Horse Racing Pro Tips - 1st December 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has two selections coming from the all weather at Newcastle.

 

16.40 Newcastle – Global’s Make Some Noise Fillies Handicap (12.3f) (0-70)

Alfa Queen (72)
Island Flame (68)
Stepney (68) – Likely NR

I have just four pounds separating my top three ratings, but Alfa Queen has been the most consistent of the three to be honest. Iain Jardine’s three year old finished third over course and distance last month when posting above her current mark of 70. She has not been hard done by coming into this off 69 and still could be a little ahead of her relevant mark this afternoon.

Island Flame represents a strong yard, Richard Fahey’s three year old was last seen around today’s track when finishing fourth to Iain Jardine’s Archipeligo over two furlongs less than today’s trip, she has won over 10f around here this time last year off an 8lb higher mark so has to be respected.

ALFA QUEEN : 1pt Win @ SP (BOG)

17.10 Newcastle – Capital North East Handicap (0-70) (10.2f)

Chartbuster (83)
Infamous Lawman (75)
Bahamian C (73)

Richard Fahey again has an interest in the race with Bahamian C, this is only her third run on the all weather and held her own to be fair two seasons ago when running relevantly well in a 0-75 when finishing third of thirteen when off a mark of 68, to come here off a mark of 57 this afternoon she has to be given a live chance of being in the mix off 8st 3lb.

This has not been the greatest of seasons by O’Meara’s standards, but he saddles here Infamous Lawman who despite having only his fourth spin around handicaps, he has equipped himself reasonably well. He is another that makes his all weather debut this afternoon and takes the step up in trip for the first time. He was probably a little unlucky at Ayr last time when beaten one and a half lengths to Chinese Spirit (top rated on my stats last week), Danny Tudhope back in the saddle this afternoon always a plus sign.

However, the tentative vote just goes to Julie Camacho’s all weather and handicap debutante Chartbuster who’s three maiden runs on the turf have been behind far superior rated horses, his last run when finishing behind now 89 rated Tribal Conquest, the third Oden won off a mark of 76 last month. His opening mark has to be respected off 69, the handicapper has not taken any chances with him on his debut, he is definitely open to improvement if handling the surface.

CHARTBUSTER : 1pt each way @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Leicester - 20th November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview has three selections, all coming from Brighton.

 

16.05 Brighton – Loud Shirt Brewing Co Brighton Handicap (0-65) (9.9f)

Rocksette (65)
Sussex Girl (65)
Saint Helena (59)

As Silvestre de Sousa pushes towards the championship jockey title he should be on another winner here for Philip Hide. Rocksette was just touched off over course and distance nine days ago under Luke Morris, even though she is 0-7 in her career she has not shown exposure this year running well on all of her four handicap starts, her mark of 51 is seriously exploitable this afternoon.

Joint top rated here is Sussex Girl, John Berry’s three year old was behind Rocksette last time out here over course and distance when giving her rival 1lb at the weights for a two and a quarter length defeat, she has to concede another 2lb here to the selection, to reverse that form is not going to be easy despite the 7lb claim of Nicola Currie.

Saint Helena was last seen last time out in a seller when finishing fifth, however she has been competing in better class than this, her run two back when just beaten off 62 posting a mark of around 67, however that was over a little further than today, she is a course and distance winner though last year when winning off 64, she is 4lb lower this time around, but her form has dipped and this her only second run over the course and distance going against proven Brighton visitors.

ROCKSETTE : 2pt Win @ 11/4 (BOG)

16.40 Brighton – Love Fairs Antique Fair 22 October Handicap (0-75) (6.9f)

Spinnaka (80)
Wahaab (75)
Mister Freeze (75)

Waheeb bolted up last time out at Leicester on soft ground, this came in an apprentice race, Jack Osborn has got the recall to ride him again and his 7lb claim is going to be very significant, on paper he looks the one to beat. Mister Freeze has also posted a similar run two runs back over today’s trip, his win last time on the all weather saw him win a 0-65 handicap under Luke Morris, a good booking of David Probert this afternoon and cannot be discounted.

