Pro Tip Footy Accumulators - Wednesday 17th January 2018

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Manchester City vs Arsenal - Match Preview

Manchester City vs Arsenal – Match Preview – A massive Super Sunday clash sees table-topping Manchester City host Arsenal – with Pep Guardiola’s team seeking a ninth consecutive Premier League victory in distancing themselves from the rest of the pack.

City are undefeated in all competitions this season, scoring goals for fun and playing in an exhilarating manner – some of the best football in recent history is happening at the Etihad Stadium. 35 goals in just 10 games goes some way to demonstrating that. In fact, 21 of those have come at home for Guardiola’s men.

Already five points clear of closest challengers and local rivals Manchester United, City have cemented themselves as early season favourites to go on and claim the title – albeit with plenty of football still to be played.

With an array of attacking talents in the form of Kevin de Bruyne, David Silva, Leroy Sane, Raheem Sterling, Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus and more it just seems impossible to stop such an irresistible force all playing at their pomp.

All the plaudits are not excessive but completely deserved, only three teams (including City) have taken 28 points from their opening 10 games and the other two sides to achieve such a feat (Chelsea 05/06 and Manchester City 11/12) both went on to win the league that year.

Over the past few years, Arsenal have established a reputation for crumbling against the better sides in what is seen as indicative of the problems at the club as a whole, a lack of leadership and resilience to get themselves over the line in such crucial fixtures.

Can Sanchez and Ozil cause damage to City this weekend Photo Credit: skysports.com

Saying that, The Gunners have only tasted defeat at the hands of City once in the last nine match-ups, so will undoubtedly come in without the notion of it being a foregone conclusion.
With Ozil and Sanchez seemingly back on-song following the 5-2 demolition of Everton, and coming back from behind to win 2-1 against Swansea last time out, Arsenal will believe they too have enough firepower to blow away any team on their day.

Arsenal are already nine points off the pace at the top and with Chelsea playing United in the game immediately after this one, a positive result will be needed to maintain touching distance with Champions League and title rivals above them.
A game full of fluid, expansive football is surely in store in what promises to be another advert for the brilliance of the Premier League.

Aguero has been sensational for City since joining the club Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch
Not much needs to be said about Sergio Aguero that hasn’t already been said – a world-class striker that guarantees goals and plenty of them – the Argentinian has again been in devastating form this campaign with nine strikes in ten matches, despite being second-choice to Gabriel Jesus. The 29-year-old will be buoyed after a fantastic week in which he not only helped his team beat Napoli 4-2 away from home in the Champions League but became the Manchester City all-time record goal-scorer, with his 178th for the club in remarkably, just 264 games. It would take a brave man to back against him bagging a whole lot more.

 

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Brentford vs Leeds Utd - Match Preview

Brentford vs Leeds Utd – Match Preview – Leeds United face a tough test at Griffin Park when they face an in-form Brentford while trying to rectify their own fortunes.

The Whites have lost five of their last six matches, and six of their last eight, and have now dropped out of the play-off places after a very promising start to the campaign – two points below the resurgent Derby County but having played a game more.

Consecutive 2-1 home defeats to Sheffield United and Derby County have compounded a very poor run of form for Thomas Christiansen’s side and with the goal remaining to finish at least in the top six come May, an upturn in results starting against Brentford is paramount.

The Bees’ recent period could hardly be more different; undefeated in eight league matches and with three wins from the previous four games, Dean Smith is taking the London club in the right direction after what was a very sluggish start to the year.

Such as the incredibly narrow margins in the division though, just four points separate Leeds (23) in 7th with Brentford (19) in 15th.
Brentford have only lost once to Leeds in the last eight fixtures between the two sides and will be confident of taking a positive result again this time out.

Ollie Watkins has scored 5 in his last 7 games Photo Credit: skysports.com

Player to Watch

Much of The Bees’ recent improvement has been down to the form of Ollie Watkins – the 21-year-old has found the net in five of his last seven games and will be key should Brentford pick up another win. The approximately £1.8m transfer fee paid to Exeter City in the summer for his services seems to be proving an absolute bargain, bigger clubs will undoubtedly come sniffing for such an exciting talent should such a return continue.

 

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Chelsea vs Manchester United - Match Preview

Chelsea vs Manchester United – Match Preview – Chelsea and Manchester United face off in Super Sunday action at Stamford Bridge with what could prove to be a top four six-pointer.

