Pro Tip Footy Accumulators - Wednesday 17th January 2018

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Horse Racing Pro Tips - 14th November 2017

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World Cup Qualifiers - Republic of Ireland vs Serbia - Match Preview

Republic of Ireland vs Serbia – Match Preview – The top two in Group D go head to head as the Republic of Ireland host Serbia. With the home side just two points behind their visitors, three points would see Ireland leapfrog Serbia in to first place.

With 13 points from their first seven games, ROI sit in second spot, two points clear of third place Wales. With Wales winning on Saturday, and ROI only managing a 1-1 draw away at Georgia, the pressure is on for Martin O’Neill’s men.

Whilst they remain unbeaten so far in qualifying, they also find themselves without a win in three matches. Draws with Wales, Austria and Georgia have set back a fantastic start. A win for them would see them move in to first place and leave automatic qualification in their own hands, with two games remaining. Any dropped points however, would open the door for Wales to jump above them in to the play-off spot.

A key factor in Ireland’s unbeaten qualifying run has been their defensive solidity. Having only conceded five goals so far, it has made them hard to beat. Where they have fallen short however, has been scoring goals. With only nine goals so far, they find themselves with the third lowest amount in their group.

Mitrovic has scored 6 goals during qualifying for Serbia in Group D Photo Credit: skysports.com

Like Ireland, Serbia come in to the game unbeaten in qualifying. Four wins and three draws sees them top the pile, having scored an impressive 16 goals along the way. A comfortable 3-0 win last time out against Moldova will have them in good spirits, and they now only need seven points from their last three matches to book a place at next summer’s tournament. Although they can’t guarantee top spot with a win on Tuesday, it would be very hard to see them slipping up, if they were to grab three points at the Aviva Stadium.

These two met on the opening group game in September last year. An enthralling match saw Serbia come from a goal down to lead, only for Daryl Murphy to snatch ROI a late draw. Since that game, Ireland have failed to score more than one goal in a match, whilst Serbia have notched 14 in six games.

Walters will be key for Ireland’s progression to the World Cup Photo Credit: skysports.com

With so much riding on this game, I can see another defensive masterclass coming from the men in green. This match really does seem a must win for Martin O’Neil’s side, and when that is the case, they usually deliver. Whilst the stats would point to another draw, I think ROI may nick a result and move them in to first position in the group.

Prediction: Republic of Ireland 1-0 Serbia 

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE – ROI TO WIN 1-0 – 6/1

SKYBET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AND DRAW- 100/30

SKYBET: LONG AND MITROVIC BOTH TO SCORE- 15/2

SKYBET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN BOTH HALVES- 25/1

SKYBET: TADIC TO SCORE FIRST AND SERBIA TO WIN 1-0- 30/1

SKYBET: WALTERS TO SCORE AND ROI TO WIN- 7/2

England vs Slovakia - Match Preview

England vs Slovakia – Match Preview – Slovakia will be relishing the opportunity to snatch direct World Cup qualification from England’s hands at Wembley in a crucial Group F match with just three matches remaining in the qualification group just two points separate the two sides.

Only the team that finishes top of the group receives the reward of automatically qualifying to the 2018 World Cup in Russia – with the second-place teams in each of the European groups going into a play-off match.

England, once again, will be expected to surpass the (now Slovakian) obstacle in their way and top yet another major tournament qualifying group. After a slight blip in the 2-2 tie against Scotland due to Leigh Griffiths magic, England dispatched Malta 4-0 in a game that Gareth Southgate’s side did nothing to dispel the current concerns around the national team.

It was a laboured performance which saw the Three Lions struggle to create many opportunities but it maintained the gap over Monday’s opponents, who are on a run of five straight victories and have first spot within their crosshairs.

Marek Hamsik can cause England problems from the middle of the field Photo Credit: skysports.com

Jan Kozak’s team are currently 28th in the world and are by no means pushovers, possessing real quality in the side via the mediums of players such as Napoli icon Marek Hamsik and ex Liverpool centre-back Martin Skrtel.

A marked improvement will be needed for England to navigate the Slovakian onslaught, in a game that could be reminiscent of the blunder against Croatia in 2008, (losing a vital match 3-2 and subsequently not qualifying for that year’s European Championships) if not treated with the required determination and diligence. The Falcons are buoyant after overwhelming fellow home nation Scotland 3-0 in Trnava last time out.

