Horse Racing Preview - Salisbury - 4th October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Salisbury with two selections from the meeting.

 

14.30 Salisbury – Become A Wiltshire Freemason EBF Novices Stakes (6.9f)

There are a few interesting newcomers in this race non other than Roger Varian’s Jamil. The fact that they have waited until the back end of the season to bring him on to a race course considering he is a late March juvenile is interesting, as most March juveniles would have competed at Royal Ascot or even Goodwood.

The son of Dansili won’t mind any rain or softening ground here at Salisbury today,  as the sire won his only run as a juvenile on heavy ground over today’s index, so you have to feel the genes have been passed down.

Richard Hannon’s yard have picked up in recent weeks, the yard send three contenders here who for me all have to step up on what they have shown so far. You can never pinpoint looking at a horse from this yard on jockey bookings, Hollie Doyle has done herself proud this season, as has Sean Levey, but with Pat Dobbs booked to ride Roundhead you would have thought this was the one they would be more interested in improving off the back of his first run.

Seventh on debut at Ascot when behind Fajjaj of Hugo Palmer’s, who recently showed improvement when finishing fourth to the smart Elarqam in the Somerville Stakes, the runner up Court of Justice heads straight to this years juvenile Group 1 Racing Post Trophy this month, so you would expect this son of Helmet to improve quickly. Tullyallan finished fourth on debut at Newmarket when behind a smart looking individual in Shabaaby of Owen Burrrows, apart from the winner the opposition looked mediocre and could flattened his run behind simple types.

City Gent and newcomer Consultant deserve recognition, the latter represents a yard who’s younger generation are running very well. Consultant comes from a sprinting back-ground pedigree being the son of Kodiac, however the dam did win over 10f on her debut run which came on quicker ground, 8f maybe a little ambitious on debut on this type of ground. City Gent equipped himself well on debut when running sixth at Yarmouth.

The winner Imperial Past has a Listed entry at Doncaster this week, and the fifth Tamkeen is booked to run in a few days at Redcar. This has attracted some nice well bred individuals, and I have just given the nod to Roger Varian’s Jamil, with Roundhead and City Gent to chase him home, I would not be surprised to see Consultant run well also on debut.

JAMIL : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

15.05 Salisbury – Bathwick Tyres Conditions Stakes (6f)

I would like to think Richard Hannon’s Algam can reverse the form here at Salisbury with The Children’s Trust from their Goodwood encounter which saw the latter win at 100/1. I thought Frankie Dettori gave him a schooling ride to be fair, never put the horse in the race, eased down, with Frankie not having to work again after his Arc triumph on Enable last weekend, Sean Levey gets the recall, the jockey is the only one that has ridden and got a tune out of him when guiding the selection to success at Leicester back in August.

To be fair the Leicester maiden is looking interesting considering the second and third have both competed in better company at Newmarket and Newbury of late when behind potentially pattern horses. Algam looked to have bumped into a nice sort again at Chelmsford in Charlie Appleby’s Old Persian who’s declared this week at Newmarket.

David Evans won this last year with Smokey Lane, this year they have teamed up with Jim Crowley to ride their entry here Mr Top Hat. I thought his run at Newbury was below average when behind Richard Hannon’s debutant Orange Suit. He was beaten on debut on soft ground and on what he showed there I am not convinced these conditions are favourable.

Ralph Beckett’s Nine Below Zero gets the aids of the visor for the first time, since his two wins he was put into the deep end when competing the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Ascot to be dropped in class and finish a poor second last in a class 3 Nursery. He is another that the jury is out if he can handle the heavy conditions, if so his resume would put him in the mix. However, Algam should be coming out of this with a win, with possible Nine Below Zero the main danger.

ALGAM : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Ayr & Southwell - 3rd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from two meetings, with selections from Ayr and Southwell.