Both sides are fresh from their UEFA Champions League midweek matches with Manchester United fairing the happier with their results. Chelsea suffered a 3-0 loss away to Roma in the joint heaviest defeat the current Champions have had under Conte’s management. Jose Mourinho’s side saw off Benfica 2-0 at Old Trafford with an own goal and a Daley Blind penalty making the difference.

The hosts seemed to crawl into a shell against the Serie A side after just one minute with Stephan El Shaarawy opening the scoring. Whilst the usually potent attack struggled, it was the defending that has had many people talking. Some almost comical defending performances from their usually solid defenders will have many Chelsea fans worried heading into this fixture against a Manchester United side that beat Tottenham most recently in the Premier League. The home advantage could give Chelsea the upper hand.

Hazard looks back to his best and will be trouble for the United defence Photo Credit: skysports.com

Skybet match Result – Chelsea to Win – 7/5

Although the visitors for Sunday’s fixture got three points during midweek, their performance wasn’t the most convincing. French winger Anthony Martial had the chance to open the scoring from the penalty spot, but the cool-headed finisher fluffed his lines and the penalty was saved. Despite the miss, Martial was a delight to watch as he has been for the whole season. The whole United attack has bucked its ideas up this season after a few seasons of frustration in front of goal. Striker Romelu Lukaku has scored 7 goals and has three assists so far this season being involved in just under half of their goals thus far.

Matic returns to his former club this Sunday Photo Credit: skysports.com

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Man Utd to Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 – 11/4

In matches against the top six, Jose Mourinho has been accused of using boring tactics yet they have been effective. It wouldn’t be surprising if this Sunday we saw a similar game plan of parking the bus and keeping the ball in the middle and bottom third of the pitch. Chelsea also enjoy playing possession football, so we could have a real midfield battle on our hands. Whilst everyone would love to see a goal fest, the match is very important to both that they don’t lose, so we could see some very reserved styles.

 

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West Ham United vs Liverpool - Match Preview

West Ham United vs Liverpool – Match Preview – West Ham host Liverpool at the London Stadium this Saturday in Premier League action.

The hosts enter the match having been unbeaten in their previous two matches whilst Liverpool are fresh from their midweek Champions League success. West Ham most recently drew with bottom of the Premier League Crystal Palace, however were leading until the 97th minute when Wilfried Zaha grabbed a dramatic late equaliser for Roy Hodgson’s side.

Liverpool have enjoyed two consecutive 3-0 victories, against Huddersfield and most recently Maribor. Goals from Mo Salah, Emre Can and Daniel Sturridge were enough to see Liverpool top their UEFA Champions League group, however it could have been more but the usually reliable James Milner missed a penalty.

Both sides are suffering with injuries as West Ham are likely to be without James Collins and Diafra Sakho. Liverpool have a much longer list of absentees with the likes of Adam Lallana and Sadio Mane still side-lined as well as Coutinho and Dejan Lovren also being unlikely to feature.

Ayew scored a great goal in the 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace Photo Credit: skysports.com

West Ham are currently sitting just above the relegation zone in the Premier League with nine points from ten games. Both scoring goals and not letting them in have been the key issues for Slaven Bilic’s side, who many believe doesn’t have long left in the Hammers hot seat. Summer signing, Javier Hernandez, hasn’t had the big entrance to his West Ham career that many were anticipating but has seemed to settle in recent weeks. The Mexican scored the opener in their previous match before Andre Ayew doubled the lead with a contender for goal of the month. Those two will remain vital to West Ham’s chances this weekend.

Skybet Match Result – West Ham to Win – 4/1

Salah has 5 goals so far for Liverpool this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

Jurgen Klopp and his Liverpool side have felt plenty of pressure in recent weeks following more defensive blunders. The Merseyside club have conceded 16 goals in their 10 Premier League matches thus far; making them the sixth leakiest defence in the league. However, despite their defence struggling their attack is still a very dangerous one to face with summer signing Mo Salah leading the way for the Reds. The Eygptian has scored five and set up two so far in the league and has been a joy to watch. He has the potential to be the difference.

