3pt Win @ 5/1 (SkyBet) (BOG)  (NAP)

15.35 York – Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1) (11.9f)

I think it is safe to say that Enable looks nailed on to collect her fourth Group 1 of the campaign, she is definitely the smartest filly in the race and is very versatile on any ground, so it’s a case of looking around for the forecast, who will chase her home?

Only three for me really have the ability to give her a race, John Gosden’s other possible entry in Journey and Sir Michael Stoute’s Queen’s Trust. Both Group 1 winners in their own rights, with the former landing the Champion & Fillies Mare Stakes and Queen’s Trust winning her big time race taking the Breeders Cup Filly & Mares Turf.

So out of the two, who has trained on the better? Their best runs this season has seen Journey finish a wayward fifth in the Coronation Cup, Queen’s Trust fourth in the Prince of Wales Stakes when behind Highland Reel and Ulysses. For me though the one that has any form this year should be Nezwaah. Roger Varian’s daughter of Dubawi. I feel, is the only horse in this race that can either spring a surprise or can chase the favourite home.

Unbeaten this year which included the Group 1 Pretty Polly Stakes, which she done in a very professional manner. Even though I think she beat a very exposed field that day in Ireland, she is still on paper the second best filly this race has to offer.

Nezwaah : 2pts each way @ 7/1 (William Hill) (BOG)

Enable & Nezwaah : 5pt (Reverse Forecast)

 

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Manchester United vs Leicester City - Match Preview

Manchester United vs Leicester City – Match Preview – Manchester United host Leicester City as Jose Mourinho will aim to continue the momentum of their perfect start to the campaign.
The self proclaimed ‘Special One’ has enjoyed watching his side dismantle both West Ham and Swansea in their opening fixtures with consecutive 4-0 victories. Meanwhile, Leicester have been illustrating their attacking prowess since the first whistle of the new season.

Manchester United have flexed their financial muscle yet again this summer and it appears to have paid off thus far. The arrival of Romelu Lukaku stole the back pages and his opening two matches have continued that trend. The big Belgian scored two against West Ham in an emphatic debut and nailed Swansea’s coffin with a late goal in his second league match. Can Lukaku make it three consecutive games on the scoresheet?

Skybet Player to Score a Brace – Romelu Lukaku – 2/1

‘The Foxes’ bounced back from a tough 4-3 loss to Arsenal in the Premier League’s opening match with a 2-0 victory over league newcomers, Brighton and Hove Albion.
A season of stability is required from Craig Shakespeare and promising signs were shown in their previous outing. However, United pose a much larger threat and Shakespeare’s men will have a tough time dealing with the ‘Red Devils’ attack. New arrival, Harry Maguire has impressed since joining Leicester but will face his toughest test yet having to mark Lukaku and company.
Jamie Vardy will be hoping to get some good service in behind the United defence as he aims for a third season of goalscoring for ‘The Foxes’.

Skybet Anytime Goalscorer – Jamie Vardy to Score Anytime in 90 mins – 3/1

Henrik Mkhitaryan has been in great form for Manchester United so far this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

Jose Mourinho will be hoping his pattern of good early starts in the domestic leagues resulting in title wins will occur yet again with his new-look Manchester United side. The introduction of Marcus Rashford and Henrik Mhkitaryan in behind target-man Lukaku has seen great success so far. Summer arrival Nemanja Matic has also hit the ground running and has struck up a promising relationship with £90 million man Paul Pogba. They are tough to bet against.

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Manchester United to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 100/30

Shinji Okazaki could cause the United defence problems with his movement Photo Credit: skysports.com

Leicester are fresh from a 4-1 victory over Sheffield United midweek in the Carabao Cup. Two goals from hot and cold striker Islam Slimani saw ‘The Foxes’ cruise to victory. It is unsure whether Slimani’s efforts on Tuesday will earn him a spot in the starting eleven. Both Shinji Okazaki and Jamie Vardy have begun the campaign in impressive fashion, which could spell more time on the bench for the Algerian. Leicester seem to be in a goal-scoring mood, could it rattle the United defence?

Skybet Match Result – Leicester to Win – 15/2