Even so, England have kept clean sheets in their last three encounters with Slovakia (winning the reverse fixture 1-0) and the quality littered throughout Southgate’s team should be more than adequate in seeing the job through. Victory would see England’s all but guaranteed passage through to Russia, where they can really begin to dream.

Team News
Everton stopper Jordan Pickford has withdrawn from the squad due to injury which should see the under-fire Joe Hart retain his no.1 spot. Jordan Henderson has been confirmed as the game’s captain as Southgate decides on a progressive, rotational replacement for the captaincy voided by Wayne Rooney’s permanent departure.

Kane scored a brace against Malta and will need to find his goalscoring touch again against Slovakia Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch
Harry Kane has had vast amounts of column inches dedicated to him at the start of this season, once again failing to break his ‘August duck’ in the Premier League with Tottenham Hotspur in a sluggish opening period to the campaign. The 24-year-old did however open his account for the season with a brace against Malta, taking his current tally to 10 strikes in just 20 appearances for England – a stellar record. The general premise of Kane is that if you allow him even half a yard, he will punish even the strongest teams.

The striker never seems to lack confidence and has earned his place in leading the line for his country with several fantastic seasons at club level (winning back-to-back Premier League Golden Boots). Now he needs to exorcise the demons of a disastrous Euro 2016, take his nation to another major tournament, and perform to the standard he is blatantly capable of when he is there. That path begins with Slovakia on Monday.

 

Suggested Tips:

World Cup Qualifiers - Greece vs Belgium - Match Preview

Greece vs Belgium – Match Preview – Belgium take a trip to Greece in a top of the table clash in Group H. A win for the visitors seal top place in the group, and a place in next year’s World Cup.

Belgium come in to this game unbeaten. Roberto Martinez’s men have impressed so far in qualifying, having only dropped two points all campaign. The Belgians are knocking in the goals for fun, with 33 goals scored and only two conceded in those six games.

Belgium’s only blip however, was against Greece, where they drew 1-1 at home. With the home side sat just six points behind, they can’t afford to slip up. Another victory would however all confirm top spot in the group, and leave the rest to fight it out for a play-off place.

Lukaku netted a hat trick against Gibraltar in the 9-0 win Photo Credit: skysports.com

After a resounding 9-0 victory over Gibraltar last time out, they are certainly in red hot form. Belgium’s top scorer Romelu Lukaku bagged a hat-trick, to take him third in the scoring charts for qualification. The Manchester United striker sits just behind Cristiano Ronaldo and Robert Lewandowski, who have 14 and 11 goals.

Greece come in to the game knowing they need to get another result against Belgium. With them currently sat in second place, they’re desperate to secure a play-off place. They currently sit two points ahead of Bosnia, and three above Cyprus. Defeat here and a positive result for either of those sides could see them just above them and in to second place.

Greece, like Belgium have a very tight defence, having only conceded three goals in qualifying thus far. The main difference between the two sides however, is at the other end of the pitch. Greece have only notched ten goals in seven matches, compared to the 33 scored by Belgium. If they are to have any hope of securing a positive result, it’ll all depend on their ability to soak up pressure, and hit them on the counter attack.

With a key game against Cyprus after this match, it’s imperative they try and keep their fate in their own hands if they want to have any chance of qualifying. With the attacking strength Belgium have, I think it may be too much for them, a Belgium win to nil looks a good bet to me.

Prediction: Greece 0-2 Belgium

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE BELGIUM TO WIN 2-0- 6/1

SKYBET: BELGIUM TO WIN TO NIL- 13/8

SKYBET: LUKAKU AND HAZARD TO BOTH SCORE- 11/2

SKYBET: OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE- 2/1

SKYBET: BELGIUM TO SCORE IN BOTH HALVES- 9/4

Horse Racing Pro Tips - 22nd November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from Worcester and Brighton.