 

16.30 Ayr – William Hill Proud To Support Scottish Sport Handicap (0-95) (8f)

There are a few here that deserve a mention especially Keith Dagliesh’s Ce La Vie, who was seen competing in this years Empress Stakes & 1000gns. Despite being out of her comfort zone and the fact she did not run to badly when fourth at Doncaster last time out over 10.2f, that was on heavy ground and the fact she drops in trip and class, she will no doubt be a strong favourite just on her resume form to date. However, even though she represents last years winning yard there does look a couple of well handicapped horses in the race.

Callum Rodriguez has deserted Sophie P this time around to ride Michael Dods Finn Class. He has not shown the level of form that saw him finish runner up in this class and course and distance four runs back. He is not the most reliable horse in the race, but drops another 1lb and a return to a track that could refresh his resume to run well again onve more.

Paul Mulrennan prefers Dod’s other entry here in Bamber Bridge who is getting better with every run, the lightly raced three year old and only one of two colts in the race was last seen finishing fourth at Redcar in a 0-90 over a mile, that came on quicker ground if handling today’s conditions over this index and I feel he could be the most interesting one in this field.

BAMBER BRIDGE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

18.10 Southwell – 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap (5f) (0-75)

This should be a positive opportunity for David Elsworth’s Lady Dancealot to get off the mark now diverting to handicap company. Her second on heavy ground at Ascot when behind a good looking type in Speak In Colours of Marco Botti’s is definitely good form. That looked a very competitive stakes race and now switching to the all weather for the first time she should be making her presence felt under title chasing jockey, Silvestre de Sousa.

Ralph Beckett’s City Gent should have been winning I think by now, he probably bumped into a useful sort at Kempton when behind Ragstone Road of Richard Hughes. Expelled was a further five lengths back in fourth that day when off level weights, despite City Gent having to give 3lb at the weights this time around the form should be stable enough for City Gent to obtain.

LADY DANCEALOT : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Bath - 2nd October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview comes from Bath with two selections from the meeting.

 

14.10 Bath – Dribuild Group Fillies Novice Median Auction Stakes (5.6f)

David Evans horses have found a new lease of life, as has the jockey riding them in Fran Berry, and the team pair up here with Time For Wine. She is the daughter of Equiano and has been on the go since June without landing success, however she has been consistent and with the season at the back-end now, you would like to think she should be landing a race of this type. Some might feel she is looking exposed with her strings of seconds, but leaving her around these ranks instead of taking her handicapping and have her bomb out, this is a good move to keep her in this sphere.

The danger to all though has to be Jamie Osborne’s Fab who also has a similar profile to the selections, she has been running well until finishing second last to Jim Rockford in Nursery company over 5f here at Bath two weeks ago. She returns but over slightly further, and with the second Deviate running well again at Kempton you would have thought she is the main danger.

TIME FOR WINE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

14.40 Bath – ISG Fillies Handicap (0-70) (5.1f)

This is probably a good opportunity for Richard Price’s Bellevarde to record her second career success under her usual pilot Josephine Gordon. She was seen winning a 0-70 at Chepstow in poor conditions when just holding on to beat Kinglami who was rated 14lb her superior. She had to settle for second when behind Delegate This Lord in a 0-80 contest over course and distance two weeks ago and if she can pull that form out of the hat she should be winning this.

Main dangers could come from Spirit of Rosanna who will relish getting back on this surface after showing two good runs on soft and heavy ground, but she seems to leave her best form for Chepstow, however off her weight and a lenient mark of 59 she should be on the premises.

BELLEVARDE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

 

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Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United - Match Preview

Sheffield Wednesday vs Leeds United – Match Preview – Sheffield Wednesday host Leeds at Hillsborough on Sunday in a Yorkshire derby. With both sides slumping to defeats in midweek, both teams will be desperate to respond with a win.

After their humiliating 4-2 defeat last Sunday against Sheffield United, Wednesday failed to bounce back in midweek. The Owls went down 1-0 at St Andrews as Birmingham took all three points, to give Wednesday back to back defeats for the first time this season. After those two damaging losses, they now sit in 13th place, but are only five points outside the play offs. With the heat firmly cranked up on manager Carlos Carvalhal, he will be desperate for his side to put in a performance on Sunday.