The selection though comes in Spinnaka, he will be making his handicap debut this afternoon off a mark of 75, the Luca Cumani charge has been in rich rein of form this year and got her just deserves when landing her maiden at Chepstow over slightly further than this. The runner up Diagnositc has franked that form, Spinnaka collected a rating of 75 for that win, she has posted for me a mark of 80, so still open to improvement in this category.

SPINNAKA : 1pt each way @ 13/2 (BOG)

17.40 Brighton – Wildstrawberryevents.com Christmas Fair 2 December Handicap (0-75) (5.3f)

Case Key (72)
Merdon Castle (70)
Diable D’Or (69)

This is a tight seven runner affair, but once more the significance jockey of De Sousa on Case Key looks a solid attribute. You would have to go back to last May when she was competing over this trip, it has not been successful, however his win at Newmarket two runs back when landing a 0-80 handicap when beating Richard Hannon’s Zebulon who has gone on to win off this mark.

He is a quirky type, but has been keeping relevantly good company in 0-80 & 0-85 company this year, looked out of is depth last time at Doncaster, this looks a realistic chance and with De Sousa seeming to be picking winnable rides throughout the week.

On his day, Merdon Castle would have been fighting for favouritism to win this race, winner this year in a 0-80 handicap at Carlisle when rated 75 would also bring him into the equation, however his decline has been poor and what he showed at Redcar last time in a weaker race concerns me that he just might be a few pound wrong here.

Eve Johnson-Houghton’s Diable D Or has not got his head in front since landing his maiden at Chepstow last August, he has really struggled in handicap company over the past 12 months and once more could find one too good.

CASE KEY : 2pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)

 

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Everton vs Lyon - Europa League Preview

Everton vs Lyon – Europa League Preview – As the pressure mounts on Ronald Koeman; Everton face a crunch match in the Europa League against Lyon at Goodison Park as both sides search for their first win of the competition.

Despite spending upwards of £140m in the summer; abject performances and poor results have intensified the speculation surrounding Ronald Koeman’s job – the Dutchman is odds on to be the next Premier League manager sacked.

After a strong campaign last time in which Everton finished as the ‘best of the rest’ in 7th place in the Premier League, Everton successfully navigated the somewhat tricky Europa League qualifiers to secure European football for the 2017/18 season.

Can Rooney help turn Everton’s fortunes around Photo Credit: skysports.com

This season has, however, gone nothing like the plan. The Toffees have only won two of their opening eight matches in the league and are performing vastly below expectations, consequently finding themselves in 16th – just two points away from the relegation zone. In fact, it took an injury-time penalty from Wayne Rooney in Everton’s last match against Brighton to snatch just a point and avoid a fifth defeat of the league campaign to date.

Things have not been any better in Europe either, Koeman’s side left Italy outplayed and embarrassed in a 3-0 defeat to Atalanta in their opening Europa League match. That was before the even more shocking 2-2 home draw against Apollon Limassol – where the Cypriot Cup winners went down to ten men and scored a late equaliser.

These poor results leave Everton bottom of Group E and in desperate need of a result against arguably the strongest side in the group, Olympique Lyonnais.

Lyon finished 3rd in Ligue 1 last season, the best possible finish with both PSG and title-winning Monaco blasting away opposition left, right and centre.  Les Gones have had an indifferent beginning to the season, drawing half of their league games and both of their previous Europa League matches 1-1 – before an excellent 3-2 victory over Monaco changed the landscape of their start. With only one defeat in all competitions, a win over a rival has injected much more optimism and positivity into Bruno Genesio’s side.

Both teams have good teams on paper and were two sides strongly fancied for a deep run into the competition. Even at this early stage a defeat for either side could cause difficulty in getting out of the group and with both teams currently outside of their respective league’s European places, this competition could be their only route back into it.

Fekir is back to his best for Lyon Photo Credit: skysports.com

Team News

Koeman needs to silence the critics with a win here, but will still be without long-term absentees Seamus Coleman, Ramiro Funes Mori, James McCarthy, Ross Barkley, Yannick Bolasie and Aaron Lennon to attempt to do so.