Skybet Correct Score Group Betting – Liverpool to Win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 – 4/1

 

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Horse Racing Preview - Newmarket - 3rd November 2017

Today’s horse racing preview selections come from Newmarket with three selections from the meeting and the first day of the Breeder’s Cup from Del Mar in California, with two selections from the meeting, taking place this evening.

 

13.45 Newmarket – Irish Stallion Farms ‘EBF’ Bosra Sham Fillies Stakes (Listed) (6f)

ONE MINUTE (98)
Abamanova (92)
Aurora Eclipse (90)

Willie Haggas’s One Minute comes here with a wealth of experience already, she is still unknown quality around the six furlong index after her fourth in the Group 3 Dick Poole Fillies Stakes at Salisbury back in September. Her last visit here did not end well when finishing last over seven furlongs in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes, she was in touch up to the point she hit the rising ground which by then the distance had beaten her, back over a quick six she should build on this.

Irish raider Abamanova has bagged a reasonable draw in stall eight, she lookerd a nice prospect when taking her maiden at Bellewstown, but has failed to impress since when finishing last of ten in the Listed Legacy Stakes, the third rated here Aurora Eclipse was seen finishing twelve lengths in front of her, a tough ask to hold that line of form.

This looks an easier task, despite what her opposition have run up to they do not hold her ability. One that could catch the eye at a price is Michael Bells Revived who ran close to Threading on debut to go on and win her novice run at Redcar back in August. Has been coached through nicely and is not out of this by any means.

ONE MINUTE : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

14.20 Newmarket – Quy Mill Hotel & Spa Conditions Stakes (6f)

SPIRITUAL LADY (95)
Rajar (92)

This looks a match up from the top two in the market with the narrow vote going to last years Bosra Sham winner, Spiritual Lady. She was last seen finishing midfield in the Listed Boadicea Listed Stakes over course and distance.

However, she rates a few pounds ahead of her nearest rival Rajar who is a double course and distance winner last summer, but has failed to shine since slapped with a 10lb penalty, will find things tough against the selection here.

SPIRITUAL LADY : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

14.55 Newmarket – EBFStallions.com Quy Mill Hotel & Spa Fillies Handicap (12f)

FLEABISCUIT (102)
Star Story (82)

Not the greatest of races with Hugo Palmer’s Fleabiscuit expected to her current mark of 88 on what she has achieved so far. Despite her twenty two lengths defeat to Rhododendron in the Group 1 Fillies Mile, she steps up into unknown territory on index, however this is a significant drop in class and should be winning this.

Best of the rest could be Ralph Becketts lightly raced daughter of Sea The Stars, Star Story, who is stepping also up in trip to an index that her sire was impressive over when landing the Arc. I just cannot entertain the rest on what ability and level they have been competing.

FLEABISCUIT : 3pt Win @ SP (BOG)

20.10 Del Mar – Golden State Juvenile Fillies Stakes (Dirt) (7f)

I am a big fan of jockey Kent Desormeaux who rides Jeff Bonde’s Ismelucky, she made light work after a four month break when landing a valuable stakes race at Los Alamitos, she will have to fend off the likes of Spiced Perfection and One More Board and the selection in Show it N Moe it.

Even though she finished behind Spiced Perfection over course and distance she gets the 4lb back this afternoon and should reverse that form for Gary Sherlock and permanent jockey Evin Roman.

SHOW IT ‘N’ MOE IT : 2pt Win @ SP (BOG)

23.35 Del Mar – Longines Breeders Cup Distaff (Grade 1) (9f)

Very hard to see past John Sadler’s Stellar Wind here, the daughter of the mighty Curlin was very impressive when putting comfortable daylight between her and Bob Baffert’s Vale Dori, the third Faithfully also trained by BB has run creditably twice since finishing runner up to the very smart Paradise Woods at Santa Anita.

It’s hard to see who can over come the likely favourite here, as we well and truly know Mike Smith is no stranger to Breeders Cup glory, he rides here Bob Baffert’s Abel Tasman who was last seen beating Elate by two lengths at Saratoga, they meet once more here and I could see tht form being reversed this time around.

STELLAR WIND : 3pt Win @ 7/4 (BOG)

 

Good Luck, Bet Responsibly

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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham - Match Preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham – Match Preview – League leaders Wolves will be hoping to extend the gap at the summit of the Championship table with a win on Friday night against Fulham.