 

14.00 Brighton – Hertz Brighton Maiden Auction Stakes (5.1f)

Richard Hannon’s backward Juveniles are starting to come to hand and this could be a good opportunity for his filly Ghepardo to get her head in front at the fifth attempt. Her best run this year came on the all weather when finishing runner up at Wolverhampton being just denied by Tom Dascombe’s Deviate who has gone on to run an improved second to Michael Bells Revived.

He could not get competitive when stepping up on Handicap bow at Glorious Goodwood when running last in a 0-80 Nursery, however that was over 7f and it was obvious that a step back to sprinting was looking more likely, he competes over 5f this afternoon once more and should be the one to beat under Tom Marquand.

The main danger and probably the most frustrating one in the race is Sylvester Kirk’s Three Little Birds, form May to June it looked like a win was just around the corner after a string of good runs when being placed on three occasions. Even though she was possibly out classed when contesting the Class 2 Weatherby’s Super Sprint at Newbury, she ran a creditable seventh of twenty three, a length a head of her was Mother of Dragons who has also finished last in a Nursery since at Nottingham, but excuses can be made for her run purely as the ground was just beyond heavy and a mud-fest, she will be better back on this quicker ground.

GHEPARDO : 1pt each way :@ SP (BOG)

14.45 Worcester – Bet Toteexacta AT Betfred.com Novices Chase (16.5f)

This is probably Charlie Longsdon’s last chance saloon to get Lambeau Field a slim chance of running well off a low weight. The once trained Charles O’Brien gelding changed hands last October and ran a cracker on debut when placed in the Grade 2 JCB Triumph Hurdle trial, that alone would be significant enough to land a race of this nature, but he was beaten out of sight on his return this year at Ludlow, then it looked like he was going to record his first success when just denied in a 0-110 Handicap Hurdle back in April.

Once more trainer stepped him back up into a Class 2 where again he showed no love when tailing off by eighty lengths, he drops down in class once more into a class 4 and should really be making his presence felt off this low weight of 10st 4lb on his chasing bow, the extra half a furlong also could play to his strengths as most of his runs above 16f has seen him go reasonably close.

Colin Tizzard’s Solatentif should also be on the premises after a good second at Uttoxeter on only his third chase run, he has a good fourth on his resume in a Grade 2 chase, he has to be feared from a five week layoff, Richard Johnson takes the ride for the first time, If Mad Jack Mytton turned up in a form that has seen him land a 0-135 Handicap Hurdle this year he would have to be the most feared in the race. He returns this afternoon to the larger obstacles and his best career run came in a 0-135 Chase back in January when behind Paul Nicholls Clic Work and on that occasion ran up to a mark of around 127 which is still a lot ahead of these today.

Favourites have a good record in the race, taking 4-6 which includes the last three renewals this saw Aidan Colman ride last years winner for Nigel Hawke, I expect the market to be in favour of Jonjo O’Neills seven year old and continue the run of winning favourites for the race.

MAD JACK MYTTON : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

15.15 Worcester – Bet Totequadpot At Betfred.com Intermediate Open National Hunt Flat (16f)

All about pedigree and with Saint Des Saints progeny’s having a excellent strike rate with first time bumper runners, this is an opportunity for Francky Du Berlais to give Peter Bowen his first bumper runner since April. It’s not the greatest of contests even though a few of these have had the benefit of a run. Beyond The Clouds has run well on both NHF starts which resulted with a win on debut, but with both runs coming at Musselburgh, maybe that is where his next success will come.

Neil Mulholland’s Mac Tottie has had every opportunity to get his head in front, but has failed now on three occasions, I am not a fan of bumper runners that take this amount of time to hit the winning enclosure at this level. He blew his chance at Newton Abbott last time when beaten to two and a half lengths, but the winner has gone on again to win around the same sphere at Fontwell, won’t mind the ground and is a major player under Noel Fehily.

FRANCKY DE BERLAIS : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

15.30 Brighton – British Stallions Studs EBF Fillies Handicap (9.9f) (0-85)

A very competitive contest here with Roger Varian’s Great Court being one of the principles, she looked really smart when landing her maiden against her own sex on the all weather in good style. Her two career runs on turf have seen her run well when third in a 0-75 handicap at Sandown and was probably given a tame ride by Andrea Atzeni who for me has been doing this too much this year, not disrespecting the jockey, but it just seems he is not riding mounts out to their best possible finishing position. She has been beaten over this trip on turf this year quiet convincingly, however the winner has gone on to compete at pattern level.