After missing the start of the season, Nabil Fekir is back to the peak of his powers and will be Lyon’s main attacking threat – fresh after scoring a dramatic injury-time winner against Monaco last time out.

 

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Pro Tip Footy Accumulators - Wednesday 17th January 2018

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Crvena Zvezda vs Arsenal - Europa League Preview

Crvena Zvezda vs Arsenal – Europa League Preview – Arsenal’s exotic European travels continue as they visit Crvena Zvezda in Serbia in the UEFA Europa League. Arsene Wenger’s men will hope to continue stamping their authority in Group H with another three points that would see them flying high at the top of their group.

The hosts are one spot behind their opponents in second with four points. They have only conceded once so far in the Europa League and have kept six clean sheets in their last seven domestic matches. No doubting they are a firm and rigid defence.

Arsenal were left with faces the same colour as their shirts in their previous outing in the Premier League against Watford. Having taken the lead, a lack of composure and sloppiness; a trait seen far too often in this Arsenal side lately, saw Watford grab two late goals and take all three points.

Sanchez could return to the squad in the Europa League Photo Credit: skysports.com

The frustrated Arsenal fans will be hoping for a much better performance abroad with the likes of Alexis Sanchez and Mesut Ozil making possible returns to the starting eleven. The new system that Arsene Wenger has implemented for the season gives the side a lot of width to allow more crossing for Alexandre Lacazette and Olivier Giroud to pounce on to but too many defensive taboos have been, yet again, the issue. Crvena Zvezda enjoy scoring goals aplenty in the Serbian Premier League and can cause the North Londoners defence some real issues. Can Arsenal continue their good start to their European campaign?

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Arsenal to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 9/2

19 year old Luka Adzic has shown his talent for the Serbian side Photo Credit: hotsport.rs

Crvena Zvezda are a rather unknown quantity to most English football fans. The Serbian side have enjoyed a good start to both domestic and European campaigns; sitting second in Group H and top of the Serbian Super Liga.

Their most recent 5-0 and 4-0 victories over Sabac and Dinamo Vranje could strike some fear into the Arsenal fans as they are very aware of their defensive flaws. 19-year-old striker Luka Adzic has been making a name for himself in the Serbian scene, most recently scoring a hattrick against Dinamo Vranje. A team scattered with unknown talents, could the Crvena players cause a huge upset to a currently wounded Arsenal?

Skybet Match Result – Crvena Zvezda to Win – 7/2

 

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Daily Horse Racing Pro Tips - 18th October 2017

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Pro Tip Footy Accumulators - Wednesday 17th January 2018

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Benfica vs Man Utd - Champions League Preview

Benfica vs Man Utd – Champions League Preview – Jose Mourinho leads his undefeated Manchester United team to one of his former clubs seeking to all but secure The Red Devils passage through to the knockout stage of the Champions League.

Manchester United maintained their unbeaten start to the campaign with a resilient 0-0 draw at Anfield on Saturday and despite the turgid performance on the weekend, Mourinho seemed relatively pleased to have taken a point at a rival, with his side remaining in 2nd place in the Premier League in the process – just behind neighbours Manchester City.

The Red Devils have also started excellently in Europe, with convincing results and performances against both FC Basel and CSKA Moscow in 3-0 and 4-1 wins respectively. This blistering start means that victory in Portugal will almost guarantee qualification for the knockout stages, with just three matches played.

Jonas is Benfica’s top scorer so far this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

This is down to Benfica’s inability to pick up a single point to date, most notably after a 5-0 demolishing at the hands of Basel, and the fact that the Swiss side and CSKA are three points afield of United and are now to play each other in consecutive fixtures – the twice European Cup victors will be a minimum of five points ahead of third place with a win against Benfica.

Rui Vitoria’s outfit aren’t enjoying the best start to the season. Alongside their European deficiencies, the Encarnados are 3rd in Liga Nos, already three points behind fellow Lisbon team Sporting and five behind domestic nemesis Porto. A big performance against one of the world’s biggest teams could be the spark Benfica need.