Wolves returned to the top of the table on Tuesday night following their win away at Norwich. With Sheffield United losing at QPR, Wanderers now sit one point clear of second-placed Cardiff City. After heavily investing in the summer, Wolves are reaping the benefits. The summer acquisitions of Diogo Jota, Ruben Neves and Leo Bonatini have in particular stood out. Bonatini is currently the joint top-scorer in the division grabbing nine goals in his first 15 games, with six goals of those strikes coming in his last five league games.

Bonatini has 9 goals so far for Wolves Photo Credit: skysports.com

With attacking options like Bonatini, Jota, Helder Costa and Ivan Cavaleiro, it’s no surprise they’re the top scorers in the division. Wolves also hold an impressive defensive record, conceding just 15 goals so far this season. This has been largely down to summer signing Willy Boly, who returned from injury with a goal at Carrow Road in midweek. If Wolves are to finish in the top two this season, it’s vital they keep their key players fit.

Fulham have fallen below expectations so far this season. Last year’s league top-scorers have struggled to hit the heights of their sixth placed finish last term and sit in 16th place. With all three sides from last year’s play-offs struggling to recapture their form, the pressure is starting to build on their managers. Slavisa Jokanovic can take some solace in the fact that his team are only six points adrift of the top six. If they can muster a run of form similar to last season, then there’s no reason why they can’t still be in the mix for promotion come the end of the year. If they are to make the top six, they need to improve sooner rather than later or face another year of disappointment.

Fulham captain Tom Cairney has found it difficult so far this season Photo Credit: skysports.com

Last season these two cooked up one of the best games in Championship, with the match finishing in a 4-4 draw. Wolves have won four of their last five games against Fulham and haven’t lost to them in the league since 2012. That run stretches over six matches and form would suggest that run will only continue. Fulham’s last win at Molineux came back in 1985 which underlines how poor their recent record is against them.

With Wolves going from strength to strength at the moment, I can only see one winner. With Fulham having only won three games on the road this season, I think it could be a comfortable night for the home team. My bet would be for Wolves to win by 2+goals, given the attacking and defensive abilities of both teams.

 

Prediction: Wolves 2-0 Fulham

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE WOLVES 2-0- 17/2

SKYBET: WOLVES TO WIN BY EXACTLY 2 GOALS- 4/1

SKYBET: WOLVES TO WIN TO NIL- 9/4

SKYBET: BONATINI TO SCORE FIRST AND WOLVES TO WIN 3-1- 45/1

SKYBET: JOTA AND COSTA TO BOTH SCORE- 11/2

SKYBET: FONTE TO SCORE FIRST AND DRAW 1-1- 40/1

SKYBET: CAIRNEY TO SCORE FROM OUTSIDE THE AREA- 14/1

Stoke City vs Leicester City - Match Preview

Stoke City vs Leicester City – Match Preview – Both of these teams will be looking for back to back wins as they meet at the Bet365 Stadium. Claude Puel will be hoping to continue his 100% start as manager of Leicester with another win against Stoke.

With pressure beginning to grow on Mark Hughes, Stoke’s 1-0 win at Watford last weekend was timely. The Potters’ boss had begun to draw criticism from supporters following Stoke’s stuttering start to the new campaign. Darren Fletcher’s first goal for the club secured three points and they will be hoping to back that up with a win in front of their own crowd on Saturday. If they could get that victory it would be the first time they have secured back to back league wins all season. It would also be the club’s third home win of the campaign.

Darren Fletcher scored his first goal for Stoke in the 1-0 win over Watford Photo Credit: skysports.com

Leicester got off to the perfect start under Puel last time out with a 2-0 win over Everton. Jamie Vardy scored the first goal of the Frenchman’s reign, just as he did under his predecessors Claudio Ranieri and Craig Shakespeare. The Englishman looked back to his electric best as he terrorised the ageing Everton backline and secured his team all three points. Puel elected to play winger Riyad Mahrez just in the number ten role, which worked a treat. The Algerian’s close control and eye for a goal was clear to see as he and Vardy linked up well.

Vardy and Mahrez have linked up well since the Algerian moved behind the striker Photo Credit: skysports.com

With Stoke’s failing to pull up any trees at home, Leicester will see this as a perfect opportunity for back to back away wins in the Premier League. It would also secure their third win on the bounce, which has shot them away from danger. It would also leave the Foxes’ unbeaten in six league and cup games, with things already beginning to look rosier at the King Power Stadium.