Lucas Joao will be hoping for a starting place Photo credit: skysports.com

After scoring five goals in five games, Gary Hooper’s run came to an end against Birmingham. The striker did have a goal ruled out at St Andrews, when he was incorrectly ruled offside. The Englishman is in great form and Wednesday know if they can supply him the ball, he only needs one chance to grab himself a goal. It’ll be interesting to see who starts upfront with Hooper. Lucas Joao has been knocking on the door after two impressive substitute appearances in the last two games. With Joao offering more pace up top than Steven Fletcher, I think it might be time to throw the Portuguese striker in for his first league start of the campaign.

Leeds suffered their second defeat of the season in midweek, losing 3-1 to league leaders Cardiff. That defeat dropped them down to third, but they’re still only one point off the automatic promotion places. They will be without Captain Liam Cooper for this game, with the Scottish defender picking up a red card in the defeat in Wales. This will be a big blow for them, with Cooper a key reason as to why they have the joint third best defence in the division.

Saiz has been in good form for Leeds Utd Photo Credit: skysports.com

Wednesday have only won two of their last ten games against Leeds, with their last win in January 2016. Leeds have also won on two of their last three trips to Hillsborough, and haven’t conceded against Wednesday in their last two meetings. In those last ten meetings, the two sides have shared 25 goals, with both teams scoring on six of those occasions.

With both sides looking vulnerable defensively in recent matches, I think both teams to score is a good bet. With both sides desperate to improve, I think this one will be a draw. Both teams have in form strikers in the shape of Hooper and Pierre-Michel Lasogga, and I think that the game will end even.

 

Prediction: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leeds United

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE DRAW 1-1- 9/2

SKYBET: HOOPER AND LASOGGA TO BOTH SCORE- 15/2

SKYBET: SAIZ TO SCORE FIRST AND LEEDS TO WIN 2-1- 50/1

SKYBET: BTTS AND WEDNESDAY TO WIN- 7/2

SKYBET: FLETCHER FIRST TO SCORE AND WEDNESDAY TO WIN 1-0- 22/1

SKYBET: LEEDS TO SCORE IN THE FIRST TEN MINS- 8/1

Chelsea vs Manchester City - Match Preview

Chelsea vs Manchester City – Match Preview – Two titans of the Premier League clash in what promises to be the match of the season so far. Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City will travel down to London to face Antonio Conte’s Chelsea, both fresh from their Champions League duties.

The hosts left it late against Atletico Madrid in their midweek Champions League fixture but Michy Batshuayi’s added time goal saw the Londoners grab three points away from home in emphatic fashion. New boy Alvaro Morata has continued to impress as his headed equaliser made it four from his last two matches in a Chelsea shirt. Will the Spaniard be able to find the back of the net against the league’s joint best defence so far?

Skybet To Score a Header – Alvaro Morata – 5/1

Jesus will be expected to provide the goals on Saturday Photo Credit: skysports.com

Manchester City look like the real deal so far this season, firing on all cylinders and scoring a horrific amount of goals. They have scored 26 goals in their last seven outings. They aren’t just beating teams, they are punishing them. They most recently took to the pitch against Shaktar Dontesk in Group F of the UEFA Champions league; a group they are currently top of. Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling were on the mark for the light blues and will both be huge threats to Chelsea this weekend. Joint top scorer in the league, Sergio Aguero,will miss the fixture due to being involved in a car crash on Thursday night, sustaining rib injuries. Can Jesus provide the goal threat of the two combined?