There is history between the two clubs, in fact, one of the aforementioned European Cup victories – and indeed United and an English club’s first in the competition – was against Benfica, where a George Best inspired Manchester United claimed the trophy 4-1 (a.e.t) against Eusebio’s Benfica at Wembley.

Matic returns to a former club when facing Benfica Photo Credit: skysports.com

Additionally, it isn’t only Mourinho that has represented Benfica before but Nemanja Matic and most recently Victor Lindelof too –  the latter switching to Lisbon for Manchester for approximately £30m fee in the summer.

Team News –

Long term injuries to the goliaths Paul Pogba and Zlatan Ibrahimovic see them still ruled out. There are major doubts over the fitness of the near-returning Marcos Rojo, and Michael Carrick, Marouane Fellaini and Eric Bailly who all missed Saturday’s crunch fixture with Liverpool.

Benfica right-back Andre Almeida is unavailable through suspension, after his ridiculously idiotic tackle against Basel drew a deserved straight-red card.

 

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Chelsea vs Roma - Champions League Preview

Chelsea vs Roma – Champions League Preview – Following their defeat at the weekend, Chelsea entertain Roma at Stamford Bridge. The Italian side currently sit 5th in Serie A, as they look to challenge both domestically and in Europe.

Chelsea were shell-shocked at the weekend, as they were beaten 2-1 by bottom side Crystal Palace. Roy Hodgson’s men thoroughly deserved that win, leaving Antonio Conte plenty to ponder ahead of this match. After such an impressive win last time out against Atletico Madrid, it’s vital that Chelsea don’t let their current lead slip in Group C.

Batshuayi will be hoping to start for Chelsea against Roma Photo Credit: skysports.com

With Chelsea now suffering back to back defeats in the Premier League, it’s crucial they get a positive result on Wednesday night. With key players such as N’Golo Kante and Alvaro Morata ruled out through injury, these are tough times ahead for Conte’s men. All eyes will be on whether he opts to start Michy Batshuayi or play without a recognised striker, something he’s done on a few occasions through his time at the club. Although the Belgian has managed six goals in 11 appearances, he has struggled to impose himself on games and was poor at the weekend in the absence of Morata.

Edin Dzeko has been in great form for Roma Photo Credit: skysports.com

Roma have been underwhelming so far in the league and sit nine points off the top of the table, although they do have a game in hand on the teams above them. At the weekend, they suffered a disappointing home defeat to Napoli. But in Edin Dzeko, Roma have a talisman who is in great form. The Bosnian struck 43 goals last season in just 55 games and he’s followed that up with ten in his first 13. The former Manchester City striker always showed glimpses of his true ability during his time in England, but since his move to the Italian capital, he has really begun to flourish.

Chelsea’s last meetings with Roma were back in 2008 when the two clubs were also paired in the same group. Then, Chelsea recorded a 1-0 win at home but lost 3-1 in Rome. If Chelsea fans were offered another win tonight, I’m sure they’d snatch your hands off.

With Conte’s side low on confidence following back to back defeats, I can see this being a cagey, close-fought encounter. I think Chelsea will try to make the game scrappy and look to use their extra quality to secure a win. That being said, they will struggle to keep Roma out, with the Italian side averaging two goals a game so far this season.

 

Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Roma

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE CHELSEA 2-1- 15/2

SKYBET: DZEKO AND HAZARD TO BOTH SCORE- 11/2

SKYBET: GROUP SCORE BETTING CHELSEA TO WIN 1-0, 2-0 OR 2-1- 15/8

SKYBET: BATSHUAYI TO SCORE FIRST AND CHELSEA TO WIN 3-1- 30/1

SKYBET: BTTS AND OVER 2.5 GOALS- 6/5

SKYBET: A PENALTY TO BE AWARDED- 21/10

SKYBET: CHELSEA TO WIN FROM BEHIND- 9/1

Daily Horse Racing Pro Tips - 17th October 2017

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Daily Horse Racing Tips are provided to pro-members. We try to identify the best value Singles, Doubles and Reverse Forecast each day for our pro members that have a higher chance of landing than our daily previews.

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