The third has won a 0-95 recently and the fourth Nathalie has won her maiden since, her mark of 78 I do not think does her justice considering she has been running up to mid eighties, young 3lb smart claiming jockey David Egan takes the ride. Recent course and distance winner Impressive Day got the better of Marie Josephe three weeks ago, she gets 1lb back here and the form looks to be solid enough that she can hold her ground once more.

Michael Bells Jive Talking never seems to run a bad race, course and distance winner back in July in a 0-70 handicap and to be fair has kept that level of form when runner up in a 0-80 at Windsor under a penalty, she did not run that badly in a 0-100 handicap at Salisbury two weeks ago, but the trip was all wrong over the 12f index, she drops back to 9.9f once more and has to be feared under Lewis Steward.

With already a good level of form, Kitty Boo has run well since coming out of the maiden ranks, her handicap bow saw her go close at Newmarket under Jamie Spencer, she goes up another 1lb and even though she is consistent I feel she has not had the breaks with the ground issues, Luca would not have her here now unless she has been crying out for quicker ground, with her age allowance she can take this race under Luke Morris. three year old’s have one all four renewals.

KITTY BOO : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Beverley

Today’s selections come from Beverley and Sandown for Saturday 2nd September 2017.

14.25 Sandown – BetBright Solorio Stakes (Group 3) (7f)

I always found that 7f is a specialist trip, even if you are stepping up or dropping down in trip, this index can catch a few out, also pedigree is a strong factor here and one that really stands out is Charlie Appleby’s Masar.

The son of New Approach who was unbeaten over this trip as a juvenile and Masar definitely inherited his fathers genes.

The Chesham Stakes is probably the best form to take out of this race, despite only finishing third behind September and Nyaleti, the form was given a boost when Nyaleti went on to land the Group 3 Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes at Ascot, but the form has taken a hit with both beaten very convincingly when stepping into better company, however I do think he is a bit classier than these.

Main dangers should be coming form John Gosden’s Purser who landed a touch when winning at Newbury, his maiden was very competitive with the likes of Merlin Magic whom he beat, the front pair were easily clear of the third.

MASAR : 3pt Win @ 7/4 (BOG)

15.00 Sandown – BetBright Casino Atalanta Stakes (Group 3) (8f)

With four from six past winning favourites in this race I suppose we have to take on board that Nathra will head the market for John Gosden.

She has got better with every run and looked like she was going to get off the mark in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes when she was beaten by Massaat who was tipped up on here. If she brings her second in the French 1000gns she will be very hard to beat. She was beaten this year in the Valiant Stakes which went to On Her Toes who she re-apposes again this afternoon.

This time around she will be getting 3lb back form both Tisbutadream and On Her Toes and with her improvement now coming to hand she should be finding the losing distance. Tisbutadream has to be considered again after her second in the Hungerford Stakes, but I have concerns that this race has come to quick after her defeat in France two weeks ago.

NATHRA : 2pt Win @ 9/2 (BOG)

15.15 Beverley – totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed) (5f)

Last years winner and fourth go head to head again and it is the latter this time around that can gain revenge and success. Final Venture has since changed hands when he was trained by Alan Swinbank to win this race, now with a sprinting trainer I feel he has enough speed to fend off all comers under a power pack ride from Nunthorpe winning jockey Luke Morris.

Kimberella seems to save her best for the all weather or Chester these days, but she did win the Listed Queensberry Stakes at Chester two runs back when beating Judicial quiet comfortably, but she has to concede 3lb to Judicial this time around and the latter should be a lot closer this time.

Borderlescott landed this race as a ten year old and Take Cover is looking to come as the only second double aged winner. Dropping back into this category he has to be taken seriously after he showed when landing the Listed City Walls Stakes at York this year.

However both Kimberella and Take Cover have become more exposed than some of these on turf this year, so on that account Paul Midgley’s five year old can go three places better this year.

FINAL VENTURE : 2pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)

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Daily Horse Racing Tips are provided to pro-members. We try to identify the best value Singles, Doubles and Reverse Forecast each day for our pro members that have a higher chance of landing than our daily previews.

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