Skybet Anytime Goalscorer – Gabriel Jesus to Score Anytime in 90 mins – 11/8

Chelsea are currently third in the Premier League, three points behind their opponents on Saturday. The current Champions have shown complacent tendencies at times and there is no doubt any mistakes will be punished by the Manchester City attack. With Kante and Bakayoko clicking in the middle of the park, Chelsea will really fancy their chances to get one up on the current league leaders in front of a home crowd. And with Hazard nearing full fitness, Chelsea’s attack could be a real threat.

Hazard is likely to return for the big game Photo Credit: skysports.com

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Chelsea to Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 – 11/4

Currently top of the table thanks to goal difference, City will be hoping to widen the gap between them and last season’s champions. With 21 goals to their name after six matches, they will be looking to add to that already impressive tally straight from the off. With Gabriel Jesus, Leroy Sane and Kevin De Bruyne all on fire, just to name a few, it is very possible their attacking presence could be too much for the Chelsea defence. Tough one to call.

Skybet Full Time Result and BTTS – Man City and Yes – 7/2

 

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Huddersfield Town vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Preview

Huddersfield Town vs Tottenham Hotspur – Match Preview – Premier League action returns with newly promoted Huddersfield hosting Tottenham Hotspur this Saturday.

The hosts have been overachieving since beginning their Premier League journey back in August; much to the delight of their fans. Whilst Tottenham have begun to regain the form of last season as striker Harry Kane is beginning to find the back of the net after a dry August.

Tom Ince has shown his work rate for Huddersfield so far this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

Huddersfield have drawn their last two matches in the league with Leicester and Burnley. The results have been satisfactory, however the performances have been exemplary. In their last outing away at Burnley, David Wagner’s side had more than double Burnley’s shot attempts due to their pace on the counter attack. New signing Tom Ince is yet to get off the mark at his new club but is always a threat to his opposition full-back.

Tottenham have had a very busy schedule since the start of the season, balancing the Premier League with domestic cups and the Champions League. However, so far there are no signs of fatigue. They most recently took to the field against APOEL in the Champions League who they easily dispatched of, 3-0. A hattrick from Harry Kane assured not only the three points for Mauricio Pochettino’s side but that Harry Kane means business for yet another year. The hattrick was the Englishmen’s sixth of the calendar year; an astonishing achievement.

Kane netted another Hattrick during the Champions League group match Photo Credit: skysports.com

Huddersfield are currently eighth in the Premier League, a lot higher than expected. With nine points after six matches, they are proving to be underestimated by many fans and clubs who expected them to be the whipping boys this season. Although they are the underdogs, a victory could see them leapfrog Tottenham this season. Can they continue to prove the doubters wrong?

Skybet Match Result – Huddersfield to Win – 7/1

Tottenham are currently fourth in the Premier League with eleven points after six matches. The North Londoners will be regretful they haven’t accumulated more points against clubs such as Swansea City and Burnley. It isn’t impossible that they could throw away some points in this fixture, however with Harry Kane hitting form and Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen firing on all cylinders, they are proving yet again an attacking force to be reckoned with.

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Tottenham to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 7/2

 

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Newcastle United vs Liverpool - Match Preview

Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Match Preview – Liverpool take a trip to St James’ Park after picking up their first win in four games last weekend. Newcastle will be looking to bounce back from Sunday’s defeat to Brighton and record their fourth win of the season.

After beating Leicester 3-2 at the King Power Stadium, Liverpool disappointed in a 1-1 draw against Spartak Moscow in midweek. After dropping two more points in their Champions League Group, Liverpool sit in second place, already two points behind leaders Sevilla. Whilst things might not be going to plan in Europe, they appear to be getting back on track in the league.

Mane returns to the Liverpool team after suspension Photo Credit: skysports.com

Despite the major question marks still held against Liverpool’s defending, the return to form of Phillipe Coutinho, alongside Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mane and Mohamad Salah, means the Reds can beat anyone in the league. All four started in Russia and Liverpool fans will hope that it is just the start. Already this season, they have managed 18 goals between them, with Coutinho missing a large chunk of that time as well. Whilst fans will be frustrated at Jurgen Klopp’s failure to address the club’s defensive frailties, the attacking power he has assembled is enough for them to frighten any defence across Europe.