Leicester have lost only one of their last six games against Stoke but haven’t won at the Potters since 2014. Stoke have lost three of those matches, with two ending in a stalemate. Three of the last four games at Stoke have ended as a draw, with the last two meetings both ending 2-2. With both sides vulnerable defensively, I can see goals in this game as well.

Although Stoke got a great win last time out, I don’t think they’ll have enough to take all three points here, with Leicester in good form. My bet would be for Vardy to get himself on the scoresheet again, with the Englishman having recorded six goals in 12 appearances this campaign.

 

Prediction: Stoke 1-1 Leicester City

 

SKYBET: CORRECT SCORE DRAW 1-1- 5/1

SKYBET: VARDY TO SCORE AND LEICESTER TO WIN- 11/4

SKYBET: BTTS AND UNDER 2.5 GOALS- 5/1

SKYBET: CHOUPO MOTING AND MAHREZ TO BOTH SCORE- 8/1

SKYBET: STOKE TO WIN AND BTTS: NO- 7/2

SKYBET: LEICESTER TO WIN FROM BEHIND- 14/1

SKYBET: BTTS IN BOTH HALVES- 16/1

SKYBET STOKE TO WIN BOTH HALVES- 8/1

NFL - Gameweek 9 Preview

We are at the halfway point of the exciting NFL Season! With the Steelers, Patriots, Bears, Browns, Chargers, and Vikings on a bye, here are my NFL Week 9 Top 5 Stats/Predictions:

 

Falcons at Panthers

Division rivals battling for now a potential playoff spot in the NFC. The falcons are on their 3rd straight road game which the advantage is for the Panthers. However, the Falcons offense is finally beginning to round into form and I believe they will continue to light up the score board. Meanwhile the Panthers have been struggling to put up points, and in a possible shootout that won’t go over well.

Falcons to Win –   28-17

Ryan: 305 YDS, 3 TD

Freeman: 115 Total YDS, 1 TD

Jones: 100 YDS REC, 1 TD

Skybet Total Points – 43-46 Points – 11/2

 

Redskins at Seahawks

Seattle is coming off an impressive offensive performance in their win over the Texans last week, while Washington struggled in a loss to the Cowboys. This is a long trip and the Redskins are banged up on the offensive line. That’s not a good thing at Seattle with that defensive front who will be looking to rebound after struggling last week.

Seahawks to Win – 27-14

Wilson: 315 YDS, 3 TDS

Baldwin: 88 YDS, 1 TD

Graham: 75 YDS, 1 TD

Skybet Handicap and Total Points – Seattle Seahawks -7.5 and Under 46.5 Total Match Points – 5/2

Chiefs at Cowboys

With RB Ezekiel Elliott officially suspended for the next 6 games, the cowboys will be looking to throw the ball more to score. The Chiefs are playing on a short week and are on the road which doesn’t help, however I see the Cowboys defense struggling with the speed of the Chiefs offense.

Chiefs to Win –  31-24

Smith: 285 YDS, 3 TDS

Hunt: 115 Total YDS, 1 TD REC, 1 TD Rushing

Kelce: 100 YDS, 1 TD

Skybet Handicap and Total Points – Kansas City Chiefs -0.5 and Over 50.5 Total Match Points – 5/2

Lions at Packers (Monday Night)

Division rivals battling for the second seed in the division and a potential playoff spot for the wild card. Packers are coming off a bye and are looking to get their offense going in the wake of the injury to Aaron Rodgers. The Lions are coming off a loss to the Steelers and will be looking to rebound. I believe this will be a tough game for both teams, however with Rodgers being out I don’t see the Packers rebounding on offense without their QB.

Lions to Win – 24-17

Stafford: 288 YDS, 3 TDS

Jones: 100 YDS REC, 1 Td

Tate: 88 YDS, 1 TD

Skybet Handicap and Total Points – Detroit Lions -1.5 and Under 44.5 Total Match Points  – 9/4

 

**4 Fold Win Accumulator – Falcons, Seahawks, Chiefs and Lions ALL to WIN7.14/1 – Skybet**

Daily Horse Racing Pro Tips - 2nd November 2017

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