Can Newcastle get back to winning ways? Photo Credit: skysports.com

For Newcastle, an up and down start has seen them win three and lose three of their opening six matches. After losing their opening two, they then won three on the spin before being defeated at the Amex Stadium last weekend 1-0. That defeat to Brighton was their first for a month, and now it is up to Benitez’s men to respond. One key success for Newcastle in their winning run was keeping two clean sheets in three games. Having tightened up at the back, it’s up front they need to improve. Their six league goals are the joint second lowest in the top half of the table, with many fearing they lack the firepower to sustain a push for the top half.

Liverpool have lost four of their last six trips St James’ Park, and haven’t won there since 2013. Having won just one of those six matches, it’s time for Klopp’s men to end that run and secure three points.

With Liverpool coming off the back of a disappointing result in midweek, I think they’ll be keen to make a point, and get back to winning ways. I think they’ll have enough to see off Benitez’s men, with their front four being too much to handle for Newcastle’s rear guard.

 

Prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE LIVERPOOL 2-0- 15/2

SKYBET: MANE AND COUTINHO TO BOTH SCORE- 11/2

SKYBET: SALAH TO SCORE FIRST AND LIVERPOOL TO WIN 3-1- 35/1

SKYBET: JOSELU TO SCORE AND FT DRAW- 10/1

SKYBET: BTTS AND LIVERPOOL TO WIN- 21/10

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Everton vs Burnley - Match Preview

Everton vs Burnley – Match Preview – Super Sunday action returns with Merseyside club Everton playing hosts to fellow Northerners Burnley.

Both sides have had average starts to their season; Burnley favouring slightly more towards doing well. After the transfer window that Ronald Koeman had, nobody expected Everton to be under performing in the manner they have been. Wayne Rooney, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Jordan Pickford are just some of the names that are yet to showcase their talents at Goodison Park.

Can Burnley cause more problems to Koeman and Everton? Photo Credit: skysports.com

Burnley have entered this season with a clear game plan which seem to be working. Playing off a big target man and exploiting their pace on the wings in possession. Both Sam Vokes and new signing Chris Wood have shared a couple of goals, however Burnley have been involved in a few boring matches. With Everton struggling to click at the moment, it is quite possible we could have a low scoring affair.

Skybet BTTS and Under 2.5 Goals – 11/2

Everton are currently 14th in the Premier League table, three points from the relegation zone. Their most recent Premier League outing saw them narrowly win at home to Bournemouth thanks to two late goals from club outcast Oumar Niasse. This squad on paper promises a lot and many believe they are still capable of causing the top 6 some issues this season. Where they lack in pace, they gain in quality on the ball with some fantastic shooters and passers. They desperately need this win, can they overcome this Burnley side?

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Everton to Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 – 11/8

Burnley have enjoyed a rather impressive start to the season sitting in 10th in the Premier League with nine points from six matches. They have built a stable backline that is proving tough to beat having conceded five goals thus far. They now face a tough run of fixtures with this one being possibly the most winnable, a run of bad results will see them slip down into an area of the table they won’t want to be in. Can they withstand the class of Everton?

Skybet Match Result – Burnley to Win – 19/4

Can Sigurdsson score and get Everton a much needed win? Photo Credit: skysports.com

The ‘Iceman’ Gylfi Sigurdsson hasn’t quite found his feet yet with Everton but it is only a matter of time before he begins to become a major threat. Can Gylfi silence Burnley?

Skybet Price Boost – Gylfi Sigurdsson to score from outside the penalty area – 9/1

 

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Reading vs Norwich City - Match Preview

Reading vs Norwich City – Match Preview – Reading face Norwich City in the SkyBet Championship this Saturday on Sky Sports.

Both sides are in desperate need of a win, both in contrasting positions in the table. Norwich most recently scalped a great result, beating Middlesbrough 1-0 away from home thanks to a 13th minute Josh Maddison goal. Reading are fresh from a very disappointing result away to Millwall. Two goals in the last ten minutes meant Jaap Stam’s side threw away a 1-0 lead to shed more disappointment on a rather glum beginning to the season.

The Royals have failed to score in the first half of any game so far this season; in fact, they are the only team in the football league to have still not. Meanwhile, Norwich have kept five clean sheets in a row in the SkyBet Championship, so recent form is suggesting this fixture should end up a certain way.

Skybet Half TIme Under/Over Goals – Under O.5 Goals in the First Half – 2/1

As aforementioned, the hosts haven’t enjoyed a fruitful beginning to their 2017/18 SkyBet Championship campaign. Their frustrations are beginning to cause unrest with the fans whose attendances to matches is slowly decreasing. Jaap Stam’s tactics promote a possession based brand of football that hasn’t been very exciting this season and hasn’t yielded the results. With a lack of attacking presence, the Royals are slowly slipping down the Championship table which isn’t an accurate representation of the Reading that lost a penalty shootout at Wembley to win the play-offs a few months ago. Will Stam change his tactics and grab a much-needed victory?

Skybet Match Result – Reading to Win – 13/8

Oliviera can be the match winner against Reading Photo Credit: skysports.com

Norwich have enjoyed a good run of form as of late, proving to have formed a rigid defensive line following their leaky start to the league. Portuguese striker Nelson Oliveira has begun the season in emphatic fashion with four goals to his name so far in the league. His clinical edge and ‘fox in the box’ style of play is proving a threat that Norwich must utilise against Reading. They are a team who also look to keep the ball for prolonged periods and build from the back. Will the visitors continue Readings misery?

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Norwich to Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 – 11/4

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Horse Racing Preview - Chantilly - 1st October 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections all come from Chantilly, with top action in France with six Group 1’s which includes the feature, the Arc de Triomphe.

 

13.10 Chantilly – Total Prix Marcel Boussac – Criterium des Pouliches (Group 1) (8f)

Favourite backers can get off to a good start here with Freddie Head’s Polydream, The unbeaten daughter of Oasis Dream has been impressive on both of her starts with her most recent run in the Prix Calvados when beating Laurens by one and three quarter lengths, that form took a positive boost when Laurens landed the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster last week.

The fourth place Capomento is one of my selections on Friday and runs in the Rockfel Stakes, main dangers look to come in the way of Soustraction who got off the mark at the second attempt when landing the Group 3 Prix d’Aumale over course and distance three weeks ago, but as the winner this should be going to Polydream to extend her unbeaten record.

POLYDREAM : 3pt Win @ 11/10 (BOG)

13.45 Chantilly – Qater Prix Jean-Luc Largadere (Grand Criterium) (Group 1) (8f)

Masar beat a good field in this years Group 3 Solario Stakes at Sandown almost four weeks ago. The Godolphin owned juvenile has some big entries coming up this year and for next with being aimed at the Racing Post Trophy next month. Ballydoyles Happily was the outsider of three when landing the Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh earlier this month. She probably surprised a few when overturning stablemates Magical and September, the latter will compete in the first race on the card the Marcel-Boussac.

The one of more interest in this is Charlie Appleby’s Mythical Magic who finished third in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster two weeks ago. Beaten favourite she can be taken very seriously considering she was taken wide and infringed and would have been a lot closer.

MYTHICAL MAGIC : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)

15.05 Chantily – Qatar Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) (12f)

Enable is going to be a tall order and her odds reflect how the world see her winning the race. She has bagged a fantastic draw in stall 2 and should take full advantage of landing this race for John Gosden. She comes into this with only the one defeat which came at the hands of Shutter Speed in a conditions race at Newbury.

Since then she has been the filly of the year, winning five on the bounce which have included the Epsom Oaks, Irish equivalent, King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes and last months Yorkshire Oaks, she is a force here. The other filly is Winter who has also had a cracking season landing the 1000gns, Irish equivalent, Coronation Stakes and Nassau Stakes, her run came to an abrupt end when she was surprisingly beaten by stablemate Hydrangea, she tackled the 12f for the first time and will have to come from barrier 8 which wont be that easy, it has been done in the past, but she is unknown over the trip which is a concern.

The plum draw has gone to Ulysses, the Coral Eclipse & International Stakes winner has had four attempts at 12f already in his career and has been successful on one occasion when landing the Group 3 Gordon Stakes back in July. It was not the strongest of contests to be fair, his attempt at this higher level saw him four and a half lengths behind Enable in the KG & QE Stakes when giving a stone at the weights, very hard to see that form reversed, but from a good draw he could definitely get into the money.

Over priced here is definitely Andre Fabre’s Cloth of Stars, he was beaten last month by Dschingis Secret in the Prix Foy to one and a quarter lengths. That came on soft ground, it was only his third run at the index, but acted well on the ground so can run well, the other is obviously his successor Dschingis Secret. His Prix Foy win followed up two wins in Germany which included the Group 1 Preis Von Berlin, we know he stays and the ground the softer the better, has to over come a wide draw which is a strong negative.

So on to my selection here, I will play each way and without the favourite, Jean Rouget’s Brametot was last seen finishing fifth to Eminent in the Group 2 Prix Guillaume going behind by three lengths at the wire. On pedigree being by Rajsaman, you would have thought he could not get this index with the sire better known as a 8-9f competitor. There is stamina on the dams side, With a good draw in stall 4 and the fact he processes a good turn of foot, this new trip could be the key to success but as a wager, the W/O fav looks a good way to go with an each way single.

BRAMETOT : 2pts each way @ 16/1 (BOG) – W/O Fav

15.50 Chantilly – Prix de l’Opera Longines (Group 1) (10f)

Pascal Bary’s Senga has to bounce back from her defeat in the Group 2 Prix de la Nonette where she finished third, but even though the trainer is in fine form, his representative here has struggled in the past on ground that has come up softer than good, but she does get the services of a legend around here in Stephane Pasquier who rides Chantilly well.

British trainers have taken this race for the past two years and would like to think Sir Michael Stoute’s filly here Queen’s Trust can go close for the second time for the trainer. Winning this race back in 2003 with Zee Zee Top he has a live outside chance of landing the spoils here. The only worry is the ground, she has the ability for sure and it would be good to see if Jim Crowley gets the booking here.

A horse that has disappointed me slightly this year is Charlie Appleby’s Wuheida, she looked to have a lot of potential as a juvenile when landing the Marcel Boussac at this meeting last year, she was not seen again until July this year when finishing runner up to Roly Poly in the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket, which to be fair was a respectable run considering coming off a nine month layoff. She was pulled from the Nassua Stakes and has been beaten by Lacazar this year in the Group 1 Preis Der Diana – German Oaks, she finished behind the likes of Winter in the Group 1 Matron Stakes, and if putting her best foot forward and with the trainer in good form she deserves to be recognised in this open race.

WUHEIDA : 2pts each way @ 7/1 (BOG)

16.35 Chantilly – Prix de l’ Abbaye de Longchamp (Group 1) (5f)

Blink and you will miss it, the ground dependable Marsha takes her chance here after beating Lady Aurelia in a on the bob finish in this years Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes at York, a race that had embarrassments for Frankie Dettori and jubilation’s for trainer Sir Mark Prescott, but can she repeat the same feat, the draw will have to be favourable for her to do so, but I am against her despite coming here as reigning champion.

Fashion Queen will relish the ground and if getting some luck in the draw and a good run through she has a massive chance, her recent third here when running three parts of a length behind Lady Macapa was a good preparation for this, she has come out of the race well and a big run is expected again.

FASHION QUEEN : 1pt each way @ 16/1 (BOG)

 

Best of Luck, Bet Responsibly